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Cedevita vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-75
23-17 21-16 17-19 21-23
Position#3
Record17-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#2
Record18-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game75.8
EuropeABA LeagueABA League - Semi-finals
Domestic2017
Meetings · Cedevita v Buducnost
07 Apr 2019
CED73
BUD78
25 Mar 2019
CED90
BUD83
28 Oct 2018
CED63
BUD58
25 Mar 2018
CED82
BUD75
03 Feb 2018
CED76
BUD71
10 Jan 2018
CED75
BUD78
23 Sep 2017
CED78
BUD69
29 Sep 2016
CED70
BUD80
10 Jan 2016
CED57
BUD81
19 Apr 2015
CED88
BUD85
18 Apr 2015
CED85
BUD57
15 Mar 2015
CED80
BUD70
17 Mar 2014
CED76
BUD71
20 Dec 2012
CED84
BUD75
07 Oct 2011
CED92
BUD62
13 Nov 2010
CED70
BUD59
23 Jan 2010
CED83
BUD71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cedevita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zagreb
#15
W
114-63
114
63
+51
A14/02
Croatian Cup
Zabok
#8
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H16/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#5
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H17/02
Croatian Cup
Kastela
#13
W
89-56
89
56
+33
A28/02
Premijer liga
MZT Skopje
#12
W
85-64
85
64
+21
A03/03
ABA League
Zagreb
#12
W
94-81
94
81
+13
A06/03
Premijer liga
Partizan
#5
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H10/03
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H12/03
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#2
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A18/03
ABA League
Skrljevo
#6
W
88-72
88
72
+16
A21/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-15
24-14
30-18
30-16
12-17
18-9
18-17
18-16
14-21
27-15
22-19
23-19
16-10
11-15
29-16
33-15
15-13
26-18
16-17
28-16
28-22
21-19
24-16
21-24
20-21
18-18
25-19
22-17
24-21
23-13
23-16
15-18
23-24
11-15
30-22
19-23
24-18
18-10
25-23
21-21
157.1Avg total
87.5Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.875.2157.0+6.674%
Season at home (11)83.773.8157.5+9.991%
Season away (12)80.076.4156.4+3.658%
Last 10 (10)87.569.6157.1+17.990%
Last 5 (5)87.076.0163.0+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.378.7142.0-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.079.9153.9-5.925%
vs Weaker (18)85.067.4152.4+17.694%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#4
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A28/01
ABA League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A31/01
Eurocup
Cedevita
#3
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A03/02
ABA League
Cedevita
#18
W
84-52
84
52
+32
H07/02
Eurocup
MZT Skopje
#12
W
104-62
104
62
+42
H11/02
ABA League
Partizan
#5
L
83-94
83
94
-11
A04/03
ABA League
Darussafaka
#2
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A06/03
Eurocup
Darussafaka
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H09/03
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#8
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H12/03
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H18/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
25-23
14-17
19-22
22-20
12-16
22-12
10-29
17-22
16-18
24-16
14-20
23-6
20-17
24-12
17-17
24-13
29-20
28-20
23-9
24-15
26-21
15-31
18-27
13-16
13-11
9-19
19-11
12-19
14-20
20-20
25-19
18-22
22-16
26-14
21-12
24-23
15-11
22-30
23-19
151.5Avg total
78.5Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.775.8160.5+8.878%
Season at home (12)84.170.0154.1+14.1100%
Season away (11)85.382.2167.5+3.155%
Last 10 (10)78.573.0151.5+5.540%
Last 5 (5)75.875.2151.0+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.073.0140.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.275.6156.8+5.778%
vs Weaker (16)85.075.7160.7+9.369%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
CedevitaBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zagreb
#15
W
54-29
54
29
+25
A14/02
Croatian Cup
Zabok
#8
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H16/02
Croatian Cup
Cibona
#5
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H17/02
Croatian Cup
Kastela
#13
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A28/02
Premijer liga
MZT Skopje
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A03/03
ABA League
Zagreb
#12
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A06/03
Premijer liga
Partizan
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H10/03
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H12/03
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A18/03
ABA League
Skrljevo
#6
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A21/03
Premijer liga
73.1Avg total
40.3Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.035.374.3+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.634.675.1+6.071%-
