Cerrado vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Jan 2023

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 109-110

27-22 36-27 22-32 24-29

Position#17

Record3-12

FormLWLLW

Points / game84.0

Allowed / game90.9

Cerrado

Pato 🏆

Position#12

Record4-11

FormWWLLL

Points / game74.6

Allowed / game83.5

NBB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Cerrado v Pato

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cerrado winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pato winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cerrado

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caxias do Sul

#11

67-82

-15

A05/11

NBB

Minas

102-112 OT

102

112

-10

H17/11

NBB

Brasilia

#15

88-96

-8

H26/11

NBB

Flamengo

80-91

-11

A29/11

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

79-88

-9

A01/12

NBB

Paulistano

80-93

-13

H13/12

NBB

Sao Paulo

101-94

101

H15/12

NBB

Franca

76-98

-22

A20/12

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

90-93

-3

A22/12

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

89-79

+10

H03/01

NBB

9-31

22-20

15-15

21-16

21-20

25-20

30-30

21-27

29-25

24-25

19-22

16-24

22-15

12-29

27-27

19-20

12-30

29-22

23-12

15-24

11-25

19-17

25-27

25-24

17-17

31-27

28-24

25-26

21-27

18-27

26-24

11-20

25-25

19-26

29-21

17-21

15-23

27-14

20-29

27-13

177.8Avg total

85.2Scored

92.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	84.0	90.9	174.9	-6.9	20%
Season at home (7)	88.9	92.7	181.6	-3.9	29%
Season away (8)	79.8	89.2	169.0	-9.5	12%
Last 10 (10)	85.2	92.6	177.8	-7.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	91.4	178.6	-4.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	78.9	86.2	165.1	-7.2	15%
vs Similar (10)	79.5	81.2	160.7	-1.7	40%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pato

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

70-94

-24

H05/11

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

68-96

-28

H18/11

NBB

Cearense

#14

60-80

-20

A21/11

NBB

Unifacisa

79-89

-10

A23/11

NBB

Pinheiros

95-76

+19

H30/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

84-73

+11

A06/12

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

93-85

A08/12

NBB

Bauru

85-96

-11

H19/12

NBB

Minas

74-88

-14

H21/12

NBB

Brasilia

#15

66-79

-13

A03/01

NBB

12-17

19-27

17-20

22-30

19-17

15-23

13-29

21-27

8-16

18-22

11-15

23-27

20-15

23-22

18-22

18-30

24-13

33-20

16-24

22-19

15-27

23-18

24-17

22-11

21-24

20-26

25-14

27-21

23-22

26-25

18-25

18-24

21-21

9-25

27-18

17-24

13-24

13-20

17-21

23-14

163.0Avg total

77.4Scored

85.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	74.6	83.5	158.1	-8.9	27%
Season at home (8)	72.2	83.9	156.1	-11.6	25%
Season away (7)	77.3	83.0	160.3	-5.7	29%
Last 10 (10)	77.4	85.6	163.0	-8.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	84.2	164.6	-3.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	74.4	85.6	160.1	-11.2	11%
vs Similar (11)	75.9	79.1	155.0	-3.2	55%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	61.0	59.0	120.0	+2.0	100%

This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CerradoPato

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	21.2	39.5	-2.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	18.9	37.8	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	23.2	41.0	-5.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	23.8	42.0	-5.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	23.4	41.2	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.1	21.7	38.8	-4.6	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	20.2	37.9	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	18.3	36.3	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	22.1	39.5	-4.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	19.6	37.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	23.6	42.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.3	39%	-
vs Similar (11)	16.1	21.2	37.3	-5.1	18%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	16.0	13.0	29.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	21.4	41.1	-1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	22.7	45.3	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	22.2	45.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	20.1	22.1	42.2	-1.9	45%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.4	17.6	38.0	+2.8	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.5	37.6	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	19.4	36.7	-2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	19.7	38.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.8	42.7	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.8	41.0	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.1	20.4	38.4	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.4	17.8	36.2	+0.5	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	15.0	23.0	38.0	-8.0	0%	-

CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caxias do Sul

#11

31-51

-20

A05/11

NBB

Minas

46-40

H17/11

NBB

Brasilia

#15

53-50

H26/11

NBB

Flamengo

34-44

-10

A29/11

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

41-52

-11

A01/12

NBB

Paulistano

30-42

-12

H13/12

NBB

Sao Paulo

48-44

H15/12

NBB

Franca

39-54

-15

A20/12

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

44-51

-7

A22/12

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

42-37

H03/01

NBB

87.3Avg total

40.8Scored

46.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	41.8	80.3	-3.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	38.6	78.2	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.5	44.6	82.1	-7.1	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	46.5	87.3	-5.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	45.6	86.2	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	37.1	43.8	80.9	-6.6	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.2	37.8	79.0	+3.4	70%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

