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Central Arkansas vs Bellarmine Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-73
0-0 48-34 0-0 38-39
Position#83
Record20-11
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game74.4
Central Arkansas 🏆
USA
vs
Bellarmine
USA
Position#279
Record13-18
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game81.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Central Arkansas v Bellarmine
06 Mar 2026
CENT86
BELL73
11 Feb 2026
CENT84
BELL76
04 Jan 2025
CENT71
BELL65
13 Jan 2024
CENT59
BELL57
16 Feb 2022
CENT69
BELL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Central Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bellarmine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Central ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H31/01
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H05/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A07/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A10/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H12/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H14/02
NCAA
Stetson
#304
W
88-76
88
76
+12
A20/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
71-75 OT
71
75
-4
A21/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
W
93-88
93
88
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
40-27
0-0
50-54
0-0
40-39
0-0
41-21
0-0
45-33
0-0
41-45
0-0
29-37
0-0
43-28
0-0
33-34
0-0
51-42
0-0
44-35
0-0
35-27
0-0
52-26
0-0
36-50
0-0
29-32
0-0
34-31
0-0
44-46
0-0
49-42
0-0
31-24
0-0
53-55
156.8Avg total
82.8Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.574.4155.0+6.165%
Season at home (15)86.967.3154.1+19.693%
Season away (16)74.681.1155.8-6.538%
Last 10 (10)82.874.0156.8+8.890%
Last 5 (5)83.076.0159.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.083.0155.0-11.00%
vs Similar (7)72.485.1157.6-12.729%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)83.970.8154.7+13.181%
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Queens Royals
#116
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Stetson
#304
W
92-71
92
71
+21
H06/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H07/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A12/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
70-90
70
90
-20
A14/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H19/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
L
92-95
92
95
-3
H22/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A26/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
W
111-97
111
97
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H04/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-38
0-0
39-37
0-0
47-35
0-0
45-36
0-0
32-31
0-0
49-34
0-0
34-33
0-0
42-51
0-0
33-53
0-0
37-37
0-0
28-36
0-0
44-39
0-0
42-53
0-0
50-42
0-0
29-34
0-0
39-39
0-0
48-46
0-0
63-51
0-0
47-32
0-0
35-47
162.6Avg total
82.2Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.381.5161.8-1.342%
Season at home (16)84.475.8160.2+8.669%
Season away (15)75.987.7163.5-11.813%
Last 10 (10)82.280.4162.6+1.850%
Last 5 (5)85.083.8168.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.285.0164.2-5.822%
vs Similar (15)78.480.1158.5-1.753%
vs Weaker (5)89.280.6169.8+8.640%
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +3.0+3.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +3.0+3.0
Central ArkansasBellarmine
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Central ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H31/01
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H05/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A07/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A10/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H12/02
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H14/02
NCAA
Stetson
#304
W
52-26
52
26
+26
A20/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A26/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H28/02
NCAA
72.0Avg total
38.7Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.534.073.5+5.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.630.071.6+11.680%-
Last 30 away (15)37.338.075.3-0.727%-
Last 10 (10)38.733.372.0+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.032.672.6+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.047.078.0-16.00%-
vs Similar (7)38.138.376.4-0.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)39.932.472.3+7.562%-
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Queens Royals
#116
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H31/01
NCAA
Stetson
#304
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H07/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A12/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A14/02
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H19/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H22/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A26/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H04/03
NCAA
77.0Avg total
37.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.440.076.4-3.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.437.275.7+1.262%-
Last 30 away (14)34.043.277.2-9.221%-
Last 10 (10)37.939.177.0-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.279.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.443.679.0-8.133%-
vs Similar (15)35.340.275.5-4.940%-
vs Weaker (5)40.236.276.4+4.060%-
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Central Arkansas wins
5
Bellarmine wins
DateGameScore
12/02/26Central Arkansas v Bellarmine84-76
09/01/26Bellarmine v Central Arkansas84-78 OT
04/01/25Central Arkansas v Bellarmine71-65
22/02/24Bellarmine v Central Arkansas68-65
13/01/24Central Arkansas v Bellarmine59-57
19/02/23Bellarmine v Central Arkansas68-67
17/02/22Central Arkansas v Bellarmine69-79
12/01/22Bellarmine v Central Arkansas85-63
Central Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HQueens Royals84-79
26/02/26AAustin Peay93-88
21/02/26AFlorida Gulf Coast71-75 OT
20/02/26AStetson88-76
14/02/26HWest Georgia79-62
12/02/26HBellarmine84-76
10/02/26ANorth Alabama72-65
07/02/26ALipscomb86-78
05/02/26HNorth Alabama81-60
31/01/26HEastern Kentucky90-81
Bellarminelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HJacksonville Dolphins82-79
28/02/26HAustin Peay111-97
26/02/26ANorth Alabama68-73
22/02/26HEastern Kentucky92-95
19/02/26HLipscomb72-75
14/02/26AAustin Peay70-90
12/02/26ACentral Arkansas76-84
07/02/26HFlorida Gulf Coast81-65
06/02/26HStetson92-71
31/01/26HQueens Royals78-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Central Arkansas
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW65%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %65%93%38%
Points / game80.586.974.6
Allowed / game74.467.381.1
Point differential+6.1+19.6-6.5
Avg total155.0154.1155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%60%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %13%7%19%
Bellarmine
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW42%
HomeWLLWW69%
AwayWLLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %42%69%13%
Points / game80.384.475.9
Allowed / game81.575.887.7
Point differential-1.3+8.6-11.8
Avg total161.8160.2163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)57% (7)0% (3)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Austin Peay2921872%82.073.1+8.9
2 Central Arkansas31201165%80.574.4+6.1
3 Lipscomb31191261%80.575.7+4.8
4 Queens Royals31181358%84.783.3+1.5
5 West Georgia31151648%77.079.8-2.8
6 Florida Gulf Coast32151747%77.877.2+0.6
7 Bellarmine31131842%80.381.5-1.3
8 Stetson32122038%74.180.1-6.0
9 Eastern Kentucky32112134%80.281.8-1.6
10 North Alabama3092130%69.477.6-8.2
11 North Florida3272522%79.688.2-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Central Arkansas04803886
Bellarmine03403973
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