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Cholet vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 93-83
24-19 16-22 29-20 24-22
Position#7
Record5-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game77.5
Cholet 🏆
France
vs
Pau-Orthez
France
Position#17
Record2-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game81.7
FranceLNBRound 8
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Cholet v Pau-Orthez
10 Oct 2026
CHO85
POR79
05 Nov 2022
CHO93
POR83
05 Oct 2021
CHO77
POR80
09 May 2021
CHO75
POR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cholet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CholetFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Leiden
#23
W
71-59
71
59
+12
no box
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Le Mans
#6
L
82-90
82
90
-8
71avg 82
A04/10
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
78avg 82
H08/10
LNB
CSM Oradea
#5
W
99-81
99
81
+18
no box
H12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
JL Bourg
#5
W
87-68
87
68
+19
88avg 82
A15/10
LNB
Mechelen
#17
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
A19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Nancy
#13
W
94-73
94
73
+21
91avg 82
H22/10
LNB
Rilski Sportist
#35
W
83-65
83
65
+18
no box
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Paris
#10
W
75-66
75
66
+9
65avg 82
A29/10
LNB
CSM Oradea
#5
L
69-77
69
77
-8
no box
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
16-12
17-9
25-15
20-24
24-23
26-17
12-26
18-22
20-21
22-16
24-20
22-13
17-19
35-20
25-29
22-20
22-15
28-17
15-16
25-19
21-22
15-24
24-23
32-10
21-21
13-26
28-16
18-13
18-13
22-18
25-21
22-25
22-13
13-13
18-15
27-17
15-18
12-23
15-19
157.5Avg total
82.9Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.577.5163.0+8.083%
Season at home (3)89.780.3170.0+9.3100%
Season away (3)81.374.7156.0+6.767%
Last 10 (10)82.974.6157.5+8.370%
Last 5 (5)81.273.8155.0+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.881.8163.6+0.050%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.176.5161.6+8.683%
vs Weaker (7)82.974.1157.0+8.771%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Monaco
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
no box
A04/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
82-76
82
76
+6
84avg 81
H07/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
92avg 81
H09/06
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
83-80
83
80
+3
102avg 81
H24/09
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
59-82
59
82
-23
47avg 81
A27/09
LNB
Limoges
#15
W
81-62
81
62
+19
92avg 81
H02/10
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
L
77-92
77
92
-15
69avg 81
A08/10
LNB
Nancy
#13
L
81-88
81
88
-7
97avg 81
A15/10
LNB
Paris
#10
L
74-79
74
79
-5
66avg 81
H22/10
LNB
Le Portel
#12
L
84-89
84
89
-5
79avg 81
H29/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
15-24
12-17
25-16
23-21
19-21
23-20
17-14
26-20
14-25
15-23
28-17
14-27
30-14
20-16
19-23
8-12
13-23
19-21
19-26
22-17
15-15
23-12
21-18
16-24
16-26
17-27
28-15
24-22
17-22
18-25
22-19
18-21
22-20
15-17
19-21
25-22
15-22
16-15
28-30
158.8Avg total
77.6Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.081.7158.7-4.729%
Season at home (4)80.577.5158.0+3.050%
Season away (3)72.387.3159.7-15.00%
Last 10 (10)77.681.2158.8-3.630%
Last 5 (5)79.482.0161.4-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.284.8163.0-6.531%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.979.6162.5+3.358%
vs Weaker (5)85.074.8159.8+10.2100%
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.7+2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.7+2.7
CholetPau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#23
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Le Mans
#6
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A04/10
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H08/10
LNB
CSM Oradea
#5
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
JL Bourg
#5
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A15/10
LNB
Mechelen
#17
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Nancy
#13
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H22/10
LNB
Rilski Sportist
#35
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Paris
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A29/10
LNB
CSM Oradea
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
77.8Avg total
41.5Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.738.280.9+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.537.078.5+4.567%-
