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Cento vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-67
15-19 27-27 20-11 18-10
Position#18
Record6-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game77.5
Cento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#4
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game71.5
ItalySerie A2Round 12· Milwaukee Dinelli Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cento v Fortitudo Bologna
22 Nov 2026
CENT v FBO
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
CENT80
FBO67
26 Feb 2025
CENT72
FBO78
21 Jan 2024
CENT61
FBO57
19 May 2023
CENT74
FBO88
14 May 2023
CENT91
FBO73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCento
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#13
L
66-82
66
82
-16
54avg 67
H28/09
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
70-78
70
78
-8
62avg 67
A03/10
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
83-76
83
76
+7
77avg 67
H08/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
67-73
67
73
-6
60avg 67
A12/10
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
86-75
86
75
+11
78avg 67
H19/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
86-95
86
95
-9
78avg 67
A25/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
94-74
94
74
+20
84avg 67
H29/10
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
87-82
87
82
+5
82avg 67
A02/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
84-76
84
76
+8
77avg 67
H08/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
52avg 67
A12/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
19-19
14-16
18-25
22-14
19-24
19-25
10-15
23-23
18-26
24-16
18-11
25-20
10-21
16-16
16-16
18-21
19-21
18-14
31-19
25-13
14-29
19-23
28-30
19-11
26-23
20-22
29-18
18-14
18-33
21-15
30-20
17-17
21-23
22-22
24-14
19-12
21-15
11-20
17-27
157.6Avg total
79.1Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.977.5156.5+1.455%
Season at home (5)82.676.6159.2+6.080%
Season away (6)75.878.3154.2-2.533%
Last 10 (10)79.178.5157.6+0.650%
Last 5 (5)83.880.2164.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.877.2153.1-1.442%
vs Similar (16)78.676.9155.5+1.856%
vs Weaker (2)85.075.5160.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
W
94-64
94
64
+30
91avg 73
H28/09
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
81-78
81
78
+3
90avg 73
H05/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
108-103 OT
108
103
+5
105avg 73
A08/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
74-81
74
81
-7
71avg 73
H12/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
58-68
58
68
-10
56avg 73
A19/10
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
55-47
55
47
+8
49avg 73
H25/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
85-60
85
60
+25
83avg 73
H28/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
81-76
81
76
+5
76avg 73
A02/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
77-66
77
66
+11
78avg 73
H08/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
81-58
81
58
+23
78avg 73
A12/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
8-16
33-13
27-14
29-25
21-13
22-26
9-14
32-18
23-21
24-29
10-21
24-21
6-23
27-27
17-10
19-24
7-20
12-10
20-14
17-8
12-13
12-18
14-8
18-17
18-23
28-11
21-9
17-17
17-12
30-23
17-24
23-16
10-14
24-19
20-17
20-13
22-13
18-22
21-10
149.5Avg total
79.4Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.671.5151.2+8.173%
Season at home (6)77.766.0143.7+11.783%
Season away (5)82.078.2160.2+3.860%
Last 10 (10)79.470.1149.5+9.380%
Last 5 (5)75.861.4137.2+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.576.3145.8-6.833%
vs Similar (16)74.473.1147.5+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)82.575.0157.5+7.575%
This opponent (Cento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +3.5+3.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +3.5+3.5
CentoFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#13
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H28/09
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A03/10
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H08/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A12/10
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H19/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A25/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H29/10
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A02/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H08/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A12/11
Serie A2
78.7Avg total
38.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.837.876.6+1.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.439.277.6-0.829%-
Last 30 away (16)39.236.675.8+2.638%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.178.7-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.077.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.638.277.8+1.442%-
vs Similar (16)38.437.175.6+1.331%-
vs Weaker (2)37.541.078.5-3.50%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H28/09
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H05/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A08/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H12/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A19/10
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H25/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H28/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A02/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H08/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A12/11
Serie A2
71.7Avg total
36.9Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.036.973.9+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.537.576.0+0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)35.536.371.8-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)36.934.871.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)34.829.264.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.737.272.8-1.533%-
vs Similar (16)36.836.273.0+0.544%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.438.176.5+0.250%-
This opponent (Cento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Centotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cento: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.522.3
53.7%
50.8%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.5
30.4%
34.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws15.311.0
71.9%
74.4%11.0
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.115.8
52.5%
50.8%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.0
34.8%
34.6%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.514.2
81.1%
74.4%14.2
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cento
LWWWLWLWLL
Fortitudo Bologna
WWWWWLLWWW
#18
League position
#4
+0.8
Net rating
+14.1
107.8
Offensive rating
114.4
107.0
Defensive rating
100.3
50.7%
Effective FG%
52.4%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
13.9%
Turnover %
16.0%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.4%
3-point %
34.8%
52.3%
Assist %
73.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 114.4Defence107.0 · 100.3Shooting50.7% · 52.4%3-point %30.4% · 34.8%Ball care13.9% · 16.0%Off. rebounds28.5% · 30.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Cento   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cento wins
6
Fortitudo Bologna wins
Centolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25ACividale68-74
08/11/25HRuvo Di Puglia84-76
02/11/25AScafati87-82
29/10/25HJuVi Cremona94-74
25/10/25ABlu Basket Bergamo86-95
19/10/25HRoseto86-75
12/10/25ASebastiani Rieti67-73
08/10/25HForli83-76
03/10/25AMestre70-78
28/09/25HBasket Torino66-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25AMestre81-58
08/11/25HBrindisi77-66
02/11/25APistoia81-76
28/10/25HBasket Torino85-60
25/10/25HVerona55-47
19/10/25AJuVi Cremona58-68
12/10/25HPesaro74-81
08/10/25AUrania Milano108-103 OT
05/10/25HCividale81-78
28/09/25HScafati94-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cento
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL55%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%80%33%
Points / game78.982.675.8
Allowed / game77.576.678.3
Point differential+1.4+6.0-2.5
Avg total156.5159.2154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%83%60%
Points / game79.677.782.0
Allowed / game71.566.078.2
Point differential+8.1+11.7+3.8
Avg total151.2143.7160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro1210283%84.076.4+7.6
2 Fortitudo Bologna118373%79.671.5+8.1
3 Brindisi117464%78.271.8+6.4
4 Sebastiani Rieti117464%81.276.5+4.7
5 Verona117464%76.072.9+3.1
6 Libertas Livorno127558%78.873.6+5.2
7 Cividale127558%77.675.8+1.8
8 Rimini116555%82.178.8+3.3
9 Avellino Basket116555%79.277.0+2.2
10 Cento116555%78.977.5+1.4
11 Blu Basket Bergamo115645%83.182.3+0.8
12 Scafati115645%79.079.0+0.0
13 Forli115645%73.978.8-4.9
14 JuVi Cremona115645%72.480.4-8.0
15 Mestre114736%79.582.8-3.3
16 Pistoia114736%80.183.5-3.4
17 Basket Torino114736%70.276.0-5.8
18 Ruvo Di Puglia114736%77.084.0-7.0
19 Urania Milano123925%77.284.3-7.2
20 Roseto112918%83.288.7-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cento1527201880
Fortitudo Bologna1927111067
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