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Forli vs Cividale Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 91-81
23-28 26-14 19-27 23-12
Position#6
Record23-17
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game76.2
Forli 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#5
Record25-15
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game78.5
ItalySerie A2Serie A2 - Quarter-finals· PalaGalassi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Forli v Cividale
11 Apr 2027
FORL v CIVI
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
FORL58
CIVI79
18 May 2025
FORL83
CIVI72
16 May 2025
FORL91
CIVI81
12 Jan 2025
FORL79
CIVI82
01 Nov 2023
FORL84
CIVI78
20 Nov 2022
FORL53
CIVI56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cividale winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#9
L
71-84
71
84
-13
56avg 69
A15/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
100-82
100
82
+18
94avg 69
A22/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
86-85
86
85
+1
81avg 69
H26/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
94-74
94
74
+20
93avg 69
H30/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
55avg 69
A06/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
67-58
67
58
+9
64avg 69
H13/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
78-70
78
70
+8
74avg 69
H19/04
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
67-86
67
86
-19
58avg 69
A27/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
85-90
85
90
-5
72avg 69
A11/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
74-82
74
82
-8
63avg 69
A13/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
14-22
13-14
28-22
33-19
15-17
26-20
26-26
27-24
21-14
21-25
17-22
27-21
31-14
23-22
13-17
9-21
14-27
17-7
28-24
11-11
16-19
24-17
16-11
21-19
19-17
23-12
15-22
21-25
9-29
23-18
14-14
26-27
22-19
22-23
15-21
12-20
21-12
20-19
21-31
158.0Avg total
79.0Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)77.576.2153.7+1.357%
Season at home (19)79.273.8153.0+5.374%
Season away (21)76.078.4154.4-2.443%
Last 10 (10)79.079.0158.0+0.050%
Last 5 (5)74.277.2151.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.580.0158.5-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (21)76.376.1152.4+0.252%
vs Weaker (7)82.782.0164.7+0.771%
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#18
L
84-100
84
100
-16
75avg 72
A09/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
74-83
74
83
-9
64avg 72
H19/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
54-56
54
56
-2
44avg 72
H22/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
79-71
79
71
+8
70avg 72
A30/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
86-79
86
79
+7
84avg 72
A06/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
95-96 OT
95
96
-1
82avg 72
H12/04
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
83-75
83
75
+8
80avg 72
H19/04
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
75-65
75
65
+10
69avg 72
A27/04
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
90-85
90
85
+5
81avg 72
H11/05
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
82-74
82
74
+8
76avg 72
H13/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
22-24
24-18
21-30
16-21
13-16
19-17
26-29
15-11
14-14
16-19
9-12
25-19
15-15
24-15
15-22
21-20
23-17
17-31
25-11
27-17
18-34
25-13
18-24
18-21
14-27
27-14
24-13
21-19
19-18
21-11
14-17
27-26
19-22
23-22
21-15
20-12
12-21
19-20
31-21
158.6Avg total
80.2Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)80.578.5159.0+2.162%
Season at home (21)82.577.6160.1+4.971%
Season away (19)78.479.4157.8-1.153%
Last 10 (10)80.278.4158.6+1.860%
Last 5 (5)85.079.0164.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.076.0142.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (22)81.279.9161.0+1.355%
vs Weaker (7)84.479.9164.3+4.671%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
ForliCividale
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#9
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A15/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A22/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H26/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
58-35
58
35
+23
H30/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A06/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H13/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H19/04
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A27/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A11/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A13/05
Serie A2
78.8Avg total
38.5Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.476.8+0.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.635.775.4+3.971%-
Last 30 away (16)37.440.878.1-3.444%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.378.8-1.860%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.675.2-4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.044.582.5-6.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)38.536.875.3+1.762%-
