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Chemnitz vs Cholet Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-83
21-22 14-25 21-26 17-10
Position#9
Record4-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Cholet 🏆
Position#6
Record6-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game72.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 1
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cholet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Galil Elyon
#24
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A26/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
98-89
98
89
+9
100avg 79
H29/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
84-68
84
68
+16
no box
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#4
W
99-93 OT
99
93
+6
no box
A05/11
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
106-94
106
94
+12
107avg 79
H18/11
BBL
Golden Eagle Ylli
#34
W
101-72
101
72
+29
no box
A23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#9
L
75-88
75
88
-13
69avg 79
H27/11
BBL
Galil Elyon
#24
W
111-79
111
79
+32
no box
H30/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#10
W
87-78
87
78
+9
85avg 79
H06/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
104-81
104
81
+23
105avg 79
A11/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
20-20
21-15
15-21
24-25
22-24
28-19
24-21
21-16
24-16
17-21
22-15
21-26
24-21
16-21
22-15
36-19
25-23
24-22
21-30
24-24
34-13
20-13
23-22
23-30
21-20
16-21
15-17
38-23
20-14
25-19
28-23
19-19
25-30
25-17
18-12
24-25
30-19
18-20
32-17
175.8Avg total
93.8Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.774.3165.0+16.367%
Season at home (3)95.376.0171.3+19.367%
Season away (3)86.072.7158.7+13.367%
Last 10 (10)93.882.0175.8+11.880%
Last 5 (5)95.679.6175.2+16.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.784.3163.0-5.733%
vs Similar ◀ (6)85.086.3171.3-1.333%
vs Weaker (15)89.577.9167.3+11.673%
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Paris
#10
W
75-66
75
66
+9
65avg 81
A29/10
LNB
CSM Oradea
#5
L
69-77
69
77
-8
no box
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Pau-Orthez
#17
W
93-83
93
83
+10
88avg 81
H05/11
LNB
Ada Blois
#16
W
79-74
79
74
+5
75avg 81
A18/11
LNB
Mechelen
#17
W
89-69
89
69
+20
no box
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
W
76-64
76
64
+12
80avg 81
H26/11
LNB
Rilski Sportist
#35
W
100-75
100
75
+25
no box
H29/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Roanne
#11
L
72-98
72
98
-26
61avg 81
A02/12
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#18
W
73-70
73
70
+3
62avg 81
H06/12
LNB
Le Portel
#12
L
71-86
71
86
-15
63avg 81
A09/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
22-13
13-13
18-15
27-17
15-18
12-23
15-19
24-19
16-22
29-20
24-22
23-21
18-16
21-18
17-19
12-23
27-20
23-11
27-15
12-16
18-15
24-16
22-17
24-21
25-19
32-22
19-13
19-27
25-20
18-22
10-29
18-16
19-17
18-17
18-20
14-20
24-20
13-24
20-22
155.9Avg total
79.7Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.172.0158.1+14.175%
Season at home (3)96.075.0171.0+21.0100%
Season away (5)80.270.2150.4+10.060%
Last 10 (10)79.776.2155.9+3.570%
Last 5 (5)78.478.6157.0-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.584.2165.8-2.850%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.577.8161.3+5.877%
vs Weaker (8)83.173.4156.5+9.875%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
ChemnitzCholet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galil Elyon
#24
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A26/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H29/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A05/11
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H18/11
BBL
Golden Eagle Ylli
#34
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A23/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H27/11
BBL
Galil Elyon
#24
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H30/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H06/12
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A11/12
BBL
92.1Avg total
49.2Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.985.6+3.953%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.641.286.8+4.450%-
Last 30 away (18)44.240.784.9+3.656%-
Last 10 (10)49.242.992.1+6.350%-
Last 5 (5)51.643.495.0+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.242.779.8-5.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)46.345.091.3+1.333%-
vs Weaker (15)47.439.386.7+8.167%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A29/10
LNB
CSM Oradea
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Pau-Orthez
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H05/11
LNB
Ada Blois
#16
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A18/11
LNB
Mechelen
#17
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H26/11
LNB
Rilski Sportist
#35
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H29/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Roanne
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A02/12
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#18
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H06/12
LNB
Le Portel
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A09/12
LNB
78.9Avg total
40.4Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.079.8+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.437.679.0+3.757%-
Last 30 away (16)42.238.280.4+3.962%-
Last 10 (10)40.438.578.9+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.277.8+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.943.183.0-3.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.437.280.5+6.262%-
vs Weaker (8)40.035.675.6+4.475%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.519.9
59.4%
52.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.7
37.2%
34.1%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.115.7
78.1%
73.2%15.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.7
52.4%
52.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.1
32.7%
34.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.415.1
74.0%
73.2%15.1
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WWWLWWWWWL
Cholet
LWLWWWWWLW
#9
League position
#6
+7.6
Net rating
+6.4
116.8
Offensive rating
108.1
109.2
Defensive rating
101.7
57.7%
Effective FG%
50.9%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
18.5%
Turnover %
17.4%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.2%
3-point %
32.7%
72.9%
Assist %
66.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 108.1Defence109.2 · 101.7Shooting57.7% · 50.9%3-point %37.2% · 32.7%Ball care18.5% · 17.4%Off. rebounds30.5% · 29.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Cholet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chemnitz wins
0
Cholet wins
No previous meetings.
