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Murray State vs UMass Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 69-71
36-33 33-38
Position#182
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game74.3
vs
UMass 🏆
USA
Position#224
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game65.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMass winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#329
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A19/02
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
76-43
76
43
+33
H25/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H05/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H06/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
H18/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H20/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
68-91
68
91
-23
A08/11
NCAA
Wilson College
#489
W
90-53
90
53
+37
H13/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-33
35-27
35-17
41-26
32-37
38-31
51-31
37-43
34-34
37-33
36-37
37-36
27-32
33-38
29-44
39-47
46-27
44-26
35-28
53-51
145.7Avg total
76.5Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.074.3156.3+7.767%
Season at home (1)90.053.0143.0+37.0100%
Season away (2)78.085.0163.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)76.569.2145.7+7.380%
Last 5 (5)79.676.0155.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.085.0163.0-7.050%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (28)78.863.2142.0+15.693%
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#63
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A24/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#59
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H26/02
NCAA
Fordham
#199
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A01/03
NCAA
Fordham
#199
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H03/03
NCAA
George Mason
#221
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
A05/03
NCAA
George Washington
#267
W
99-88
99
88
+11
A10/03
NCAA
Dayton
#63
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A11/03
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#326
W
94-67
94
67
+27
H08/11
NCAA
Towson
#94
L
55-67
55
67
-12
H11/11
NCAA
Colorado
#192
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-46
38-36
23-41
39-36
36-40
37-45
44-31
37-42
33-41
35-27
56-36
43-52
36-34
36-41
41-33
53-34
28-42
27-25
37-34
29-29
150.3Avg total
74.6Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.765.7137.3+6.067%
Season at home (3)71.765.7137.3+6.067%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.675.7150.3-1.150%
Last 5 (5)77.272.0149.2+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)71.876.8148.6-4.942%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.377.3157.6+3.060%
vs Weaker (1)74.078.0152.0-4.00%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +0.7+0.7
Murray StateUMass
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#329
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A19/02
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
35-17
35
17
+18
H25/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A26/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H05/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H06/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H20/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A08/11
NCAA
Wilson College
#489
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H13/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A17/11
NCAA
67.2Avg total
35.2Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.330.768.1+6.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.128.669.7+12.576%-
Last 30 away (13)32.433.565.9-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)35.232.067.2+3.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.633.668.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.036.068.0-4.050%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (28)37.730.468.1+7.461%-
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#63
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A24/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#59
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H26/02
NCAA
Fordham
#199
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A01/03
NCAA
Fordham
#199
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H03/03
NCAA
George Mason
#221
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A05/03
NCAA
George Washington
#267
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A10/03
NCAA
Dayton
#63
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A11/03
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#326
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H08/11
NCAA
Towson
#94
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H11/11
NCAA
Colorado
#192
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H17/11
NCAA
73.5Avg total
35.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.537.672.1-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.136.972.0-1.947%-
Last 30 away (13)33.838.472.2-4.638%-
Last 10 (10)35.737.873.5-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.875.4+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)31.837.969.7-6.142%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.037.677.6+2.450%-
vs Weaker (1)30.031.061.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murray State wins
0
UMass wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/22ATexas A&M88-79
13/11/22HWilson College90-53
08/11/22ASt. Louis Billikens68-91
20/03/22HSt. Peters60-70
18/03/22HSan Francisco92-87 OT
06/03/22HMorehead State71-67
05/03/22HSoutheast Missouri State88-74
26/02/22ASoutheast Missouri State70-68
25/02/22HBelmont76-43
19/02/22AUT Martin62-60
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/22HColorado66-63
11/11/22HTowson55-67
08/11/22HCentral Connecticut State94-67
11/03/22ADayton72-75
10/03/22AGeorge Washington99-88
05/03/22AGeorge Mason83-80 OT
03/03/22HFordham81-73
01/03/22AFordham73-85
26/02/22HVCU Rams62-77
24/02/22ADayton61-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game82.090.078.0
Allowed / game74.353.085.0
Point differential+7.7+37.0-7.0
Avg total156.3143.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMass
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWLW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game71.771.7-
Allowed / game65.765.7-
Point differential+6.0+6.0-
Avg total137.3137.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State330100%88.066.3+21.7
2 Drake330100%80.064.0+16.0
3 Southern Illinois43175%66.259.5+6.8
4 Bradley32167%81.368.0+13.3
5 Illinois (Chi.)32167%70.759.3+11.3
6 Murray State32167%82.074.3+7.7
7 Northern Iowa21150%80.058.5+21.5
8 Illinois State42250%64.564.2+0.2
9 Valparaiso31233%75.079.0-4.0
10 Belmont31233%73.078.3-5.3
11 Evansville31233%68.074.7-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State440100%81.561.2+20.2
2 Toledo330100%96.781.7+15.0
3 Akron330100%73.064.3+8.7
4 Ball State32167%83.761.0+22.7
5 UMass32167%71.765.7+6.0
6 Bowling Green32167%73.373.3+0.0
7 Western Michigan31233%74.768.0+6.7
8 Ohio31233%74.776.0-1.3
9 Central Michigan31233%69.775.0-5.3
10 Eastern Michigan31233%73.081.0-8.0
11 Northern Illinois41325%68.071.8-3.8
12 Buffalo41325%71.587.0-15.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State363369
UMass333871
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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