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Chattanooga Mocs vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 69-66
30-34 39-32
Position#202
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game66.2
vs
Position#182
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chattanooga Mocs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chattanooga MocsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#91
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H26/02
NCAA
Citadel
#254
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H05/03
NCAA
Wofford
#128
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H06/03
NCAA
Furman
#105
W
64-63 OT
64
63
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Illinois
#66
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A18/03
NCAA
Charleston
#8
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A08/11
NCAA
Oakland City
#589
W
93-49
93
49
+44
H11/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A16/11
NCAA
Covenant
#549
W
108-55
108
55
+53
H19/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
66-72
66
72
-6
H23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-26
36-31
37-23
34-43
38-20
41-36
16-26
35-25
33-29
20-25
31-42
47-43
47-19
46-30
33-33
25-37
61-14
47-41
24-27
42-45
136.7Avg total
74.0Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.666.2146.8+14.440%
Season at home (3)89.058.7147.7+30.367%
Season away (2)68.077.5145.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)74.062.7136.7+11.360%
Last 5 (5)80.666.2146.8+14.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.086.0163.0-9.00%
vs Similar (10)68.864.0132.8+4.870%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)74.966.7141.6+8.271%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H05/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H06/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
H18/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H20/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
68-91
68
91
-23
A08/11
NCAA
Wilson College
#489
W
90-53
90
53
+37
H13/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A17/11
NCAA
UMass
#224
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H18/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-37
38-31
51-31
37-43
34-34
37-33
36-37
37-36
27-32
33-38
29-44
39-47
46-27
44-26
35-28
53-51
36-33
33-38
41-28
36-32
149.3Avg total
77.3Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.470.8149.2+7.660%
Season at home (2)79.562.0141.5+17.550%
Season away (3)77.776.7154.3+1.067%
Last 10 (10)77.372.0149.3+5.370%
Last 5 (5)78.470.8149.2+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)78.085.0163.0-7.050%
vs Similar (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
vs Weaker (27)78.461.9140.3+16.593%
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.5+9.51st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +1.2+1.2
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.5+9.51st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +1.2+1.2
Chattanooga MocsMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Chattanooga MocsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#91
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Citadel
#254
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H05/03
NCAA
Wofford
#128
W
38-20
38
20
+18
H06/03
NCAA
Furman
#105
L
16-26
16
26
-10
H08/03
NCAA
Illinois
#66
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A18/03
NCAA
Charleston
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A08/11
NCAA
Oakland City
#589
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H11/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A16/11
NCAA
Covenant
#549
W
61-14
61
14
+47
H19/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H23/11
NCAA
61.3Avg total
35.4Scored
25.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.129.562.6+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.226.961.2+7.356%-
Last 30 away (14)31.832.564.3-0.757%-
Last 10 (10)35.425.961.3+9.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.227.066.2+12.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.038.072.0-4.050%-
vs Similar (10)28.229.357.5-1.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)35.129.364.4+5.865%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A26/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H05/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H06/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H20/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A08/11
NCAA
Wilson College
#489
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H13/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A17/11
NCAA
UMass
#224
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H18/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A20/11
NCAA
69.8Avg total
36.7Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.630.167.7+7.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.628.268.8+12.576%-
Last 30 away (13)33.532.666.2+0.946%-
Last 10 (10)36.733.169.8+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)37.432.069.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)32.036.068.0-4.050%-
vs Similar (1)36.033.069.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker (27)38.029.667.6+8.563%-
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chattanooga Mocs wins
1
Murray State wins
DateGameScore
19/12/21Murray State v Chattanooga Mocs87-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/22HLipscomb66-72
19/11/22HCovenant108-55
16/11/22AOle Miss58-70
11/11/22HOakland City93-49
08/11/22ACharleston78-85
18/03/22AIllinois53-54
08/03/22HFurman64-63 OT
06/03/22HWofford79-56
05/03/22HCitadel71-66
26/02/22HSamford70-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/22ATulsa77-60
18/11/22HUMass69-71
17/11/22ATexas A&M88-79
13/11/22HWilson College90-53
08/11/22ASt. Louis Billikens68-91
20/03/22HSt. Peters60-70
18/03/22HSan Francisco92-87 OT
06/03/22HMorehead State71-67
05/03/22HSoutheast Missouri State88-74
26/02/22ASoutheast Missouri State70-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chattanooga Mocs
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game80.689.068.0
Allowed / game66.258.777.5
Point differential+14.4+30.3-9.5
Avg total146.8147.7145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game78.479.577.7
Allowed / game70.862.076.7
Point differential+7.6+17.5+1.0
Avg total149.2141.5154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford76186%85.162.7+22.4
2 Furman64267%84.369.7+14.7
3 Wofford64267%80.066.7+13.3
4 Western Carolina74357%79.372.1+7.1
5 Citadel74357%72.469.3+3.1
6 Mercer63350%82.873.5+9.3
7 East Tennessee St63350%76.371.7+4.7
8 NC Greensboro63350%69.566.3+3.2
9 Chattanooga Mocs52340%80.666.2+14.4
10 VMI72529%77.376.6+0.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake660100%74.762.7+12.0
2 Indiana State65183%81.569.7+11.8
3 Illinois (Chi.)64267%73.865.7+8.2
4 Southern Illinois64267%63.059.2+3.8
5 Murray State53260%78.470.8+7.6
6 Bradley74357%72.663.6+9.0
7 Belmont63350%77.076.5+0.5
8 Northern Iowa52340%75.867.4+8.4
9 Valparaiso62433%65.373.5-8.2
10 Illinois State72529%61.367.0-5.7
11 Evansville72529%61.169.4-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Chattanooga Mocs303969
Murray State343266
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