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Dayton vs Duquesne Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 77-76
40-44 37-32
Position#62
Record17-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game69.3
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
Position#279
Record10-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Dayton v Duquesne
21 Feb 2026
DAYT78
DUQU66
15 Feb 2025
DAYT77
DUQU76
14 Mar 2024
DAYT57
DUQU65
13 Feb 2024
DAYT75
DUQU59
28 Dec 2022
DAYT69
DUQU57
09 Feb 2022
DAYT75
DUQU54
13 Jan 2021
DAYT72
DUQU63
22 Feb 2020
DAYT80
DUQU70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duquesne winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass
#303
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A09/01
NCAA
George Mason
#31
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H16/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
H18/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#279
W
82-62
82
62
+20
A22/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H25/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
53-75
53
75
-22
A29/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A01/02
NCAA
Davidson
#195
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H05/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Fordham
#313
W
93-76
93
76
+17
A13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-36
33-40
27-41
32-26
33-26
35-42
44-25
38-37
39-26
38-46
32-39
21-36
37-25
34-38
28-26
41-37
28-31
40-42
48-48
45-28
143.5Avg total
72.7Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.069.3144.4+5.768%
Season at home (18)75.267.1142.2+8.178%
Season away (7)74.775.1149.9-0.443%
Last 10 (10)72.770.8143.5+1.960%
Last 5 (5)70.870.0140.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.380.0153.3-6.70%
vs Similar ◀ (18)71.969.6141.4+2.367%
vs Weaker (8)83.169.8152.9+13.488%
This opponent (Duquesne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DuquesneUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davidson
#195
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A04/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
W
85-81 OT
85
81
+4
H09/01
NCAA
George Washington
#96
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A16/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
W
75-57
75
57
+18
H18/01
NCAA
Dayton
#62
L
62-82
62
82
-20
H22/01
NCAA
Fordham
#313
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A26/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A30/01
NCAA
UMass
#303
L
53-62
53
62
-9
H01/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A06/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-34
33-43
36-30
37-43
42-29
31-36
38-29
37-28
25-44
37-38
30-29
33-36
26-24
46-52
24-25
29-37
27-33
41-40
34-27
35-29
138.5Avg total
69.1Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)68.366.2134.5+2.142%
Season at home (16)69.264.4133.7+4.850%
Season away (8)66.469.8136.1-3.425%
Last 10 (10)69.169.4138.5-0.340%
Last 5 (5)65.066.4131.4-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.173.3144.4-2.244%
vs Similar ◀ (16)64.663.5128.1+1.150%
vs Weaker (5)74.862.0136.8+12.860%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -2.3-2.3
DaytonDuquesne
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass
#303
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A09/01
NCAA
George Mason
#31
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H16/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H18/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#279
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A22/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H25/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A29/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A01/02
NCAA
Davidson
#195
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H05/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H08/02
NCAA
Fordham
#313
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A13/02
NCAA
67.8Avg total
35.5Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.532.066.5+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (21)32.130.262.4+1.952%-
Last 30 away (9)40.036.076.0+4.056%-
Last 10 (10)35.532.367.8+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)34.633.868.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.036.070.0-2.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)32.231.563.7+0.750%-
vs Weaker (8)39.032.071.0+7.062%-
This opponent (Duquesne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DuquesneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davidson
#195
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A04/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H09/01
NCAA
George Washington
#96
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A16/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H18/01
NCAA
Dayton
#62
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H22/01
NCAA
Fordham
#313
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A26/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A30/01
NCAA
UMass
#303
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H01/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A06/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H08/02
NCAA
62.4Avg total
32.0Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.929.962.8+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.629.763.3+3.861%-
Last 30 away (12)31.830.262.1+1.675%-
Last 10 (10)32.030.462.4+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)28.227.655.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.033.167.1+0.956%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.628.660.2+2.969%-
vs Weaker (5)35.028.463.4+6.680%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Dayton wins
2
Duquesne wins
DateGameScore
22/01/25Duquesne v Dayton62-82
14/03/24Dayton v Duquesne57-65
14/02/24Dayton v Duquesne75-59
13/01/24Duquesne v Dayton62-72
29/12/22Dayton v Duquesne69-57
10/02/22Dayton v Duquesne75-54
15/01/22Duquesne v Dayton52-72
03/02/21Duquesne v Dayton69-64
14/01/21Dayton v Duquesne72-63
22/02/20Dayton v Duquesne80-70
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25AFordham93-76
08/02/25HVCU Rams68-73
05/02/25HDavidson69-63
01/02/25ASt. Louis Billikens71-63
29/01/25ASt. Bonaventure53-75
25/01/25HSaint Josephs Hawks77-72
22/01/25ADuquesne82-62
18/01/25HLoyola Chicago83-81 OT
16/01/25HGeorge Mason59-67
09/01/25AUMass72-76
Duquesnelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HLoyola Chicago69-56
06/02/25ARichmond Spiders68-73
01/02/25HUMass53-62
30/01/25ASaint Josephs Hawks72-76
26/01/25AFordham63-65
22/01/25HDayton62-82
18/01/25HSt. Bonaventure75-57
16/01/25AGeorge Washington73-65
09/01/25HSaint Josephs Hawks85-81 OT
04/01/25ADavidson71-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW68%
HomeLWWWL78%
AwayLWLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25187
Win %68%78%43%
Points / game75.075.274.7
Allowed / game69.367.175.1
Point differential+5.7+8.1-0.4
Avg total144.4142.2149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %4%6%0%
Duquesne
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %42%50%25%
Points / game68.369.266.4
Allowed / game66.264.469.8
Point differential+2.1+4.8-3.4
Avg total134.5133.7136.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)25% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 George Mason2621581%71.762.1+9.7
2 VCU Rams2520580%78.463.3+15.2
3 Dayton2517868%75.069.3+5.7
4 St. Bonaventure2718967%69.864.3+5.4
5 Rhode Island2416867%78.073.1+4.9
6 George Washington2516964%74.167.4+6.7
7 Loyola Chicago2516964%73.868.8+5.0
8 Davidson2415962%74.570.1+4.4
9 Saint Josephs Hawks25151060%74.567.8+6.7
10 St. Louis Billikens26141254%73.470.0+3.4
11 La Salle25121348%73.475.6-2.2
12 Fordham24111346%75.877.5-1.7
13 Duquesne24101442%68.366.2+2.1
14 Richmond Spiders2581732%67.772.6-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton403777
Duquesne443276
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