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Dayton vs VCU Rams Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 68-73
28-31 40-42
Position#62
Record16-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game68.9
vs
Position#18
Record18-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game62.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Dayton v VCU Rams
22 Jan 2027
DAYT v VCU
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
DAYT62
VCU 68
07 Feb 2025
DAYT68
VCU 73
08 Mar 2024
DAYT91
VCU 86
13 Jan 2023
DAYT62
VCU 63
05 Jan 2022
DAYT52
VCU 53
09 Feb 2021
DAYT67
VCU 76
14 Jan 2020
DAYT79
VCU 65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VCU Rams winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Salle
#272
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H31/12
NCAA
George Washington
#96
L
62-82
62
82
-20
A04/01
NCAA
UMass
#303
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A09/01
NCAA
George Mason
#31
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H16/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
H18/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#279
W
82-62
82
62
+20
A22/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H25/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
53-75
53
75
-22
A29/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A01/02
NCAA
Davidson
#195
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-21
48-49
27-43
35-39
39-36
33-40
27-41
32-26
33-26
35-42
44-25
38-37
39-26
38-46
32-39
21-36
37-25
34-38
28-26
41-37
142.3Avg total
71.2Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.668.9143.4+5.770%
Season at home (17)75.666.7142.3+8.982%
Season away (6)71.775.0146.7-3.333%
Last 10 (10)71.271.1142.3+0.160%
Last 5 (5)70.467.0137.4+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)76.083.5159.5-7.50%
vs Similar (19)71.969.9141.8+1.963%
vs Weaker (8)81.568.5150.0+13.088%
This opponent (VCU Rams) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VCU RamsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A31/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
W
84-65
84
65
+19
A04/01
NCAA
Fordham
#313
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H09/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H15/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A18/01
NCAA
Rhode Island
#137
W
81-57
81
57
+24
A22/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H25/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A29/01
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
90-49
90
49
+41
H01/02
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
96-66
96
66
+30
H05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-38
41-39
37-40
47-25
24-23
49-38
47-42
31-20
38-32
40-37
40-34
41-23
25-33
50-28
31-28
38-50
44-13
46-36
48-28
48-38
144.4Avg total
79.9Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.662.7141.3+15.978%
Season at home (15)81.559.0140.5+22.5100%
Season away (8)73.169.6142.8+3.538%
Last 10 (10)79.964.5144.4+15.480%
Last 5 (5)82.262.2144.4+20.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)54.074.0128.0-20.00%
vs Similar (4)65.060.2125.2+4.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)77.162.9140.0+14.378%
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: +9.7+9.7
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: +9.7+9.7
DaytonVCU Rams
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Salle
#272
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H31/12
NCAA
George Washington
#96
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A04/01
NCAA
UMass
#303
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A09/01
NCAA
George Mason
#31
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H16/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H18/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#279
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A22/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H25/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A29/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A01/02
NCAA
Davidson
#195
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H05/02
NCAA
65.0Avg total
34.2Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.531.165.6+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (21)32.729.862.5+3.057%-
Last 30 away (9)38.634.272.8+4.367%-
Last 10 (10)34.230.865.0+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)36.028.264.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)37.038.575.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (19)32.431.563.9+0.853%-
vs Weaker (8)38.028.666.6+9.475%-
This opponent (VCU Rams) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VCU RamsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A31/12
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#75
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A04/01
NCAA
Fordham
#313
W
24-23
24
23
+1
H09/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H15/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#90
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A18/01
NCAA
Rhode Island
#137
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A22/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H25/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A29/01
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
44-13
44
13
+31
H01/02
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H05/02
NCAA
67.9Avg total
36.8Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.530.265.7+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.829.366.1+7.678%-
Last 30 away (12)33.631.565.1+2.167%-
Last 10 (10)36.831.167.9+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)37.627.264.8+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)26.036.062.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (4)29.829.058.8+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)36.630.366.9+6.378%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Dayton wins
7
VCU Rams wins
DateGameScore
09/03/24Dayton v VCU Rams91-86 OT
10/02/24VCU Rams v Dayton49-47
12/03/23VCU Rams v Dayton68-56
08/02/23VCU Rams v Dayton58-62
14/01/23Dayton v VCU Rams62-63
03/02/22VCU Rams v Dayton52-82
06/01/22Dayton v VCU Rams52-53
05/03/21VCU Rams v Dayton73-68
09/02/21Dayton v VCU Rams67-76
23/01/21VCU Rams v Dayton66-43
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25HDavidson69-63
01/02/25ASt. Louis Billikens71-63
29/01/25ASt. Bonaventure53-75
25/01/25HSaint Josephs Hawks77-72
22/01/25ADuquesne82-62
18/01/25HLoyola Chicago83-81 OT
16/01/25HGeorge Mason59-67
09/01/25AUMass72-76
04/01/25AGeorge Washington62-82
31/12/24HLa Salle84-70
VCU Ramslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25HLa Salle96-66
01/02/25HRichmond Spiders90-49
29/01/25ASt. Louis Billikens69-78
25/01/25HSt. Bonaventure75-61
22/01/25ARhode Island81-57
18/01/25ASaint Josephs Hawks78-69
15/01/25HSt. Louis Billikens78-62
09/01/25HFordham73-61
04/01/25ALoyola Chicago84-65
31/12/24ASt. Bonaventure75-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23176
Win %70%82%33%
Points / game74.675.671.7
Allowed / game68.966.775.0
Point differential+5.7+8.9-3.3
Avg total143.4142.3146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%35%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)80% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %4%6%0%
VCU Rams
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23158
Win %78%100%38%
Points / game78.681.573.1
Allowed / game62.759.069.6
Point differential+15.9+22.5+3.5
Avg total141.3140.5142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%87%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VCU Rams2318578%78.662.7+15.9
2 George Mason2318578%71.761.6+10.1
3 St. Bonaventure2417771%70.664.5+6.1
4 Dayton2316770%74.668.9+5.7
5 Rhode Island2215768%78.973.1+5.8
6 George Washington2315865%74.767.5+7.2
7 Loyola Chicago2214864%73.968.3+5.6
8 St. Louis Billikens2314961%74.069.2+4.9
9 Saint Josephs Hawks2213959%75.268.7+6.5
10 Davidson2213959%74.570.7+3.9
11 La Salle23121152%74.675.5-0.9
12 Fordham23111248%75.876.8-1.0
13 Duquesne2391439%68.366.7+1.6
14 Richmond Spiders2381535%67.572.0-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton284068
VCU Rams314273
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