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/22AHamburg104-81
06/12/22HHeidelberg87-78
30/11/22HGalil Elyon111-79
27/11/22HBamberg75-88
23/11/22AGolden Eagle Ylli101-72
18/11/22HCrailsheim Merlins106-94
05/11/22AUlm99-93 OT
02/11/22ABamberg84-68
29/10/22HSyntainics MBC98-89
26/10/22AGalil Elyon73-78
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/22ALe Portel71-86
06/12/22HFos-sur-Mer73-70
02/12/22ARoanne72-98
29/11/22HRilski Sportist100-75
26/11/22HGravelines-Dunkerque76-64
22/11/22HMechelen89-69
18/11/22AAda Blois79-74
05/11/22HPau-Orthez93-83
02/11/22ACSM Oradea69-77
29/10/22AParis75-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game90.795.386.0
Allowed / game74.376.072.7
Point differential+16.3+19.3+13.3
Avg total165.0171.3158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cholet
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %75%100%60%
Points / game86.196.080.2
Allowed / game72.075.070.2
Point differential+14.1+21.0+10.0
Avg total158.1171.0150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo98189%84.668.8+15.8
2 Hapoel Haifa87188%69.865.2+4.5
3 CSM Oradea65183%88.573.5+15.0
4 Karhu Basket65183%90.083.5+6.5
5 SCM Craiova97278%75.669.2+6.3
6 Cholet86275%86.172.0+14.1
7 Chemnitz64267%90.774.3+16.3
8 Anwil Wloclawek64267%91.579.2+12.3
9 Crailsheim Merlins64267%85.575.2+10.3
10 Den Bosch64267%77.068.3+8.7
11 Bamberg64267%84.079.0+5.0
12 Budivelnyk64267%77.875.5+2.3
13 Sporting CP85362%89.191.6-2.5
14 Gottingen21150%79.573.0+6.5
15 Brindisi63350%80.274.7+5.5
16 Keravnos63350%79.776.0+3.7
17 Czarni Slupsk21150%78.575.5+3.0
18 Gaziantep63350%77.374.3+3.0
19 Mechelen63350%85.083.0+2.0
20 FC Porto63350%77.576.7+0.8
21 Levice63350%79.078.3+0.7
22 Fribourg Olympic63350%79.579.3+0.2
23 BC Wolves21150%79.581.5-2.0
24 Opava63350%77.279.2-2.0
25 Balkan63350%74.576.8-2.3
26 AEK Larnaca21150%68.572.0-3.5
27 Leiden21150%68.572.5-4.0
28 Galil Elyon63350%83.287.7-4.5
29 Antwerp Giants83538%76.178.0-1.9
30 Swans Gmunden62433%77.080.0-3.0
31 Voluntari62433%68.873.8-5.0
32 Parnu62433%74.584.2-9.7
33 Norrkoping61517%71.583.5-12.0
34 Golden Eagle Ylli61517%70.387.2-16.8
35 Rilski Sportist81712%69.690.1-20.5
36 Jonava1010%59.065.0-6.0
37 Thorl1010%68.077.0-9.0
38 Jamtland1010%73.083.0-10.0
39 Aris1010%72.083.0-11.0
40 Kataja1010%64.075.0-11.0
41 Kormend6060%76.389.5-13.2
42 Trepca1010%62.076.0-14.0
43 Kapfenberg Bulls1010%55.071.0-16.0
44 Cedevita Junior1010%73.093.0-20.0
45 Donar Groningen6060%61.782.8-21.2
46 Besiktas1010%62.093.0-31.0
47 Sigal Prishtina1010%61.098.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz2114211773
Cholet2225261083
← all games of the day
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