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Nardo vs Cento Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 72-99
11-24 13-29 20-28 28-18
Position#19
Record10-25
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Cento 🏆
Italy
Position#15
Record13-22
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game77.5
ItalySerie A2Round 36· Palasport San Giuseppe da Copertino
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nardo v Cento
13 Apr 2025
NARD72
CENT99
19 May 2024
NARD83
CENT78
14 Jan 2024
NARD79
CENT86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nardo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
67avg 65
H09/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
74-87
74
87
-13
60avg 65
A15/02
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
82-69
82
69
+13
77avg 65
A26/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
73-98
73
98
-25
57avg 65
A02/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
65-76
65
76
-11
56avg 65
H09/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
107-65
107
65
+42
109avg 65
H15/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
77-87
77
87
-10
73avg 65
A23/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 65
H30/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
73-87
73
87
-14
62avg 65
H02/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
77-92
77
92
-15
67avg 65
A06/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
27-23
8-29
27-10
14-23
27-23
15-25
18-16
25-19
19-10
20-16
18-24
16-28
18-26
26-24
13-20
18-20
16-15
18-23
13-18
25-8
30-24
22-17
30-16
23-24
19-20
27-24
8-19
24-13
8-25
20-13
22-19
22-21
15-26
19-23
17-17
20-30
12-21
25-16
20-25
159.3Avg total
78.1Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)74.781.2155.9-6.629%
Season at home (17)78.478.8157.2-0.447%
Season away (18)71.183.6154.7-12.411%
Last 10 (10)78.181.2159.3-3.130%
Last 5 (5)81.680.2161.8+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)74.281.4155.6-7.128%
vs Similar ◀ (5)78.075.2153.2+2.840%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCento
Date
Competition
Cantu
#2
W
77-72
77
72
+5
70avg 65
H09/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
78-73
78
73
+5
73avg 65
A16/02
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
76-97
76
97
-21
62avg 65
H19/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
72-78
72
78
-6
65avg 65
H26/02
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
77-76
77
76
+1
71avg 65
A02/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
65-71
65
71
-6
57avg 65
H09/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
79-78
79
78
+1
65avg 65
A15/03
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
76-73
76
73
+3
69avg 65
A23/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
71-76
71
76
-5
60avg 65
A30/03
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
69-72
69
72
-3
61avg 65
H06/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
19-18
14-14
19-22
12-19
28-18
15-18
23-18
29-23
16-25
14-26
17-23
18-23
22-10
10-19
22-26
18-14
18-23
23-16
18-23
16-16
12-13
18-16
19-26
15-25
27-17
24-16
13-20
11-15
22-18
20-17
23-23
10-18
23-18
19-24
19-16
20-13
11-23
17-16
21-20
150.6Avg total
74.0Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)72.877.5150.3-4.837%
Season at home (18)73.276.1149.2-2.939%
Season away (17)72.479.1151.5-6.835%
Last 10 (10)74.076.6150.6-2.650%
Last 5 (5)72.074.0146.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)69.679.6149.2-10.015%
vs Similar ◀ (17)75.374.8150.1+0.559%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nardo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -2.3-2.3
NardoCento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#12
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H09/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/02
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A26/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A02/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H09/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H15/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A23/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H30/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H02/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A06/04
Serie A2
81.3Avg total
39.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.340.778.1-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.239.178.4+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)35.742.177.8-6.419%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.881.3-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.482.0-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)37.641.479.0-3.836%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)36.037.673.6-1.620%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#2
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H09/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A16/02
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H19/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H26/02
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A02/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H09/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A15/03
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A23/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A30/03
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H06/04
Serie A2
73.9Avg total
37.2Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.638.372.9-3.823%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.538.072.5-3.531%-
Last 30 away (14)34.638.773.4-4.114%-
Last 10 (10)37.236.773.9+0.530%-
Last 5 (5)33.435.268.6-1.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)33.441.574.9-8.215%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)35.535.971.4-0.429%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nardo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.0
51.3%
50.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.3
35.0%
34.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws16.213.2
81.5%
74.4%13.2
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Centotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cento: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.1
50.3%
50.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.7
33.9%
34.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.413.9
75.5%
74.4%13.9
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nardo
LLWLWLLWLL
Cento
LLWWLWLLWW
#19
League position
#15
-4.2
Net rating
-3.4
105.5
Offensive rating
104.6
109.8
Defensive rating
108.1
51.8%
Effective FG%
50.5%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
19.0%
Turnover %
16.5%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.0%
3-point %
33.9%
43.6%
Assist %
41.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 104.6Defence109.8 · 108.1Shooting51.8% · 50.5%3-point %35.0% · 33.9%Ball care19.0% · 16.5%Off. rebounds27.2% · 25.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Nardo   ■ Cento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nardo wins
3
Cento wins
DateGameScore
15/12/24Cento v Nardo82-76 OT
09/06/24Cento v Nardo88-74
19/05/24Nardo v Cento83-78
14/01/24Nardo v Cento79-86 OT
05/11/23Cento v Nardo93-94 OT
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25ALibertas Livorno77-92
02/04/25HCantu73-87
30/03/25HAssigeco Piacenza74-70
23/03/25AFortitudo Bologna77-87
15/03/25HVigevano107-65
09/03/25HBrindisi65-76
02/03/25AJuVi Cremona73-98
26/02/25AForli82-69
15/02/25ASebastiani Rieti74-87
09/02/25HUrania Milano79-81
Centolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HUdine69-72
30/03/25AOrzinuovi71-76
23/03/25ALibertas Livorno76-73
15/03/25AAvellino Basket79-78
09/03/25HUrania Milano65-71
02/03/25ABrindisi77-76
26/02/25HFortitudo Bologna72-78
19/02/25HPesaro76-97
16/02/25AVigevano78-73
09/02/25HCantu77-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL29%
HomeLLWWL47%
AwayLWLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %29%47%11%
Points / game74.778.471.1
Allowed / game81.278.883.6
Point differential-6.6-0.4-12.4
Avg total155.9157.2154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Cento
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL37%
HomeWLLLL39%
AwayWWWWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %37%39%35%
Points / game72.873.272.4
Allowed / game77.576.179.1
Point differential-4.8-2.9-6.8
Avg total150.3149.2151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%11%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)43% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3527877%83.074.7+8.3
2 Rimini35251071%81.977.5+4.4
3 Cantu35221363%77.973.6+4.3
4 Forli35211460%78.076.1+1.9
5 Sebastiani Rieti35211460%75.874.0+1.8
6 Verona36211558%77.373.9+3.4
7 Cividale36211558%80.378.9+1.4
8 Fortitudo Bologna35201557%76.073.8+2.2
9 Urania Milano36201656%76.576.8-0.3
10 Pesaro35191654%82.180.2+1.9
11 Basket Torino35191654%76.575.3+1.2
12 Brindisi35181751%76.876.3+0.5
13 Avellino Basket35181751%79.179.9-0.8
14 Orzinuovi35152043%77.780.0-2.3
15 Cento35132237%72.877.5-4.8
16 JuVi Cremona36132336%81.283.2-2.0
17 Libertas Livorno36122433%75.577.7-2.2
18 Vigevano35112431%75.480.9-5.5
19 Nardo35102529%74.781.2-6.6
20 Assigeco Piacenza3672919%76.382.9-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nardo1113202872
Cento2429281899
← all games of the day
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