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Tulsa vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 60-77
28-41 32-36
Position#361
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#182
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game73.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tulsa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TulsaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#44
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A24/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#201
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A26/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#179
L
62-72
62
72
-10
H03/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#127
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H06/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#179
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A10/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#44
L
58-83
58
83
-25
A12/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#323
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H18/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-30
34-45
36-34
23-30
29-38
33-34
27-36
46-36
34-24
39-43
29-40
29-43
44-28
26-45
37-34
48-45
30-30
55-36
27-40
38-28
141.0Avg total
69.1Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.271.5147.8+4.850%
Season at home (3)78.371.0149.3+7.367%
Season away (1)70.073.0143.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)69.171.9141.0-2.840%
Last 5 (5)72.673.8146.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)69.273.0142.2-3.830%
vs Similar (8)66.269.4135.6-3.125%
vs Weaker (2)70.551.0121.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#24
W
76-43
76
43
+33
H25/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H05/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H06/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
H18/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H20/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
68-91
68
91
-23
A08/11
NCAA
Wilson College
#489
W
90-53
90
53
+37
H13/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A17/11
NCAA
UMass
#224
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-17
41-26
32-37
38-31
51-31
37-43
34-34
37-33
36-37
37-36
27-32
33-38
29-44
39-47
46-27
44-26
35-28
53-51
36-33
33-38
147.5Avg total
77.2Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.873.5152.2+5.250%
Season at home (2)79.562.0141.5+17.550%
Season away (2)78.085.0163.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)77.270.3147.5+6.970%
Last 5 (5)75.072.8147.8+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.085.0163.0-7.050%
vs Similar (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)78.362.3140.6+15.993%
This opponent (Tulsa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +2.3+2.3
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +2.3+2.3
TulsaMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TulsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#44
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A24/02
NCAA
East Carolina
#201
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#179
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H03/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#127
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H06/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#179
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A10/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#44
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A12/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A08/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H12/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#323
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H18/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H19/11
NCAA
65.4Avg total
32.0Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.534.166.6-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.533.767.2-0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)31.434.665.9-3.236%-
Last 10 (10)32.033.465.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.434.467.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)32.534.967.3-2.435%-
vs Similar (8)31.833.965.6-2.150%-
vs Weaker (2)36.027.063.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#24
W
35-17
35
17
+18
H25/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A26/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H05/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H06/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#61
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H20/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A08/11
NCAA
Wilson College
#489
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H13/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A17/11
NCAA
UMass
#224
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H18/11
NCAA
68.1Avg total
36.1Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.130.567.6+6.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.628.268.8+12.576%-
Last 30 away (13)32.433.565.9-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)36.132.068.1+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.632.867.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.036.068.0-4.050%-
vs Similar (1)36.033.069.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)37.530.067.5+7.559%-
This opponent (Tulsa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tulsa wins
1
Murray State wins
DateGameScore
24/03/15Murray State v Tulsa83-62
Tulsalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22HCharlotte65-68
18/11/22HLoyola Chicago85-66
12/11/22HJackson State85-79
08/11/22AOregon State70-73
12/03/22ASMU Mustangs58-83
10/03/22AWichita State73-67
06/03/22HUCF Knights73-72
03/03/22HWichita State62-72
26/02/22AEast Carolina59-64
24/02/22ASMU Mustangs61-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/22HUMass69-71
17/11/22ATexas A&M88-79
13/11/22HWilson College90-53
08/11/22ASt. Louis Billikens68-91
20/03/22HSt. Peters60-70
18/03/22HSan Francisco92-87 OT
06/03/22HMorehead State71-67
05/03/22HSoutheast Missouri State88-74
26/02/22ASoutheast Missouri State70-68
25/02/22HBelmont76-43

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tulsa
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game76.278.370.0
Allowed / game71.571.073.0
Point differential+4.8+7.3-3.0
Avg total147.8149.3143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.879.578.0
Allowed / game73.562.085.0
Point differential+5.2+17.5-7.0
Avg total152.2141.5163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulane330100%87.768.0+19.7
2 Charlotte440100%71.053.2+17.8
3 East Carolina330100%78.768.3+10.3
4 Florida Atlantic54180%77.065.8+11.2
5 UTSA Roadrunners43175%64.059.2+4.8
6 UAB32167%96.074.7+21.3
7 Wichita State32167%64.058.0+6.0
8 North Texas32167%49.054.0-5.0
9 Rice53260%76.478.8-2.4
10 Tulsa42250%76.271.5+4.8
11 Memphis21150%80.078.5+1.5
12 Temple42250%75.073.8+1.2
13 South Florida4040%61.865.2-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State330100%88.066.3+21.7
2 Drake330100%80.064.0+16.0
3 Bradley43175%79.266.0+13.2
4 Southern Illinois43175%66.259.5+6.8
5 Northern Iowa21150%80.058.5+21.5
6 Murray State42250%78.873.5+5.2
7 Illinois (Chi.)42250%69.264.2+5.0
8 Illinois State42250%64.564.2+0.2
9 Valparaiso42250%73.275.2-2.0
10 Belmont52340%73.277.2-4.0
11 Evansville41325%62.869.8-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tulsa283260
Murray State413677
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