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Charlotte vs UTSA Roadrunners Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#227
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Position#167
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Charlotte v UTSA Roadrunners
13 Jan 2027
CHAR v UTSA
upcoming
15 Feb 2026
CHAR79
UTSA88
09 Mar 2025
CHAR80
UTSA83
15 Feb 2024
CHAR79
UTSA70
14 Jan 2023
CHAR72
UTSA54
15 Jan 2022
CHAR62
UTSA53
19 Feb 2021
CHAR v UTSA
upcoming
08 Feb 2020
CHAR91
UTSA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Charlotte win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UTSA Roadrunners win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CharlotteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
A01/03
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H05/03
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A08/03
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H12/03
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A13/03
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
64-86
64
86
-22
A14/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#193
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A03/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#300
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H06/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#130
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H10/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#205
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-35
24-34
35-33
39-47
29-44
31-39
18-20
56-40
31-33
52-45
33-40
31-46
27-30
51-40
35-33
42-34
34-36
28-32
25-28
35-38
144.3Avg total
70.8Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.267.8137.0+1.550%
Season at home (3)66.367.0133.3-0.733%
Season away (1)78.070.0148.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)70.873.5144.3-2.740%
Last 5 (5)68.271.4139.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)73.677.8151.3-4.239%
vs Similar ◀ (8)72.168.5140.6+3.675%
vs Weaker (4)73.568.0141.5+5.575%
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#310
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A12/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A15/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H19/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
74-100
74
100
-26
A22/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
67-84
67
84
-17
H02/03
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A08/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#279
L
74-95
74
95
-21
A02/11
NCAA
VMI
#177
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H07/11
NCAA
Seattle
#286
W
86-59
86
59
+27
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-46
41-42
38-44
50-35
28-26
24-34
37-53
37-47
43-34
38-48
29-41
38-43
32-45
39-35
27-45
47-50
31-35
39-33
41-22
45-37
153.0Avg total
73.5Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.774.0150.7+2.767%
Season at home (1)70.068.0138.0+2.0100%
Season away (2)80.077.0157.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)73.579.5153.0-6.030%
Last 5 (5)73.677.2150.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)67.682.7150.3-15.115%
vs Similar ◀ (1)74.095.0169.0-21.00%
vs Weaker (2)94.564.5159.0+30.0100%
This opponent (Charlotte) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: -0.6-0.6
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: -0.6-0.6
CharlotteUTSA Roadrunners
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CharlotteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A01/03
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/03
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A08/03
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
18-20
18
20
-2
H12/03
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A13/03
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A14/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#193
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A03/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#300
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H06/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#130
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H10/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#205
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H14/11
NCAA
64.4Avg total
31.2Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.033.566.6-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.532.265.7+1.253%-
Last 30 away (13)32.535.267.7-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)31.233.264.4-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)30.833.464.2-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)32.836.769.6-3.922%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)30.127.958.0+2.262%-
vs Weaker (4)39.830.570.2+9.2100%-
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Carolina
#310
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A12/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A15/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H19/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A22/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H26/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H02/03
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A08/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#279
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A02/11
NCAA
VMI
#177
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H07/11
NCAA
Seattle
#286
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A12/11
NCAA
72.8Avg total
33.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.139.972.0-7.823%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.436.769.1-4.331%-
Last 30 away (17)31.942.474.3-10.518%-
Last 10 (10)33.739.172.8-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)32.037.669.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)31.240.771.9-9.519%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)27.045.072.0-18.00%-
vs Weaker (2)47.027.574.5+19.5100%-
This opponent (Charlotte) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Charlotte wins
4
UTSA Roadrunners wins
Charlottelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HAppalachian State60-66
10/11/26HSeton Hall62-68
06/11/26HGeorgia State77-67
03/11/26AIndiana State78-70
14/03/26ASouth Florida64-86
13/03/26AUAB83-78
12/03/26HTulane74-60
08/03/26ASouth Florida60-83
05/03/26HUAB74-80
01/03/26AFlorida Atlantic76-77 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ASeattle86-59
07/11/26HVMI70-68
02/11/26ASan Jose State74-95
08/03/26ARice71-80
02/03/26HWichita State67-84
26/02/26HEast Carolina81-82
22/02/26ATulsa74-100
19/02/26HFlorida Atlantic52-60
15/02/26ACharlotte88-79
12/02/26AEast Carolina72-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Charlotte
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game69.266.378.0
Allowed / game67.867.070.0
Point differential+1.5-0.7+8.0
Avg total137.0133.3148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UTSA Roadrunners
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game76.770.080.0
Allowed / game74.068.077.0
Point differential+2.7+2.0+3.0
Avg total150.7138.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa330100%90.765.3+25.3
2 North Texas43175%84.064.5+19.5
3 Wichita State43175%88.570.0+18.5
4 East Carolina43175%75.565.8+9.8
5 Florida Atlantic43175%79.577.5+2.0
6 UTSA Roadrunners32167%76.774.0+2.7
7 Memphis32167%83.389.7-6.3
8 South Florida42250%82.874.8+8.0
9 Rice42250%81.274.0+7.2
10 Tulane42250%81.278.2+3.0
11 UAB42250%77.074.2+2.8
12 Charlotte42250%69.267.8+1.5
13 Temple31233%67.375.3-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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