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Cento vs Sebastiani Rieti Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-82
26-20 13-17 29-28 21-17
Position#18
Record8-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game80.1
Cento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#10
Record11-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game77.5
ItalySerie A2Round 20· Milwaukee Dinelli Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cento v Sebastiani Rieti
20 Feb 2027
CENT v SEBA
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
CENT89
SEBA82
29 Jan 2025
CENT81
SEBA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCento
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
84-76
84
76
+8
77avg 69
H08/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
52avg 69
A12/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
80-67
80
67
+13
80avg 69
H16/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
69-90
69
90
-21
57avg 69
A22/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
73-78
73
78
-5
60avg 69
H26/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
80-91
80
91
-11
70avg 69
A30/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
101-90
101
90
+11
95avg 69
H07/12
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
66-80
66
80
-14
52avg 69
A14/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
69-76
69
76
-7
58avg 69
H21/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
85-97
85
97
-12
70avg 69
A28/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
21-23
22-22
24-14
19-12
21-15
11-20
17-27
15-19
27-27
20-11
18-10
22-27
19-18
12-22
16-23
10-24
20-17
24-13
19-24
17-26
17-24
23-14
23-27
29-18
28-26
24-21
20-25
15-15
21-18
18-23
12-24
16-20
16-21
13-21
24-14
19-20
23-27
22-23
21-27
159.4Avg total
77.5Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.580.1158.6-1.642%
Season at home (9)81.877.1158.9+4.767%
Season away (10)75.582.8158.3-7.320%
Last 10 (10)77.581.9159.4-4.430%
Last 5 (5)80.286.8167.0-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.477.8152.2-3.531%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.980.1160.1-0.247%
vs Weaker (2)85.075.5160.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
W
86-61
86
61
+25
91avg 71
A09/11
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
68-88
68
88
-20
61avg 71
H12/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
76-74
76
74
+2
65avg 71
A16/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
94-76
94
76
+18
96avg 71
H22/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
79-95
79
95
-16
72avg 71
A26/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
72-82
72
82
-10
65avg 71
A07/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
64-75
64
75
-11
58avg 71
H14/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
87-76
87
76
+11
88avg 71
H17/12
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
73-91
73
91
-18
60avg 71
A21/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
68-62
68
62
+6
57avg 71
H28/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
30-19
23-16
14-11
20-23
13-24
15-23
20-18
20-20
18-20
19-15
19-19
27-16
18-21
26-24
23-15
27-21
14-26
21-26
17-22
17-19
23-20
22-18
10-25
16-20
14-22
13-18
21-15
23-20
21-19
19-22
24-15
13-18
19-25
19-25
22-23
20-20
15-13
15-16
18-13
154.7Avg total
76.7Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.377.5156.7+1.858%
Season at home (10)77.874.2152.0+3.660%
Season away (9)80.981.1162.0-0.256%
Last 10 (10)76.778.0154.7-1.350%
Last 5 (5)72.877.2150.0-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.281.2154.3-8.017%
vs Similar ◀ (16)73.673.6147.2+0.169%
vs Weaker (8)88.177.6165.8+10.575%
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
CentoSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H08/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A12/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H16/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A22/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H26/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A30/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H07/12
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A14/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H21/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A28/12
Serie A2
80.6Avg total
39.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.978.2+0.430%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.639.679.1+0.029%-
Last 30 away (16)39.138.277.3+0.831%-
Last 10 (10)39.241.480.6-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.083.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.338.277.5+1.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.539.178.7+0.427%-
vs Weaker (2)37.541.078.5-3.50%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A09/11
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H12/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H22/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A26/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A07/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H14/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H17/12
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A21/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H28/12
Serie A2
78.8Avg total
38.7Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.238.176.3+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.735.372.1+1.460%-
Last 30 away (15)39.640.980.5-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)38.740.178.8-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.275.4-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.840.375.2-5.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.236.975.1+1.250%-
vs Weaker (8)40.638.879.4+1.962%-
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Centotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cento: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.7
49.2%
50.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.0
31.6%
34.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.812.1
72.0%
74.4%12.1
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.4
52.0%
50.8%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.2
34.0%
34.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.315.3
75.4%
74.4%15.3
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cento
LLLWLLLWLW
Sebastiani Rieti
WLWLLLWWLW
#18
League position
#10
-6.1
Net rating
-1.8
105.7
Offensive rating
104.9
111.7
Defensive rating
106.7
48.4%
Effective FG%
51.6%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
13.6%
Turnover %
18.5%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.6%
3-point %
34.0%
53.1%
Assist %
60.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 104.9Defence111.7 · 106.7Shooting48.4% · 51.6%3-point %31.6% · 34.0%Ball care13.6% · 18.5%Off. rebounds28.0% · 26.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Cento   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cento wins
4
Sebastiani Rieti wins
DateGameScore
12/10/25Sebastiani Rieti v Cento73-67
29/01/25Cento v Sebastiani Rieti81-84
22/12/24Sebastiani Rieti v Cento76-65
07/04/24Sebastiani Rieti v Cento84-75
Centolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25AUrania Milano85-97
21/12/25HVerona69-76
14/12/25APesaro66-80
07/12/25HAvellino Basket101-90
30/11/25APistoia80-91
26/11/25HRimini73-78
22/11/25ABrindisi69-90
16/11/25HFortitudo Bologna80-67
12/11/25ACividale68-74
08/11/25HRuvo Di Puglia84-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HFortitudo Bologna68-62
21/12/25APesaro73-91
17/12/25HBrindisi87-76
14/12/25HLibertas Livorno64-75
07/12/25ABasket Torino72-82
26/11/25AScafati79-95
22/11/25HUrania Milano94-76
16/11/25AJuVi Cremona76-74
12/11/25HBlu Basket Bergamo68-88
09/11/25AVerona86-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cento
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL42%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%67%20%
Points / game78.581.875.5
Allowed / game80.177.182.8
Point differential-1.6+4.7-7.3
Avg total158.6158.9158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW58%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWWLLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %58%60%56%
Points / game79.377.880.9
Allowed / game77.574.281.1
Point differential+1.8+3.6-0.2
Avg total156.7152.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%40%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini1913668%82.876.1+6.7
2 Brindisi1913668%77.572.5+5.0
3 Pesaro1913668%82.277.3+4.9
4 Verona1913668%78.473.9+4.4
5 Cividale2013765%78.275.5+2.8
6 Libertas Livorno1911858%77.973.2+4.7
7 Fortitudo Bologna1911858%75.271.5+3.7
8 Scafati1911858%82.278.6+3.6
9 Avellino Basket1911858%80.577.2+3.4
10 Sebastiani Rieti1911858%79.377.5+1.8
11 Basket Torino1910953%74.673.4+1.2
12 Blu Basket Bergamo189950%82.181.9+0.1
13 Mestre1991047%77.779.9-2.2
14 Cento1981142%78.580.1-1.6
15 Urania Milano1971237%78.183.6-5.5
16 Pistoia1961332%77.782.3-4.6
17 Forli1961332%76.381.7-5.5
18 JuVi Cremona1961332%73.980.3-6.4
19 Ruvo Di Puglia1951426%74.385.2-10.9
20 Roseto1941521%79.184.8-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cento2613292189
Sebastiani Rieti2017281782
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