vs Weaker (7)38.341.479.7-3.143%-
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#18
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A09/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H19/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H22/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A30/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A06/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H12/04
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H19/04
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A27/04
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H11/05
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H13/05
Serie A2
77.8Avg total
37.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.779.4-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.741.081.7-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)38.638.477.0+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.277.8-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.482.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.044.085.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)39.239.278.4+0.055%-
vs Weaker (7)41.040.781.7+0.343%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.2
49.3%
50.1%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.3
32.4%
34.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.915.5
77.9%
74.4%15.5
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.0
49.6%
50.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.6
34.2%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.514.8
80.0%
74.4%14.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
LLLWWLWWWL
Cividale
WWWWLWWLLL
#6
League position
#5
-0.5
Net rating
+3.0
106.3
Offensive rating
109.3
106.8
Defensive rating
106.2
49.0%
Effective FG%
50.3%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.2%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.4%
3-point %
34.2%
55.8%
Assist %
56.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 109.3Defence106.8 · 106.2Shooting49.0% · 50.3%3-point %32.4% · 34.2%Ball care15.6% · 16.2%Off. rebounds28.9% · 31.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Forli   ■ Cividale
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Forli wins
6
Cividale wins
DateGameScore
13/05/25Cividale v Forli82-74
11/05/25Cividale v Forli90-85
12/01/25Forli v Cividale79-82
29/09/24Cividale v Forli77-69
06/01/24Cividale v Forli86-77
01/11/23Forli v Cividale84-78 OT
11/02/23Cividale v Forli73-77
20/11/22Forli v Cividale53-56
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/25ACividale74-82
11/05/25ACividale85-90
27/04/25ACento67-86
19/04/25HBrindisi78-70
13/04/25HFortitudo Bologna67-58
06/04/25ASebastiani Rieti68-79
30/03/25HUrania Milano94-74
26/03/25HAvellino Basket86-85
22/03/25AAssigeco Piacenza100-82
15/03/25APesaro71-84
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/25HForli82-74
11/05/25HForli90-85
27/04/25AOrzinuovi75-65
19/04/25HCento83-75
12/04/25HUrania Milano95-96 OT
06/04/25AFortitudo Bologna86-79
30/03/25ABrindisi79-71
22/03/25HBasket Torino54-56
19/03/25HVerona74-83
09/03/25AVigevano84-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL57%
HomeWWWWW74%
AwayWLLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %57%74%43%
Points / game77.579.276.0
Allowed / game76.273.878.4
Point differential+1.3+5.3-2.4
Avg total153.7153.0154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%21%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (16)56% (9)71% (7)
Overtime %8%11%5%
Cividale
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayWLWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %62%71%53%
Points / game80.582.578.4
Allowed / game78.577.679.4
Point differential+2.1+4.9-1.1
Avg total159.0160.1157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%24%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (16)56% (9)71% (7)
Overtime %10%10%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3830879%84.075.9+8.2
2 Rimini40281270%82.278.0+4.2
3 Cantu41261563%77.873.6+4.2
4 Sebastiani Rieti40251562%75.373.2+2.1
5 Cividale40251562%80.578.5+2.1
6 Forli40231757%77.576.2+1.3
7 Fortitudo Bologna42231955%75.474.0+1.4
8 Verona39211854%77.975.2+2.8
9 Pesaro40211952%82.280.6+1.6
10 Urania Milano40211952%75.776.4-0.7
11 Basket Torino39201951%77.577.0+0.5
12 Avellino Basket39201951%79.680.3-0.7
13 Brindisi42212150%76.976.6+0.3
14 Orzinuovi38162242%77.880.3-2.5
15 Cento38152339%73.977.3-3.4
16 Libertas Livorno40152538%77.278.8-1.6
17 JuVi Cremona40152538%81.483.2-1.7
18 Vigevano40132732%77.082.2-5.2
19 Nardo40122830%75.982.2-6.3
20 Assigeco Piacenza3873118%76.483.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli2326192391
Cividale2814271281
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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