PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pato vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 98-76
22-18 25-10 31-27 20-21
Position#11
Record5-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game82.1
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#16
Record2-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game90.8
BrazilNBB
Other2020-21
Meetings · Pato v Brasilia
02 Apr 2026
PATO58
BRAS67
14 Mar 2025
PATO98
BRAS80
03 Nov 2023
PATO78
BRAS80
07 Apr 2023
PATO91
BRAS64
17 Feb 2022
PATO77
BRAS75
26 Jan 2021
PATO98
BRAS76
28 Oct 2019
PATO73
BRAS76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#7
L
64-86
64
86
-22
H03/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H05/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A07/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H10/12
NBB
Paulistano
#4
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A12/12
NBB
Brasilia
#16
W
104-98 OT
104
98
+6
A20/12
NBB
Cerrado
#14
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H22/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H04/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A06/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#12
L
77-92
77
92
-15
H08/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
17-14
19-27
16-21
16-17
20-27
19-14
16-22
11-24
20-22
16-17
30-22
19-16
21-22
22-23
18-18
21-14
14-16
17-22
16-23
21-17
21-18
22-27
19-21
22-15
20-16
17-21
20-16
18-12
15-25
20-24
22-19
16-19
15-24
21-19
11-16
18-13
12-27
20-26
27-26
157.9Avg total
75.8Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.582.1156.7-7.633%
Season at home (8)75.079.6154.6-4.638%
Season away (7)74.085.0159.0-11.029%
Last 10 (10)75.882.1157.9-6.330%
Last 5 (5)79.683.2162.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)73.581.8155.2-8.324%
vs Similar (4)77.876.8154.5+1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)104.098.0202.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#2
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
A02/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#9
L
74-91
74
91
-17
A04/12
NBB
Cearense
#10
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A06/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
80-104
80
104
-24
H11/12
NBB
Franca
#7
W
93-90
93
90
+3
A13/12
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
74-103
74
103
-29
H18/12
NBB
Pato
#11
L
98-104 OT
98
104
-6
H20/12
NBB
Campo Mourao
#15
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A22/12
NBB
Cerrado
#14
L
85-97
85
97
-12
A06/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
86-90
86
90
-4
H08/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-29
16-27
23-12
16-19
24-26
16-25
16-18
18-22
7-15
19-15
18-18
19-23
23-25
14-23
18-31
25-25
21-18
21-18
25-23
26-31
24-22
9-28
17-25
24-28
17-21
18-21
27-22
21-19
32-22
17-21
14-26
15-25
14-20
30-21
18-28
23-28
14-21
22-14
28-25
22-30
178.0Avg total
83.1Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.890.8169.6-12.013%
Season at home (7)78.691.0169.6-12.414%
Season away (8)79.090.6169.6-11.612%
Last 10 (10)83.194.9178.0-11.810%
Last 5 (5)84.297.6181.8-13.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)77.590.1167.7-12.615%
vs Similar (3)79.381.7161.0-2.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -4.1-4.1
PatoBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#7
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H03/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A07/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/12
NBB
Paulistano
#4
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A12/12
NBB
Brasilia
#16
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A20/12
NBB
Cerrado
#14
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H22/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H04/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A06/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#12
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H08/01
NBB
73.1Avg total
34.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.639.173.8-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.638.172.6-3.531%-
Last 30 away (14)34.740.475.1-5.629%-
Last 10 (10)34.938.273.1-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.637.272.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)34.039.473.4-5.428%-
vs Similar (4)36.838.575.2-1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)42.035.077.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#2
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A02/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#9
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A04/12
NBB
Cearense
#10
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A06/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H11/12
NBB
Franca
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A13/12
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H18/12
NBB
Pato
#11
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H20/12
NBB
Campo Mourao
#15
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A22/12
NBB
Cerrado
#14
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A06/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H08/01
NBB
82.2Avg total
39.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.042.979.9-5.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.141.978.0-5.733%-
Last 30 away (15)37.944.081.9-6.133%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.282.2-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.281.6-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.643.680.2-7.130%-
vs Similar (3)41.036.777.7+4.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pato wins
2
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
20/12/20Brasilia v Pato98-104 OT
13/01/20Brasilia v Pato76-73
28/10/19Pato v Brasilia73-76
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/21HCaxias do Sul77-92
06/01/21AMogi63-78
04/01/21HCorinthians Paulista75-80
22/12/20HCerrado79-68
20/12/20ABrasilia104-98 OT
12/12/20APaulistano68-75
10/12/20HBauru80-79
07/12/20APinheiros77-85
05/12/20HSao Paulo71-80
03/12/20HFranca64-86
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/21HMogi86-90
06/01/21ACerrado85-97
22/12/20ACampo Mourao78-94
20/12/20HPato98-104 OT
18/12/20HFlamengo74-103
13/12/20AFranca93-90
11/12/20HSao Paulo80-104
06/12/20ACearense63-71
04/12/20AUnifacisa74-91
02/12/20AMinas100-105 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeLWWLL38%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%38%29%
Points / game74.575.074.0
Allowed / game82.179.685.0
Point differential-7.6-4.6-11.0
Avg total156.7154.6159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Brasilia
NBB 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL13%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %13%14%12%
Points / game78.878.679.0
Allowed / game90.891.090.6
Point differential-12.0-12.4-11.6
Avg total169.6169.6169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %13%14%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1514193%82.971.9+11.1
2 Flamengo1513287%88.670.5+18.1
3 Sao Paulo1612475%90.778.2+12.4
4 Bauru1611569%80.475.4+5.1
5 Paulistano1510567%75.274.1+1.1
6 Cearense159660%72.369.9+2.5
7 Franca169756%85.983.0+2.9
8 Mogi158753%80.584.0-3.5
9 Unifacisa157847%82.981.6+1.3
10 Corinthians Paulista167944%69.973.1-3.2
11 Campo Mourao1551033%77.184.3-7.2
12 Pato1551033%74.582.1-7.6
13 Pinheiros1651131%72.179.3-7.2
14 Cerrado1531220%74.579.6-5.1
15 Caxias do Sul1631319%75.484.1-8.7
16 Brasilia1521313%78.890.8-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato2225312098
Brasilia1810272176
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.