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Chattanooga Mocs vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 87-72
0-0 42-34 0-0 45-38
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game103.0
Chattanooga Mocs 🏆
USA
vs
Dayton
USA
Position#16
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game79.0
USANIT
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chattanooga Mocs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chattanooga MocsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#40
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H08/02
NCAA
Samford
#61
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A13/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H16/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H20/02
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H22/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A28/02
NCAA
VMI
#250
W
91-70
91
70
+21
A01/03
NCAA
Mercer
#264
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H08/03
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
H09/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#19
W
109-103 OT
109
103
+6
A19/03
NIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
35-38
0-0
50-34
0-0
36-26
0-0
46-42
0-0
36-30
0-0
42-41
0-0
45-47
0-0
46-39
0-0
41-33
0-0
35-42
0-0
34-31
0-0
41-32
0-0
44-32
0-0
47-38
0-0
28-34
0-0
48-27
0-0
35-34
0-0
35-36
0-0
43-48
0-0
41-36
158.9Avg total
84.0Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)109.0103.0212.0+6.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)109.0103.0212.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.074.9158.9+9.190%
Last 5 (5)85.675.4161.0+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.080.0142.0-18.00%
vs Similar (14)78.973.3152.2+5.679%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)82.671.2153.8+11.585%
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#18
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Fordham
#313
W
93-76
93
76
+17
A13/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#279
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H15/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#137
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A27/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
74-64 OT
74
64
+10
H01/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H05/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A08/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
L
68-73 OT
68
73
-5
H14/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#20
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H19/03
NIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
28-31
0-0
40-42
0-0
48-48
0-0
45-28
0-0
40-44
0-0
37-32
0-0
31-34
0-0
41-42
0-0
33-30
0-0
52-47
0-0
24-26
0-0
24-22
0-0
28-41
0-0
47-26
0-0
28-27
0-0
51-49
0-0
24-33
0-0
36-27
0-0
44-38
0-0
42-41
151.4Avg total
77.7Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.773.7151.4+4.070%
Last 5 (5)76.471.8148.2+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)77.079.3156.3-2.333%
vs Similar (18)72.970.8143.7+2.161%
vs Weaker (7)78.968.9147.7+10.086%
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +6.4+6.4Q4: +5.9+5.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +6.4+6.4Q4: +5.9+5.9
Chattanooga MocsDayton
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Chattanooga MocsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#40
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H08/02
NCAA
Samford
#61
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A13/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H16/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H20/02
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A28/02
NCAA
VMI
#250
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A01/03
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H08/03
NCAA
Furman
#40
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H09/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#19
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A19/03
NIT
73.0Avg total
37.7Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.034.872.8+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.135.173.1+3.053%-
Last 30 away (13)38.034.472.4+3.654%-
Last 10 (10)37.735.373.0+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.872.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.038.071.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (14)35.235.170.3+0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.333.874.1+6.562%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#18
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H08/02
NCAA
Fordham
#313
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A13/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#279
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A22/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#137
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A27/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H01/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H05/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H14/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#20
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H19/03
NIT
68.0Avg total
32.8Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.932.366.2+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (20)32.331.463.8+0.850%-
Last 30 away (10)37.034.071.0+3.060%-
Last 10 (10)32.835.268.0-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)29.633.062.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)32.331.764.0+0.767%-
vs Similar (18)32.632.765.3-0.150%-
vs Weaker (7)35.331.366.6+4.043%-
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chattanooga Mocs wins
0
Dayton wins
No previous meetings.
Chattanooga Mocslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25AMiddle Tenn. St.109-103 OT
09/03/25HFurman77-80 OT
08/03/25HMercer76-61
01/03/25AVMI91-70
28/02/25ANC Greensboro75-63
22/02/25HCitadel76-75
20/02/25HWestern Carolina91-86
16/02/25HEast Tennessee St78-71
13/02/25ASamford82-68
08/02/25HFurman85-72
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25HFlorida Atlantic86-79
14/03/25HSaint Josephs Hawks68-73 OT
08/03/25AVCU Rams79-76
05/03/25HSt. Louis Billikens75-67
01/03/25HRichmond Spiders74-64 OT
27/02/25ARhode Island85-77
22/02/25ALoyola Chicago72-76
15/02/25HDuquesne77-76
13/02/25AFordham93-76
08/02/25HVCU Rams68-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chattanooga Mocs
NIT 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game109.0-109.0
Allowed / game103.0-103.0
Point differential+6.0-+6.0
Avg total212.0-212.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %100%-100%
Dayton
NIT 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game79.079.0-
Point differential+7.0+7.0-
Avg total165.0165.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Santa Clara110100%101.062.0+39.0
2 Arkansas State110100%103.078.0+25.0
3 Kent State110100%75.056.0+19.0
4 George Mason110100%86.069.0+17.0
5 Jacksonville State110100%81.064.0+17.0
6 Stanford110100%87.070.0+17.0
7 North Texas110100%75.064.0+11.0
8 Oklahoma State110100%89.079.0+10.0
9 SMU Mustangs110100%73.063.0+10.0
10 UC Irvine110100%82.072.0+10.0
11 Bradley110100%71.062.0+9.0
12 San Francisco110100%79.070.0+9.0
13 Dayton110100%86.079.0+7.0
14 Chattanooga Mocs110100%109.0103.0+6.0
15 UAB110100%69.065.0+4.0
16 Loyola Chicago110100%73.070.0+3.0
17 San Jose State1010%70.073.0-3.0
18 Saint Josephs Hawks1010%65.069.0-4.0
19 Middle Tenn. St.1010%103.0109.0-6.0
20 Florida Atlantic1010%79.086.0-7.0
21 North Alabama1010%62.071.0-9.0
22 Utah Valley State1010%70.079.0-9.0
23 Northern Colorado1010%72.082.0-10.0
24 Northern Iowa1010%63.073.0-10.0
25 Wichita State1010%79.089.0-10.0
26 Furman1010%64.075.0-11.0
27 CS Northridge1010%70.087.0-17.0
28 Georgia Tech1010%64.081.0-17.0
29 Samford1010%69.086.0-17.0
30 St. Bonaventure1010%56.075.0-19.0
31 St. Louis Billikens1010%78.0103.0-25.0
32 UC Riverside1010%62.0101.0-39.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chattanooga Mocs04204587
Dayton03403872
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