Last 30 away (16)37.636.073.6+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)40.332.873.1+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.278.2+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.744.072.7-15.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.237.974.1-1.638%-
vs Weaker (18)40.933.274.1+7.783%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#4
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A28/01
ABA League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A31/01
Eurocup
Cedevita
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A03/02
ABA League
Cedevita
#18
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H07/02
Eurocup
MZT Skopje
#12
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H11/02
ABA League
Partizan
#5
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A04/03
ABA League
Darussafaka
#2
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A06/03
Eurocup
Darussafaka
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H09/03
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H12/03
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H18/03
ABA League
74.6Avg total
39.2Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.077.4+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.133.875.9+8.486%-
Last 30 away (16)38.939.978.8-1.031%-
Last 10 (10)39.235.474.6+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.234.871.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.233.866.0-1.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.236.276.4+4.056%-
vs Weaker (16)43.138.581.6+4.669%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.5
53.9%
52.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.8
30.8%
34.8%23.4
🏀 Free throws16.712.8
76.6%
74.4%12.8
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.0
55.6%
52.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.710.0
42.2%
34.8%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.716.6
76.5%
74.4%16.6
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita
WLWWWWWWWW
Buducnost
WWLLLWWLLL
#3
League position
#2
-4.8
Net rating
+15.2
103.8
Offensive rating
119.2
108.6
Defensive rating
104.0
50.7%
Effective FG%
58.7%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
15.7%
Turnover %
14.6%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.8%
3-point %
42.2%
56.3%
Assist %
55.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 119.2Defence108.6 · 104.0Shooting50.7% · 58.7%3-point %30.8% · 42.2%Ball care15.7% · 14.6%Off. rebounds25.1% · 27.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Cedevita   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cedevita wins
7
Buducnost wins
DateGameScore
18/03/18Buducnost v Cedevita84-83
07/02/18Buducnost v Cedevita84-52
03/02/18Cedevita v Buducnost76-71
10/01/18Cedevita v Buducnost75-78
12/11/17Buducnost v Cedevita66-60
23/09/17Cedevita v Buducnost78-69
18/12/16Buducnost v Cedevita84-86
29/09/16Cedevita v Buducnost70-80
10/01/16Cedevita v Buducnost57-81
17/10/15Buducnost v Cedevita76-66
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/18ASkrljevo88-72
18/03/18ABuducnost83-84
12/03/18HZabok85-68
10/03/18HPartizan85-75
06/03/18AZagreb94-81
03/03/18AMZT Skopje85-64
28/02/18AKastela89-56
17/02/18HCibona86-74
16/02/18HZabok66-59
14/02/18AZagreb114-63
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/18HCedevita84-83
12/03/18HFMP Beograd87-64
09/03/18HDarussafaka71-78
06/03/18ADarussafaka54-57
04/03/18APartizan83-94
11/02/18HMZT Skopje104-62
07/02/18HCedevita84-52
03/02/18ACedevita71-76
31/01/18ALokomotiv Kuban66-77
28/01/18AMornar Bar81-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cedevita
ABA League 2017
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL74%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLLWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%91%58%
Points / game81.883.780.0
Allowed / game75.273.876.4
Point differential+6.6+9.9+3.6
Avg total157.0157.5156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%45%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)80% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Buducnost
ABA League 2017
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %78%100%55%
Points / game84.784.185.3
Allowed / game75.870.082.2
Point differential+8.8+14.1+3.1
Avg total160.5154.1167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%42%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2320387%89.075.7+13.2
2 Buducnost2318578%84.775.8+8.8
3 Cedevita2317674%81.875.2+6.6
4 Mornar Bar2314961%82.181.8+0.3
5 Partizan22111150%88.086.0+2.0
6 Zadar22101245%83.985.7-1.8
7 Petrol Olimpija22101245%79.081.5-2.5
8 FMP Beograd2291341%79.880.1-0.3
9 Mega Bemax2281436%84.084.5-0.4
10 Igokea2271532%81.085.3-4.3
11 Cibona2271532%79.785.9-6.2
12 MZT Skopje2231914%75.492.2-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cedevita2321172182
Buducnost1716192375
← all games of the day
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