Cerrado vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Jan 2021

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 77-76

22-18 16-18 18-18 21-22

Position#14

Record4-13

FormWWLLW

Points / game74.8

Allowed / game79.1

Cerrado 🏆

Pato

Position#11

Record7-10

FormLLLWW

Points / game75.7

Allowed / game80.9

NBB

Other2020-21

Meetings · Cerrado v Pato

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cerrado winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pato winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cerrado

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Minas

77-97

-20

A06/12

NBB

Pinheiros

#13

77-80

-3

A13/12

NBB

Sao Paulo

83-91

-8

A15/12

NBB

Flamengo

67-87

-20

H20/12

NBB

Pato

#11

68-79

-11

A22/12

NBB

Brasilia

#16

97-85

+12

H06/01

NBB

Campo Mourao

#15

74-66

A08/01

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

71-74

-3

H10/01

NBB

Minas

80-93

-13

H26/01

NBB

Campo Mourao

#15

74-57

+17

H28/01

NBB

12-17

21-27

17-29

27-24

23-16

13-15

14-26

27-23

25-21

18-23

24-21

16-26

17-29

18-14

18-22

14-22

15-22

16-20

21-17

16-20

20-14

21-30

28-18

28-23

15-15

20-17

11-18

28-16

19-14

21-21

11-22

20-17

20-27

19-21

11-23

30-22

12-13

14-11

19-19

29-14

157.7Avg total

76.8Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	74.8	79.1	153.8	-4.3	24%
Season at home (10)	75.6	77.8	153.4	-2.2	30%
Season away (7)	73.6	80.9	154.4	-7.3	14%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	80.9	157.7	-4.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	75.0	154.2	+4.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	73.9	83.3	157.2	-9.4	0%
vs Similar ◀ (3)	70.0	74.3	144.3	-4.3	33%
vs Weaker (4)	80.5	72.0	152.5	+8.5	75%

This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pato

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

#13

77-85

-8

A07/12

NBB

Bauru

80-79

H10/12

NBB

Paulistano

68-75

-7

A12/12

NBB

Brasilia

#16

104-98 OT

104

A20/12

NBB

Cerrado

#14

79-68

+11

H22/12

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

75-80

-5

H04/01

NBB

Mogi

63-78

-15

A06/01

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

77-92

-15

H08/01

NBB

Brasilia

#16

98-76

+22

H26/01

NBB

Cearense

#10

71-68

A28/01

NBB

11-24

20-22

16-17

30-22

19-16

21-22

22-23

18-18

21-14

14-16

17-22

16-23

21-17

21-18

22-27

19-21

22-15

20-16

17-21

20-16

18-12

15-25

20-24

22-19

16-19

15-24

21-19

11-16

18-13

12-27

20-26

27-26

22-18

25-10

31-27

20-21

14-23

18-19

25-16

14-10

159.1Avg total

79.2Scored

79.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	75.7	80.9	156.6	-5.2	41%
Season at home (9)	77.6	79.2	156.8	-1.7	44%
Season away (8)	73.6	82.9	156.5	-9.2	38%
Last 10 (10)	79.2	79.9	159.1	-0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	78.8	155.6	-2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	73.5	81.4	154.9	-7.9	29%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	77.8	76.8	154.5	+1.0	50%
vs Weaker (2)	101.0	87.0	188.0	+14.0	100%

This opponent (Cerrado) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CerradoPato

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	18.8	20.1	38.8	-1.3	41%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.6	21.3	39.9	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (7)	19.0	18.3	37.3	+0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	16.6	33.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.7	22.6	41.3	-3.9	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.5	14.5	32.0	+3.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	18.9	35.9	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.0	17.1	34.1	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	20.7	37.6	-3.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	17.1	35.3	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.0	34.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	16.4	19.1	35.5	-2.7	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	17.5	39.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	17.2	18.2	35.5	-1.0	41%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	17.6	17.4	35.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (7)	16.7	19.4	36.1	-2.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.9	38.0	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.9	18.5	36.4	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	15.3	17.3	32.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.0	18.2	35.2	-1.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	20.1	38.0	-2.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	20.4	38.5	-2.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	19.7	37.4	-2.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.9	38.0	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	17.3	20.6	38.0	-3.3	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	18.8	19.8	38.5	-1.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	14.0	37.0	+9.0	100%	-

CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Minas

33-44

-11

A06/12

NBB

Pinheiros

#13

36-31

A13/12

NBB

Sao Paulo

43-44

-1

A15/12

NBB

Flamengo

35-43

-8

H20/12

NBB

Pato

#11

31-42

-11

A22/12

NBB

Brasilia

#16

41-44

-3

H06/01

NBB

Campo Mourao

#15

35-32

A08/01

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

40-35

H10/01

NBB

Minas

39-48

-9

H26/01

NBB

Campo Mourao

#15

26-24

H28/01

NBB

74.6Avg total

35.9Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	36.0	38.3	74.3	-2.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	36.2	38.7	74.9	-2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (7)	35.7	37.7	73.4	-2.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	38.7	74.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	36.6	72.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	36.6	41.1	77.7	-4.5	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	36.0	36.3	72.3	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	34.5	32.8	67.2	+1.8	75%	-

