PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Chemnitz vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 106-94
36-19 25-23 24-22 21-30
Position#12
Record2-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Position#14
Record2-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game91.2
GermanyBBLRound 7
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Chemnitz v Crailsheim Merlins
26 Dec 2023
CHE95
CME67
18 Nov 2022
CHE106
CME94
30 Dec 2021
CHE82
CME92
14 Apr 2021
CHE73
CME85
31 Mar 2018
CHE74
CME91
11 Feb 2017
CHE87
CME96
08 Feb 2014
CHE77
CME79
02 Nov 2012
CHE80
CME71
23 Mar 2012
CHE70
CME66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Tofas
#27
L
78-82
78
82
-4
66avg 76
A25/09
Champions League
Bayern
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
70avg 76
A09/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
no box
A15/10
German Cup
Golden Eagle Ylli
#34
W
90-60
90
60
+30
no box
H19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#11
L
81-86
81
86
-5
80avg 76
H22/10
BBL
Galil Elyon
#24
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A26/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
98-89
98
89
+9
100avg 76
H29/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
84-68
84
68
+16
no box
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#4
W
99-93 OT
99
93
+6
no box
A05/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
22-20
21-8
13-24
22-28
27-19
8-20
17-21
29-14
20-27
21-23
15-25
19-21
18-19
12-25
23-21
25-13
26-13
22-15
17-19
15-19
26-27
22-15
18-25
17-22
20-20
21-15
15-21
24-25
22-24
28-19
24-21
21-16
24-16
17-21
22-15
21-26
24-21
16-21
22-15
165.3Avg total
83.4Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.089.0177.0-1.050%
Season at home (2)89.587.5177.0+2.050%
Season away (2)86.590.5177.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)83.481.9165.3+1.540%
Last 5 (5)87.082.8169.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.079.9158.9-0.944%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.588.2168.7-7.70%
vs Weaker (12)85.578.0163.5+7.567%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
W
84-82
84
82
+2
69avg 74
A04/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
77-81
77
81
-4
69avg 74
H07/10
BBL
Norrkoping
#33
L
87-93 OT
87
93
-6
no box
A12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#15
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
H15/10
German Cup
SCM Craiova
#25
L
60-73
60
73
-13
no box
H19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayreuth
#18
L
77-99
77
99
-22
67avg 74
A23/10
BBL
Voluntari
#30
W
76-61
76
61
+15
no box
H26/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
70avg 74
A30/10
BBL
Norrkoping
#33
W
95-64
95
64
+31
no box
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
119-102
119
102
+17
111avg 74
H05/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
18-19
20-20
24-16
16-27
24-16
24-20
13-18
30-14
11-26
19-21
19-18
21-19
19-18
25-12
21-23
21-14
11-15
22-21
6-23
18-32
16-22
24-19
19-26
22-17
24-8
16-20
14-16
22-33
18-16
11-18
26-21
30-5
21-25
17-23
27-11
34-20
33-26
23-30
29-26
165.3Avg total
83.8Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.091.2177.2-5.233%
Season at home (3)92.792.7185.3+0.033%
Season away (3)79.389.7169.0-10.333%
Last 10 (10)83.881.5165.3+2.350%
Last 5 (5)88.882.8171.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.489.1165.6-12.711%
vs Similar ◀ (9)88.189.3177.4-1.256%
vs Weaker (11)80.079.5159.5+0.545%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
ChemnitzCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#27
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A25/09
Champions League
Bayern
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A09/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A15/10
German Cup
Golden Eagle Ylli
#34
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H22/10
BBL
Galil Elyon
#24
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A26/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H29/10
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ulm
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A05/11
BBL
86.4Avg total
44.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.539.782.2+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (11)42.538.581.1+4.055%-
Last 30 away (19)42.540.482.8+2.147%-
Last 10 (10)44.442.086.4+2.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.843.286.0-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.439.878.2-1.344%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.841.884.7+1.033%-
vs Weaker (12)45.139.284.3+5.858%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A04/10
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H07/10
BBL
Norrkoping
#33
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A12/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H15/10
German Cup
SCM Craiova
#25
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H19/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayreuth
#18
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A23/10
BBL
Voluntari
#30
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H26/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A30/10
BBL
Norrkoping
#33
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
67-46
67
46
+21
H05/11
BBL
83.0Avg total
43.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.784.7-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.739.881.4+1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)40.248.188.4-7.929%-
Last 10 (10)43.139.983.0+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)47.640.888.4+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.646.385.9-6.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.345.890.1-1.433%-
vs Weaker (11)39.540.479.9-0.836%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.4
54.9%
54.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.2
36.0%
35.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.713.8
78.0%
75.8%13.8
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.4
52.9%
54.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.5
35.8%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.416.3
76.2%
75.8%16.3
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
WWWLLWLLLL
Crailsheim Merlins
WWLWLLWLLW
#12
League position
#14
-0.1
Net rating
-4.0
112.1
Offensive rating
112.7
112.2
Defensive rating
116.8
54.5%
Effective FG%
53.2%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
19.8%
Turnover %
15.9%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.0%
3-point %
35.8%
69.9%
Assist %
58.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 112.7Defence112.2 · 116.8Shooting54.5% · 53.2%3-point %36.0% · 35.8%Ball care19.8% · 15.9%Off. rebounds33.3% · 28.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chemnitz wins
10
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/22AUlm99-93 OT
02/11/22ABamberg84-68
29/10/22HSyntainics MBC98-89
26/10/22AGalil Elyon73-78
22/10/22HWurzburg81-86
19/10/22HGolden Eagle Ylli90-60
15/10/22ACrailsheim Merlins72-86
13/10/22HBamberg85-89
09/10/22ABayern74-88
25/09/22ATofas78-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/22HSyntainics MBC119-102
02/11/22HNorrkoping95-64
30/10/22ABayern77-88
26/10/22HVoluntari76-61
23/10/22ABayreuth77-99
19/10/22HSCM Craiova60-73
15/10/22HChemnitz86-72
12/10/22ANorrkoping87-93 OT
07/10/22HGottingen77-81
04/10/22ABamberg84-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game88.089.586.5
Allowed / game89.087.590.5
Point differential-1.0+2.0-4.0
Avg total177.0177.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%0%50%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game86.092.779.3
Allowed / game91.292.789.7
Point differential-5.2+0.0-10.3
Avg total177.2185.3169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn550100%90.273.8+16.4
2 Alba Berlin550100%88.475.8+12.6
3 Bayern65183%84.275.7+8.5
4 Ludwigsburg65183%93.285.0+8.2
5 Hamburg64267%85.580.2+5.3
6 Oldenburg64267%84.081.3+2.7
7 Rostock64267%91.393.8-2.5
8 Gottingen53260%86.684.8+1.8
9 Chemnitz42250%88.089.0-1.0
10 Heidelberg52340%83.292.0-8.8
11 Bayreuth62433%79.083.2-4.2
12 Wurzburg62433%86.591.2-4.7
13 Crailsheim Merlins62433%86.091.2-5.2
14 Basketball Braunschweig51420%75.283.4-8.2
15 Syntainics MBC51420%91.8100.0-8.2
16 Frankfurt61517%75.779.0-3.3
17 Ulm61517%83.086.3-3.3
18 Bamberg61517%79.885.3-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz36252421106
Crailsheim Merlins1923223094
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.