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Cento vs Sebastiani Rieti Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#18
Record2-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#4
Record7-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game72.1
ItalySerie A2Round 28· Milwaukee Dinelli Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cento v Sebastiani Rieti
20 Feb 2027
CENT v SEBA
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
CENT89
SEBA82
29 Jan 2025
CENT81
SEBA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cento win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCento
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
83-63
83
63
+20
80avg 65
A08/05
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
L
81-96
81
96
-15
69avg 65
H27/09
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
44avg 65
A03/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
98-88
98
88
+10
94avg 65
H11/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
54avg 65
A17/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
L
52-96
52
96
-44
22avg 65
H21/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
77-71
77
71
+6
61avg 65
A25/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
64-74
64
74
-10
55avg 65
H30/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
63-76
63
76
-13
no box
A04/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
77-79
77
79
-2
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
23-10
22-12
17-15
14-31
25-25
19-20
23-20
18-31
19-16
19-18
17-15
24-27
21-21
29-21
24-19
20-24
12-23
22-13
16-20
10-24
13-25
20-23
9-24
14-25
12-17
26-13
25-16
18-16
13-21
21-23
12-14
11-23
21-23
14-15
17-15
17-16
19-17
23-27
18-19
154.1Avg total
73.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.882.2155.0-9.422%
Season at home (5)74.486.6161.0-12.220%
Season away (4)70.876.8147.5-6.025%
Last 10 (10)73.880.3154.1-6.530%
Last 5 (5)66.679.2145.8-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)72.982.2155.1-9.37%
vs Similar (9)78.883.6162.3-4.822%
vs Weaker (6)80.073.5153.5+6.567%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
78-90
78
90
-12
65avg 70
H15/05
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
69avg 70
H27/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
79-64
79
64
+15
78avg 70
A04/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 70
H11/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
71-93
71
93
-22
55avg 70
A18/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
W
70-63
70
63
+7
73avg 70
H21/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
73-96
73
96
-23
57avg 70
A25/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
73-65
73
65
+8
66avg 70
H01/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
68-63
68
63
+5
no box
A08/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
80-62
80
62
+18
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
18-27
21-13
23-26
27-18
17-19
19-21
18-15
24-15
26-17
16-15
13-17
24-23
21-15
12-12
21-20
11-25
33-30
15-13
12-25
18-17
18-20
13-15
21-11
25-32
14-28
14-10
20-26
21-16
15-23
14-7
23-19
17-10
11-17
24-15
16-21
23-13
12-13
23-19
22-17
149.0Avg total
75.1Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.872.1146.9+2.778%
Season at home (5)76.466.6143.0+9.8100%
Season away (4)72.879.0151.8-6.250%
Last 10 (10)75.173.9149.0+1.270%
Last 5 (5)72.869.8142.6+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.281.0157.2-4.840%
vs Similar (14)75.576.4151.9-0.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.074.6155.6+6.491%
This opponent (Cento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.6-7.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.6-7.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
CentoSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A08/05
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H27/09
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A03/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H11/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
L
23-49
23
49
-26
H21/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A25/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H30/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A04/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H11/11
Serie A2
78.6Avg total
34.5Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.241.879.0-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.340.677.9-3.231%-
Last 30 away (14)37.043.380.3-6.329%-
Last 10 (10)34.544.178.6-9.620%-
Last 5 (5)29.641.471.0-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.342.477.7-7.120%-
vs Similar (9)39.243.983.1-4.722%-
vs Weaker (6)38.737.376.0+1.367%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H15/05
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H27/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A04/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A18/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H21/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A25/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H01/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A08/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H11/11
Serie A2
79.3Avg total
39.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.077.6-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.538.678.1+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)37.539.577.0-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.279.3-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.837.872.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.045.285.2-5.240%-
vs Similar (14)37.741.178.8-3.421%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)38.933.672.5+5.373%-
This opponent (Cento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Centotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cento: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.2
52.3%
51.2%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.2
28.2%
34.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.514.9
76.4%
71.0%14.9
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.715.2
49.5%
51.2%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.1
29.6%
34.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.517.7
69.4%
71.0%17.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cento
LLLWLLWLLW
Sebastiani Rieti
WWWLWLWWWL
#18
League position
#4
-2.3
Net rating
-1.7
92.8
Offensive rating
94.2
95.1
Defensive rating
95.9
47.6%
Effective FG%
47.0%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
12.3%
Turnover %
10.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.42
28.2%
3-point %
29.6%
55.9%
Assist %
49.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence92.8 · 94.2Defence95.1 · 95.9Shooting47.6% · 47.0%3-point %28.2% · 29.6%Ball care12.3% · 10.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Cento   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cento wins
4
Sebastiani Rieti wins
Centolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HJuVi Cremona77-79
04/11/26ALibertas Livorno63-76
30/10/26HCividale64-74
25/10/26AMontecatini77-71
21/10/26HPistoia52-96
17/10/26ASassari70-80
11/10/26HVigevano98-88
03/10/26AForli73-80
27/09/26HPesaro81-96
08/05/26ARoseto83-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HMontecatini80-62
08/11/26ARuvo Di Puglia68-63
01/11/26HJuVi Cremona73-65
25/10/26ARimini73-96
21/10/26HBrindisi70-63
18/10/26AForli71-93
11/10/26HPistoia78-70
04/10/26AVigevano79-64
27/09/26HCaserta81-73
15/05/26HCividale78-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cento
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%20%25%
Points / game72.874.470.8
Allowed / game82.286.676.8
Point differential-9.4-12.2-6.0
Avg total155.0161.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%100%50%
Points / game74.876.472.8
Allowed / game72.166.679.0
Point differential+2.7+9.8-6.2
Avg total146.9143.0151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia95456%77.469.6+7.9
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Urania Milano91811%75.783.1-7.4
20 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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