Last 30 away (18)43.539.182.6+4.472%-
Last 10 (10)41.536.377.8+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.234.278.4+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.942.182.0-2.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)45.437.582.9+7.983%-
vs Weaker (7)40.935.776.6+5.186%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A04/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H07/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H09/06
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H24/09
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A27/09
LNB
Limoges
#15
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H02/10
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A08/10
LNB
Nancy
#13
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A15/10
LNB
Paris
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H22/10
LNB
Le Portel
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H29/10
LNB
79.2Avg total
37.2Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.381.4-1.253%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.439.881.2+1.667%-
Last 30 away (12)38.243.581.8-5.233%-
Last 10 (10)37.242.079.2-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.280.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.943.181.0-5.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.941.082.9+0.967%-
vs Weaker (5)41.637.479.0+4.2100%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.3
52.6%
53.7%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.9
38.8%
35.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.313.6
74.3%
75.2%13.6
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.816.5
47.4%
53.7%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.9
37.8%
35.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.114.1
77.9%
75.2%14.1
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cholet
LWWWLWWWLW
Pau-Orthez
LLLLWLWLWL
#7
League position
#17
+5.6
Net rating
-4.4
111.8
Offensive rating
105.4
106.2
Defensive rating
109.8
54.9%
Effective FG%
51.4%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
17.0%
Turnover %
19.7%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.8%
3-point %
37.8%
58.9%
Assist %
73.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 105.4Defence106.2 · 109.8Shooting54.9% · 51.4%3-point %38.8% · 37.8%Ball care17.0% · 19.7%Off. rebounds28.1% · 29.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Cholet   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cholet wins
4
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
30/04/22Pau-Orthez v Cholet76-87
16/11/21Pau-Orthez v Cholet99-92
05/10/21Cholet v Pau-Orthez77-80
12/06/21Pau-Orthez v Cholet73-62
09/05/21Cholet v Pau-Orthez75-78
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/22ACSM Oradea69-77
29/10/22AParis75-66
25/10/22ARilski Sportist83-65
22/10/22HNancy94-73
19/10/22AMechelen85-88
15/10/22AJL Bourg87-68
12/10/22HCSM Oradea99-81
08/10/22HStrasbourg84-79
04/10/22ALe Mans82-90
30/09/22ALeiden71-59
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/22HLe Portel84-89
22/10/22HParis74-79
15/10/22ANancy81-88
08/10/22AJL Bourg77-92
02/10/22HLimoges81-62
27/09/22ABoulogne-Levallois59-82
24/09/22HStrasbourg83-80
09/06/22HMonaco83-85
07/06/22HMonaco82-76
04/06/22AMonaco72-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cholet
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game85.589.781.3
Allowed / game77.580.374.7
Point differential+8.0+9.3+6.7
Avg total163.0170.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pau-Orthez
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game77.080.572.3
Allowed / game81.777.587.3
Point differential-4.7+3.0-15.0
Avg total158.7158.0159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco770100%93.083.0+10.0
2 Le Mans76186%90.681.0+9.6
3 Boulogne-Levallois76186%89.680.4+9.1
4 Cholet65183%85.577.5+8.0
5 Dijon75271%91.780.0+11.7
6 Ada Blois85362%86.293.0-6.8
7 Lyon-Villeurbanne74357%86.381.4+4.9
8 Nanterre84450%83.582.8+0.8
9 Limoges84450%79.178.6+0.5
10 JL Bourg73443%86.389.9-3.6
11 Gravelines-Dunkerque83538%81.688.0-6.4
12 Roanne62433%88.590.2-1.7
13 Fos-sur-Mer62433%76.787.3-10.7
14 Pau-Orthez72529%77.081.7-4.7
15 Nancy72529%77.084.0-7.0
16 Le Portel82625%78.180.1-2.0
17 Strasbourg71614%77.983.0-5.1
18 Paris71614%88.193.4-5.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cholet2416292493
Pau-Orthez1922202283
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