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Cento vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 83-76
23-23 18-26 24-16 18-11
Position#18
Record1-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game76.0
Cento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#17
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game80.3
ItalySerie A2Round 4· Milwaukee Dinelli Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cento v Forli
08 Oct 2025
CENT83
FORL76
27 Apr 2025
CENT86
FORL67
01 Oct 2023
CENT61
FORL78
19 Feb 2023
CENT58
FORL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCento
Date
Competition
Avellino Basket
#11
W
79-78
79
78
+1
65avg 64
A15/03
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
76-73
76
73
+3
69avg 64
A23/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
71-76
71
76
-5
60avg 64
A30/03
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
69-72
69
72
-3
61avg 64
H06/04
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
99-72
99
72
+27
95avg 64
A13/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
75-83
75
83
-8
65avg 64
A19/04
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
86-67
86
67
+19
77avg 64
H27/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
77-68
77
68
+9
70avg 64
A21/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
66-82
66
82
-16
54avg 64
H28/09
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
70-78
70
78
-8
62avg 64
A03/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
27-17
24-16
13-20
11-15
22-18
20-17
23-23
10-18
23-18
19-24
19-16
20-13
11-23
17-16
21-20
24-11
29-13
28-20
18-28
21-18
27-14
14-27
13-24
25-21
29-9
18-23
14-14
19-20
17-18
22-9
19-21
15-22
19-19
14-16
18-25
22-14
19-24
19-25
10-15
151.7Avg total
76.8Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.076.0147.0-5.033%
Season at home (1)66.082.0148.0-16.00%
Season away (2)73.573.0146.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)76.874.9151.7+1.950%
Last 5 (5)74.875.6150.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.577.7149.2-6.229%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.476.5152.9-0.150%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
91-81
91
81
+10
86avg 70
H16/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
83-72
83
72
+11
78avg 70
H18/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
81-78
81
78
+3
77avg 70
A21/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
69-75
69
75
-6
52avg 70
A25/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 70
A27/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
87-78
87
78
+9
75avg 70
H30/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
64-76
64
76
-12
52avg 70
H01/06
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
70-78
70
78
-8
51avg 70
A20/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
86-73
86
73
+13
80avg 70
H28/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
60-90
60
90
-30
50avg 70
A05/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
26-14
19-27
23-12
18-19
24-24
17-15
24-14
19-19
26-13
17-27
19-19
13-21
19-21
23-16
14-17
31-19
15-29
20-18
12-17
27-16
14-26
28-21
18-15
17-19
16-23
14-17
17-17
25-23
13-17
12-19
20-19
26-16
21-19
21-21
18-17
11-16
10-20
13-38
26-16
155.3Avg total
76.9Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.080.3152.3-8.333%
Season at home (1)86.073.0159.0+13.0100%
Season away (2)65.084.0149.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)76.978.4155.3-1.550%
Last 5 (5)73.479.0152.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.781.3152.0-10.733%
vs Similar ◀ (23)78.076.6154.6+1.561%
vs Weaker (4)78.581.5160.0-3.050%
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +2.8+2.8
CentoForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino Basket
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A15/03
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A23/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A30/03
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H06/04
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
53-24
53
24
+29
A13/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A19/04
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H27/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A21/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H28/09
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A03/10
Serie A2
75.5Avg total
40.5Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.037.674.7-0.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.438.975.3-2.436%-
Last 30 away (16)37.636.674.1+1.031%-
Last 10 (10)40.535.075.5+5.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.878.4+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.439.475.8-2.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.636.173.7+1.438%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H16/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H18/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A21/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A25/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A27/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H30/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H01/06
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A20/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H28/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A05/10
Serie A2
79.6Avg total
39.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.639.677.2-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.937.678.5+3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)34.841.476.1-6.625%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.279.6-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.039.075.0-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.738.372.0-4.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)38.839.378.1-0.543%-
vs Weaker (4)33.842.576.2-8.825%-
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Centotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cento: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.2
48.5%
50.8%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.6
38.7%
34.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.513.2
71.4%
74.4%13.2
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.3
48.1%
50.8%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.5
35.3%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.513.1
67.2%
74.4%13.1
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cento
LLWWLWLLWW
Forli
LWLLWLLWWW
#18
League position
#17
+1.6
Net rating
-1.6
106.4
Offensive rating
102.3
104.8
Defensive rating
103.9
52.1%
Effective FG%
50.2%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.2%
22.4%
Off. rebound %
21.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.7%
3-point %
35.3%
41.0%
Assist %
53.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 102.3Defence104.8 · 103.9Shooting52.1% · 50.2%3-point %38.7% · 35.3%Ball care14.5% · 15.2%Off. rebounds22.4% · 21.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Cento   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cento wins
5
Forli wins
DateGameScore
27/04/25Cento v Forli86-67
02/10/24Forli v Cento75-59
02/12/23Forli v Cento82-62
01/10/23Cento v Forli61-78
19/02/23Cento v Forli58-69
27/11/22Forli v Cento63-62
Centolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/25AMestre70-78
28/09/25HBasket Torino66-82
21/09/25ALibertas Livorno77-68
27/04/25HForli86-67
19/04/25ACividale75-83
13/04/25ANardo99-72
06/04/25HUdine69-72
30/03/25AOrzinuovi71-76
23/03/25ALibertas Livorno76-73
15/03/25AAvellino Basket79-78
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25ASebastiani Rieti60-90
28/09/25HRuvo Di Puglia86-73
20/09/25AJuVi Cremona70-78
01/06/25HRimini64-76
30/05/25HRimini87-78
27/05/25ARimini78-83
25/05/25ARimini69-75
21/05/25ACividale81-78
18/05/25HCividale83-72
16/05/25HCividale91-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cento
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game71.066.073.5
Allowed / game76.082.073.0
Point differential-5.0-16.0+0.5
Avg total147.0148.0146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game72.086.065.0
Allowed / game80.373.084.0
Point differential-8.3+13.0-19.0
Avg total152.3159.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mestre43175%79.877.0+2.8
2 Brindisi32167%80.361.7+18.7
3 Fortitudo Bologna32167%85.776.0+9.7
4 Basket Torino32167%84.077.0+7.0
5 Rimini32167%80.373.7+6.7
6 Sebastiani Rieti32167%75.769.0+6.7
7 Libertas Livorno32167%71.067.0+4.0
8 Pistoia32167%84.381.3+3.0
9 Verona32167%79.778.3+1.3
10 Scafati32167%80.080.7-0.7
11 Blu Basket Bergamo21150%87.588.0-0.5
12 Pesaro21150%74.074.5-0.5
13 Avellino Basket31233%79.377.7+1.7
14 Cividale31233%75.377.0-1.7
15 Cento31233%71.076.0-5.0
16 Roseto31233%86.791.7-5.0
17 Urania Milano31233%78.385.3-7.0
18 Forli31233%72.080.3-8.3
19 JuVi Cremona31233%69.779.7-10.0
20 Ruvo Di Puglia4040%68.286.2-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cento2318241883
Forli2326161176
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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