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Challans vs Caen Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 106-98
28-26 23-26 31-18 24-28
Position#21
Record2-31
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game87.6
vs
Position#17
Record12-21
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game82.8
FrancePro BRound 34· Salle Michel Vrignaud
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Challans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChallansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H17/02
Pro B
Evreux
#19
L
91-105
91
105
-14
A06/03
Pro B
Roanne
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H13/03
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
L
80-108
80
108
-28
A17/03
Pro B
Quimper
#20
L
68-82
68
82
-14
H20/03
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
L
91-95
91
95
-4
A28/03
Pro B
La Rochelle
#10
L
76-83
76
83
-7
H03/04
Pro B
Nantes
#6
L
76-98
76
98
-22
A07/04
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
67-97
67
97
-30
H10/04
Pro B
Vichy
#7
L
77-110
77
110
-33
A17/04
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
32-18
16-25
9-17
30-29
20-32
18-20
23-24
24-22
18-26
21-12
10-24
23-33
21-22
15-26
21-27
11-20
19-22
18-20
20-20
30-22
19-19
25-29
17-25
11-15
28-18
22-26
15-24
16-28
16-22
25-25
19-23
26-17
10-24
19-27
12-29
18-33
20-29
14-20
25-28
171.7Avg total
77.2Scored
94.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)76.087.6163.6-11.66%
Season at home (17)73.282.8156.0-9.512%
Season away (16)78.992.8171.7-13.80%
Last 10 (10)77.294.5171.7-17.30%
Last 5 (5)77.496.6174.0-19.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)76.488.5164.9-12.08%
vs Similar (4)75.288.8164.0-13.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
58-87
58
87
-29
A17/02
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H06/03
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A13/03
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
104-95 OT
104
95
+9
H17/03
Pro B
Nantes
#6
L
66-79
66
79
-13
H20/03
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A27/03
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H02/04
Pro B
Quimper
#20
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H07/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A10/04
Pro B
La Rochelle
#10
L
74-92
74
92
-18
H17/04
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
7-27
14-22
14-21
28-15
13-9
23-31
18-16
16-16
24-18
5-17
14-20
15-18
27-23
21-23
16-15
19-20
18-27
15-17
14-15
23-16
20-19
18-18
7-24
23-28
21-14
22-24
23-21
23-25
23-16
18-17
21-19
18-15
17-18
28-13
13-15
18-24
28-20
10-15
18-33
155.8Avg total
76.1Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)78.382.8161.0-4.536%
Season at home (17)83.984.1168.0-0.159%
Season away (16)72.281.4153.6-9.112%
Last 10 (10)76.179.7155.8-3.650%
Last 5 (5)78.478.8157.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)78.685.0163.5-6.427%
vs Similar (5)77.482.4159.8-5.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)80.773.0153.7+7.7100%
This opponent (Challans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -7.0-7.0Q4: -4.1-4.1
ChallansCaen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChallansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H17/02
Pro B
Evreux
#19
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A06/03
Pro B
Roanne
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H13/03
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A17/03
Pro B
Quimper
#20
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H20/03
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A28/03
Pro B
La Rochelle
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H03/04
Pro B
Nantes
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A07/04
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H10/04
Pro B
Vichy
#7
L
38-62
38
62
-24
A17/04
Pro B
88.2Avg total
40.8Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.642.881.4-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.739.477.1-1.838%-
Last 30 away (14)39.646.686.2-6.929%-
Last 10 (10)40.847.488.2-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.845.484.2-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)38.842.381.1-3.538%-
vs Similar (4)37.246.083.2-8.80%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A17/02
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H06/03
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A13/03
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/03
Pro B
Nantes
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H20/03
Pro B
St. Chamond
#16
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A27/03
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/04
Pro B
Quimper
#20
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H07/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A10/04
Pro B
La Rochelle
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H17/04
Pro B
78.9Avg total
40.4Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.579.0-0.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.539.580.9+2.060%-
Last 30 away (15)37.539.677.1-2.153%-
Last 10 (10)40.438.578.9+1.980%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.081.8+3.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)38.539.878.3-1.350%-
vs Similar (5)43.239.482.6+3.880%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)40.338.078.3+2.367%-
This opponent (Challans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Challanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Challans: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.3
52.3%
53.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.9
30.6%
32.8%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.711.9
67.2%
71.4%11.9
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caen: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.3
51.1%
53.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.5
28.8%
32.8%19.5
🏀 Free throws17.913.5
75.4%
71.4%13.5
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Challans
LLLLLLLLLL
Caen
LWWWLLWLWL
#21
League position
#17
-18.0
Net rating
-5.3
84.8
Offensive rating
85.5
102.8
Defensive rating
90.8
49.5%
Effective FG%
48.2%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
19.3%
Turnover %
19.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.6%
3-point %
28.8%
66.0%
Assist %
64.9%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence84.8 · 85.5Defence102.8 · 90.8Shooting49.5% · 48.2%3-point %30.6% · 28.8%Ball care19.3% · 19.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)0% · 50%
■ Challans   ■ Caen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Challans wins
1
Caen wins
DateGameScore
09/01/26Caen v Challans78-76
Challanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/26AVichy77-110
10/04/26HPau-Orthez67-97
07/04/26ANantes76-98
03/04/26HLa Rochelle76-83
28/03/26AAda Blois91-95
20/03/26HQuimper68-82
17/03/26ASt. Chamond80-108
13/03/26HRoanne73-84
06/03/26AEvreux91-105
17/02/26HPoitiers73-83
Caenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/26HLa Rochelle74-92
10/04/26AAix Maurienne76-61
07/04/26HQuimper85-77
02/04/26HPoitiers89-87
27/03/26ASt. Chamond68-77
20/03/26HNantes66-79
17/03/26HHyeres-Toulon104-95 OT
13/03/26ARouen59-71
06/03/26HAda Blois82-71
17/02/26ADenain-Voltaire58-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Challans
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %6%12%0%
Points / game76.073.278.9
Allowed / game87.682.892.8
Point differential-11.6-9.5-13.8
Avg total163.6156.0171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%6%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Caen
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL36%
HomeWLWWL59%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %36%59%12%
Points / game78.383.972.2
Allowed / game82.884.181.4
Point differential-4.5-0.1-9.1
Avg total161.0168.0153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)75% (8)0% (5)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Roanne3427779%89.079.3+9.8
2 Pau-Orthez34231168%87.280.0+7.2
3 Vichy34211362%81.676.9+4.7
4 Poitiers34211362%83.980.6+3.3
5 Orleans33201361%82.678.7+3.9
6 Ada Blois33201361%82.280.6+1.6
7 Denain-Voltaire34191556%84.382.5+1.8
8 La Rochelle34191556%79.579.8-0.2
9 ASA33181555%83.483.5-0.1
10 Nantes34181653%84.383.1+1.2
11 Chalons-Reims34181653%81.381.5-0.2
12 Aix Maurienne33171652%85.986.1-0.1
13 Hyeres-Toulon34171750%84.985.0-0.1
14 Antibes34161847%82.182.0+0.1
15 St. Chamond33151845%83.681.8+1.8
16 Rouen32131941%81.685.2-3.6
17 Caen33122136%78.382.8-4.5
18 Evreux34112332%79.785.6-5.9
19 Quimper3382524%75.385.1-9.8
20 Challans332316%76.087.6-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Challans28233124106
Caen2626182898
← all games of the day
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