31-44

-13

H05/11

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

34-40

-6

H18/11

NBB

Cearense

#14

26-38

-12

A21/11

NBB

Unifacisa

43-37

A23/11

NBB

Pinheiros

57-33

+24

H30/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

38-45

-7

A06/12

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

41-50

-9

A08/12

NBB

Bauru

49-47

H19/12

NBB

Minas

30-46

-16

H21/12

NBB

Brasilia

#15

26-44

-18

A03/01

NBB

79.9Avg total

37.5Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	39.8	75.5	-4.0	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.3	37.7	73.0	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.2	41.8	78.0	-5.6	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	42.4	79.9	-4.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	46.4	83.2	-9.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	36.8	40.4	77.2	-3.7	28%	-
vs Similar (11)	34.5	39.0	73.5	-4.5	18%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	31.0	36.0	67.0	-5.0	0%	-

This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.2	41.4	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	23.9	45.4	-2.4	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	18.8	37.9	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	23.1	47.3	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	25.0	50.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	21.9	20.8	42.7	+1.1	45%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.1	21.9	39.0	-4.8	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	21.4	39.7	-3.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	19.9	38.8	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.5	39.1	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.0	41.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	39%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	16.0	8.0	24.0	+8.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.5	40.4	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	21.1	42.1	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.1	38.9	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.5	41.2	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	45%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.5	20.4	40.9	+0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	21.7	41.1	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	21.1	41.5	-0.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	22.7	44.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.8	22.4	41.2	-3.6	22%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.3	20.3	42.5	+2.0	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	14.0	15.0	29.0	-1.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	41.7	81.8	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.5	45.0	87.5	-2.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.0	38.8	76.8	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	44.6	88.5	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	45.8	92.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	41.4	41.4	82.8	-0.0	55%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.6	42.3	79.9	-4.7	30%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	42.0	80.5	-3.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.7	43.1	80.8	-5.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	40.9	80.3	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	43.2	83.1	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	37.8	81.4	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	37.2	44.2	81.4	-7.0	22%	-
vs Similar (11)	41.5	40.1	81.5	+1.4	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	30.0	23.0	53.0	+7.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cerrado wins

Pato wins

Date	Game	Score
19/02/22	Pato v Cerrado	78-94
19/11/21	Cerrado v Pato	85-86 OT
31/01/21	Cerrado v Pato	77-76
22/12/20	Pato v Cerrado	79-68

Cerradolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/01/23	H	Corinthians Paulista	89-79
22/12/22	A	Rio Claro	90-93
20/12/22	A	Franca	76-98
15/12/22	H	Sao Paulo	101-94
13/12/22	H	Paulistano	80-93
01/12/22	A	Sao Jose	79-88
29/11/22	A	Flamengo	80-91
26/11/22	H	Brasilia	88-96
17/11/22	H	Minas	102-112 OT
05/11/22	A	Caxias do Sul	67-82

Patolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/01/23	A	Brasilia	66-79
21/12/22	H	Minas	74-88
19/12/22	H	Bauru	85-96
08/12/22	A	Uniao Corinthians	93-85
06/12/22	A	Caxias do Sul	84-73
30/11/22	H	Pinheiros	95-76
23/11/22	A	Unifacisa	79-89
21/11/22	A	Cearense	60-80
18/11/22	H	Corinthians Paulista	68-96
05/11/22	H	Franca	70-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cerrado

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	20%
Home	LLLWW	29%
Away	LLLLL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	20%	29%	12%
Points / game	84.0	88.9	79.8
Allowed / game	90.9	92.7	89.2
Point differential	-6.9	-3.9	-9.5
Avg total	174.9	181.6	169.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	14%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	13%	29%	0%

Pato

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	27%
Home	LLWLL	25%
Away	LLWWL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	27%	25%	29%
Points / game	74.6	72.2	77.3
Allowed / game	83.5	83.9	83.0
Point differential	-8.9	-11.6	-5.7
Avg total	158.1	156.1	160.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	12%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	16	16	0	100%	89.1	75.9	+13.1
2	Flamengo	16	14	2	88%	83.5	68.1	+15.4
3	Sao Paulo	16	12	4	75%	87.7	79.1	+8.6
4	Corinthians Paulista	16	11	5	69%	82.1	77.4	+4.7
5	Minas	15	10	5	67%	86.9	78.5	+8.4
6	Pinheiros	15	10	5	67%	80.5	78.4	+2.1
7	Paulistano	16	10	6	62%	75.4	72.4	+3.0
8	Bauru	15	8	7	53%	79.1	72.1	+7.0
9	Unifacisa	15	7	8	47%	76.4	81.1	-4.7
10	Sao Jose	16	6	10	38%	77.8	82.0	-4.2
11	Brasilia	16	6	10	38%	78.3	83.3	-5.0
12	Caxias do Sul	15	5	10	33%	72.9	76.1	-3.1
13	Pato	15	4	11	27%	74.6	83.5	-8.9
14	Cearense	16	4	12	25%	72.0	80.7	-8.7
15	Cerrado	15	3	12	20%	84.0	90.9	-6.9
16	Uniao Corinthians	15	3	12	20%	76.6	83.5	-6.9
17	Rio Claro	16	3	13	19%	73.1	87.9	-14.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cerrado	27	36	22	24	109
Pato	22	27	32	29	110

← all games of the day

Cerrado vs Pato Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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