This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

#13

31-46

-15

A07/12

NBB

Bauru

40-38

H10/12

NBB

Paulistano

35-30

A12/12

NBB

Brasilia

#16

42-35

A20/12

NBB

Cerrado

#14

42-31

+11

H22/12

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

33-37

-4

H04/01

NBB

Mogi

31-43

-12

A06/01

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#12

30-40

-10

H08/01

NBB

Brasilia

#16

47-28

+19

H26/01

NBB

Cearense

#10

32-42

-10

A28/01

NBB

73.3Avg total

36.3Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.8	39.0	73.8	-4.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.1	37.5	72.7	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.5	40.5	75.0	-5.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	37.0	73.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	38.0	72.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	33.7	39.7	73.4	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	36.8	38.5	75.2	-1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.5	31.5	76.0	+13.0	100%	-

This opponent (Cerrado) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	17.7	19.5	37.2	-1.8	35%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	17.3	18.3	35.6	-1.0	30%	-
Last 30 away (7)	18.3	21.3	39.6	-3.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	21.5	38.9	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.8	20.1	37.9	-2.3	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	17.0	16.7	33.7	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	25%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.9	42.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	22.2	43.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	21.6	42.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	22.2	43.3	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.4	45.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	20.5	22.0	42.4	-1.5	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.5	27.0	53.5	-0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	21.1	21.2	42.3	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	22.1	20.8	42.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (7)	19.6	21.9	41.4	-2.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	20.7	44.2	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	18.4	45.4	+8.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.5	22.1	41.6	-2.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	17.0	21.3	38.3	-4.3	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	28.0	19.0	47.0	+9.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.7	39.3	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	19.8	37.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.2	38.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.4	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	38.8	40.8	79.5	-2.0	29%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	39.4	39.1	78.5	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (7)	37.9	43.1	81.0	-5.3	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	42.2	83.1	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	38.4	81.4	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.3	42.2	79.5	-4.9	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	34.0	38.0	72.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	46.0	39.2	85.2	+6.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	41.6	82.0	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	41.9	84.0	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.6	41.4	80.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	41.4	82.2	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	40.8	83.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	39.8	41.7	81.5	-1.9	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	41.0	38.2	79.2	+2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	48.0	94.0	-2.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cerrado wins

Pato wins

Date	Game	Score
22/12/20	Pato v Cerrado	79-68

Cerradolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/01/21	H	Campo Mourao	74-57
26/01/21	H	Minas	80-93
10/01/21	H	Corinthians Paulista	71-74
08/01/21	A	Campo Mourao	74-66
06/01/21	H	Brasilia	97-85
22/12/20	A	Pato	68-79
20/12/20	H	Flamengo	67-87
15/12/20	A	Sao Paulo	83-91
13/12/20	A	Pinheiros	77-80
06/12/20	A	Minas	77-97

Patolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/01/21	A	Cearense	71-68
26/01/21	H	Brasilia	98-76
08/01/21	H	Caxias do Sul	77-92
06/01/21	A	Mogi	63-78
04/01/21	H	Corinthians Paulista	75-80
22/12/20	H	Cerrado	79-68
20/12/20	A	Brasilia	104-98 OT
12/12/20	A	Paulistano	68-75
10/12/20	H	Bauru	80-79
07/12/20	A	Pinheiros	77-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cerrado

NBB 2020-21

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	24%
Home	LWLLW	30%
Away	LLLLW	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	10	7
Win %	24%	30%	14%
Points / game	74.8	75.6	73.6
Allowed / game	79.1	77.8	80.9
Point differential	-4.3	-2.2	-7.3
Avg total	153.8	153.4	154.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	25% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pato

NBB 2020-21

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	41%
Home	WWLLW	44%
Away	LLWLW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	41%	44%	38%
Points / game	75.7	77.6	73.6
Allowed / game	80.9	79.2	82.9
Point differential	-5.2	-1.7	-9.2
Avg total	156.6	156.8	156.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	22%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	50% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Minas	17	16	1	94%	84.5	72.5	+11.9
2	Flamengo	18	16	2	89%	89.0	70.5	+18.5
3	Sao Paulo	17	13	4	76%	91.0	77.9	+13.1
4	Paulistano	16	11	5	69%	74.9	73.4	+1.5
5	Bauru	18	12	6	67%	79.0	74.6	+4.4
6	Franca	17	9	8	53%	86.7	84.1	+2.6
7	Cearense	17	9	8	53%	72.2	70.4	+1.8
8	Mogi	17	9	8	53%	80.1	84.3	-4.2
9	Unifacisa	17	8	9	47%	82.0	80.2	+1.8
10	Corinthians Paulista	17	8	9	47%	70.1	72.6	-2.5
11	Pato	17	7	10	41%	75.7	80.9	-5.2
12	Pinheiros	18	6	12	33%	74.0	80.5	-6.5
13	Campo Mourao	17	5	12	29%	74.8	82.9	-8.1
14	Cerrado	17	4	13	24%	74.8	79.1	-4.3
15	Caxias do Sul	18	3	15	17%	74.1	82.6	-8.6
16	Brasilia	18	2	16	11%	77.3	93.0	-15.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cerrado	22	16	18	21	77
Pato	18	18	18	22	76

← all games of the day

Cerrado vs Pato Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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