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VCU Rams vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-79
27-28 49-51
Position#18
Record25-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game62.2
vs
Dayton 🏆
USA
Position#62
Record21-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · VCU Rams v Dayton
15 Mar 2026
VCU 70
DAYT62
06 Feb 2026
VCU 99
DAYT73
07 Mar 2025
VCU 76
DAYT79
09 Feb 2024
VCU 49
DAYT47
12 Mar 2023
VCU 68
DAYT56
07 Feb 2023
VCU 58
DAYT62
02 Feb 2022
VCU 52
DAYT82
05 Mar 2021
VCU 73
DAYT68
23 Jan 2021
VCU 66
DAYT43
18 Feb 2020
VCU 61
DAYT66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VCU Rams winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VCU RamsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#140
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A29/01
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
90-49
90
49
+41
H01/02
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
96-66
96
66
+30
H05/02
NCAA
Dayton
#62
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A08/02
NCAA
George Washington
#96
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A13/02
NCAA
UMass
#303
W
80-51
80
51
+29
H19/02
NCAA
George Mason
#31
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H22/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
78-60
78
60
+18
A26/02
NCAA
Davidson
#195
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H01/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#279
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-28
38-50
44-13
46-36
48-28
48-38
31-28
42-40
35-36
45-36
46-22
34-29
23-24
47-30
51-33
27-27
43-19
37-37
37-29
34-33
140.3Avg total
78.7Scored
61.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.062.2140.2+15.883%
Season at home (18)80.758.1138.8+22.6100%
Season away (12)73.968.2142.2+5.758%
Last 10 (10)78.761.6140.3+17.190%
Last 5 (5)75.856.6132.4+19.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)77.162.3139.4+14.883%
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
53-75
53
75
-22
A29/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A01/02
NCAA
Davidson
#195
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H05/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Fordham
#313
W
93-76
93
76
+17
A13/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#279
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H15/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#137
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A27/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
74-64 OT
74
64
+10
H01/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-39
21-36
37-25
34-38
28-26
41-37
28-31
40-42
48-48
45-28
40-44
37-32
31-34
41-42
33-30
52-47
24-26
24-22
28-41
47-26
144.7Avg total
73.7Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.369.8145.1+5.570%
Season at home (21)75.267.3142.5+7.981%
Season away (9)75.675.4151.0+0.144%
Last 10 (10)73.771.0144.7+2.770%
Last 5 (5)76.672.0148.6+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)76.081.0157.0-5.00%
vs Similar (19)73.370.4143.6+2.968%
vs Weaker (8)79.967.4147.2+12.588%
This opponent (VCU Rams) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.9+12.91st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +3.2+3.2
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.9+12.91st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +3.2+3.2
VCU RamsDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VCU RamsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A29/01
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
44-13
44
13
+31
H01/02
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H05/02
NCAA
Dayton
#62
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A08/02
NCAA
George Washington
#96
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A13/02
NCAA
UMass
#303
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H19/02
NCAA
George Mason
#31
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A26/02
NCAA
Davidson
#195
W
43-19
43
19
+24
H01/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#279
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A05/03
NCAA
64.9Avg total
38.9Scored
26.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.329.266.5+8.180%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.527.465.9+11.189%-
Last 30 away (12)35.531.967.4+3.667%-
Last 10 (10)38.926.064.9+12.980%-
Last 5 (5)40.025.465.4+14.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)36.929.366.2+7.679%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A29/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A01/02
NCAA
Davidson
#195
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H05/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H08/02
NCAA
Fordham
#313
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A13/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#279
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A22/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#137
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A27/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H01/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H05/03
NCAA
67.3Avg total
32.9Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.231.966.1+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (21)32.530.763.2+1.952%-
Last 30 away (9)38.034.872.8+3.256%-
Last 10 (10)32.934.467.3-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)31.235.066.2-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)34.534.068.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (19)33.132.365.4+0.753%-
vs Weaker (8)35.930.966.8+5.050%-
This opponent (VCU Rams) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
VCU Rams wins
3
Dayton wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25Dayton v VCU Rams68-73
09/03/24Dayton v VCU Rams91-86 OT
10/02/24VCU Rams v Dayton49-47
12/03/23VCU Rams v Dayton68-56
08/02/23VCU Rams v Dayton58-62
14/01/23Dayton v VCU Rams62-63
03/02/22VCU Rams v Dayton52-82
06/01/22Dayton v VCU Rams52-53
05/03/21VCU Rams v Dayton73-68
09/02/21Dayton v VCU Rams67-76
VCU Ramslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25ADuquesne71-62
01/03/25HDavidson80-56
26/02/25ARichmond Spiders78-60
22/02/25HGeorge Mason70-54
19/02/25HUMass80-51
13/02/25AGeorge Washington80-72
08/02/25ADayton73-68
05/02/25HLa Salle96-66
01/02/25HRichmond Spiders90-49
29/01/25ASt. Louis Billikens69-78
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HSt. Louis Billikens75-67
01/03/25HRichmond Spiders74-64 OT
27/02/25ARhode Island85-77
22/02/25ALoyola Chicago72-76
15/02/25HDuquesne77-76
13/02/25AFordham93-76
08/02/25HVCU Rams68-73
05/02/25HDavidson69-63
01/02/25ASt. Louis Billikens71-63
29/01/25ASt. Bonaventure53-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VCU Rams
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %83%100%58%
Points / game78.080.773.9
Allowed / game62.258.168.2
Point differential+15.8+22.6+5.7
Avg total140.2138.8142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%89%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%8%
Dayton
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeWLWWW81%
AwayLWWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games30219
Win %70%81%44%
Points / game75.375.275.6
Allowed / game69.867.375.4
Point differential+5.5+7.9+0.1
Avg total145.1142.5151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)71% (7)0% (3)
Overtime %7%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VCU Rams3025583%78.062.2+15.8
2 George Mason3023777%71.063.2+7.8
3 Dayton3021970%75.369.8+5.5
4 Saint Josephs Hawks30201067%75.968.0+7.9
5 St. Bonaventure30201067%69.764.9+4.8
6 Loyola Chicago30201067%74.269.6+4.6
7 George Washington31201165%73.567.0+6.5
8 Rhode Island29171259%78.074.9+3.1
9 St. Louis Billikens30171357%73.769.5+4.2
10 Davidson30161453%72.970.7+2.2
11 Duquesne30131743%68.866.7+2.1
12 La Salle30121840%71.674.8-3.3
13 Fordham30111937%73.977.6-3.7
14 Richmond Spiders30102033%67.172.3-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
VCU Rams274976
Dayton285179
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