Chemnitz vs Paderborn Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2019

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 79-67

18-15 17-15 27-20 17-17

Position#1

Record21-6

FormWWLWW

Points / game83.5

Allowed / game77.0

Chemnitz 🏆

Paderborn

Position#13

Record9-18

FormLLLLL

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game84.9

Pro ARound 28

Other2018-19

Meetings · Chemnitz v Paderborn

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Paderborn winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chemnitz

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nurnberger

71-66

A15/01

Pro A

Baunach

#16

76-73

A19/01

Pro A

Kirchheim

#11

88-71

+17

H26/01

Pro A

Artland

#12

96-103

103

-7

A02/02

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

69-84

-15

H09/02

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

#10

100-82

100

+18

A16/02

Pro A

Tubingen

98-80

+18

A23/02

Pro A

Nurnberger

95-97

-2

H01/03

Pro A

Ehingen

84-73

+11

H03/03

Pro A

Schalke

#14

76-63

+13

A09/03

Pro A

21-20

25-13

7-16

18-17

17-9

19-26

19-13

21-25

19-19

27-19

21-12

21-21

22-28

24-30

22-20

28-25

24-22

16-20

13-18

16-24

29-14

28-17

27-26

16-25

20-18

26-20

20-19

32-23

34-23

31-20

12-26

18-28

22-15

22-19

19-22

21-17

15-12

24-22

24-14

13-15

164.5Avg total

85.3Scored

79.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	83.5	77.0	160.4	+6.5	78%
Season at home (13)	83.8	78.1	161.8	+5.7	69%
Season away (14)	83.2	75.9	159.1	+7.3	86%
Last 10 (10)	85.3	79.2	164.5	+6.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	90.6	79.0	169.6	+11.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	81.5	89.5	171.0	-8.0	50%
vs Similar (5)	80.8	78.4	159.2	+2.4	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	83.6	77.2	160.8	+6.4	78%

This opponent (Paderborn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Paderborn

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Artland

#12

65-68

-3

A11/01

Pro A

Hamburg

89-98

-9

H19/01

Pro A

Hanau

#15

83-78

A26/01

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

#10

49-67

-18

A02/02

Pro A

Trier

93-90

H09/02

Pro A

Ehingen

85-96

-11

A17/02

Pro A

Rostock

81-92

-11

H23/02

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

71-83

-12

H01/03

Pro A

Tubingen

84-97

-13

A03/03

Pro A

Heidelberg

101-107

101

107

-6

H09/03

Pro A

18-19

9-12

15-19

23-18

17-23

26-16

13-36

33-23

18-17

27-15

20-25

18-21

13-13

14-18

9-22

13-14

25-19

20-23

24-23

24-25

18-21

23-26

14-23

30-26

17-25

13-21

27-26

24-20

22-18

19-19

16-18

14-28

20-19

11-21

29-25

24-32

23-30

25-27

26-24

27-26

167.7Avg total

80.1Scored

87.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	79.9	84.9	164.7	-5.0	33%
Season at home (14)	83.5	88.6	172.1	-5.1	36%
Season away (13)	75.9	80.8	156.8	-4.9	31%
Last 10 (10)	80.1	87.6	167.7	-7.5	20%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	95.0	179.4	-10.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	76.7	86.7	163.4	-10.0	14%
vs Similar (7)	79.9	78.4	158.3	+1.4	71%
vs Weaker (2)	88.0	79.5	167.5	+8.5	50%

This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ChemnitzPaderborn

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	18.2	40.7	+4.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	18.3	36.5	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	18.0	40.3	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	16.4	40.4	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	23.0	43.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.3	17.2	37.5	+3.1	61%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.8	39.2	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	22.6	41.1	-4.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	19.1	37.3	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.6	42.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.8	21.5	39.3	-3.7	29%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.3	19.0	38.3	+0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	19.7	41.5	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	20.6	41.7	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	18.9	41.4	+3.7	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	20.6	44.8	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	19.6	45.8	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	23.0	42.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.4	18.0	41.4	+5.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.7	19.8	41.5	+1.8	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	21.0	39.6	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	22.1	39.3	-4.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.8	41.0	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.0	22.0	39.9	-4.0	24%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.7	20.1	40.9	+0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	13.5	32.5	+5.5	50%	-

ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nurnberger

46-33

+13

A15/01

Pro A

Baunach

#16

36-35

A19/01

Pro A

Kirchheim

#11

46-38

H26/01

Pro A

Artland

#12

46-58

-12

A02/02

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

40-42

-2

H09/02

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

#10

57-31

+26

A16/02

Pro A

Tubingen

46-38

A23/02

Pro A

Nurnberger

65-43

+22

H01/03

Pro A

Ehingen

44-34

+10

H03/03

Pro A

Schalke

#14

39-34

A09/03

Pro A

85.1Avg total

46.5Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	38.0	80.2	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.6	38.8	82.4	+4.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.8	37.1	77.9	+3.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.5	38.6	85.1	+7.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.2	36.0	86.2	+14.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.0	46.0	86.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	44.2	39.2	83.4	+5.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	42.0	37.0	79.0	+5.0	74%	-

This opponent (Paderborn) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PaderbornLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Artland

#12

27-31

-4

A11/01

Pro A

Hamburg

43-39

H19/01

Pro A

Hanau

#15

45-32

+13

A26/01

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

#10

27-31

-4

A02/02

Pro A

Trier

45-42

H09/02

Pro A

Ehingen

41-47

-6

A17/02

Pro A

Rostock

30-46

-16

H23/02

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

41-37

H01/03

Pro A

Tubingen

31-40

-9

A03/03

Pro A

Heidelberg

48-57

-9

H09/03

Pro A

78.0Avg total

37.8Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	41.8	78.8	-4.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.6	42.4	81.0	-3.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.5	41.2	76.7	-5.7	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	40.2	78.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	45.4	83.6	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	35.8	43.5	79.2	-7.7	19%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.0	39.1	79.1	+0.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.0	33.5	73.5	+6.5	50%	-

This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.6	39.2	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	19.1	39.7	+1.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.6	37.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.4	41.8	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	19.5	19.9	39.4	-0.4	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.5	39.7	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	22.1	42.7	-1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	19.0	36.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	24.1	43.4	-4.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	23.2	45.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.3	20.6	39.9	-1.3	52%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.1	20.3	38.4	-2.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.6	41.9	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	25.0	44.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.0	20.4	38.4	-2.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.1	20.3	42.4	+1.8	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.4	41.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	20.6	42.4	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	20.1	40.3	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	23.3	46.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	26.4	50.2	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	20.6	20.9	41.5	-0.3	48%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.7	19.0	40.7	+2.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	19.5	42.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	40.3	81.1	+0.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	40.8	80.7	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	39.7	81.5	+2.0	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	40.6	79.4	-1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	43.0	83.4	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.5	43.5	85.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	36.6	39.2	75.8	-2.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	41.7	40.2	81.9	+1.4	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	40.9	81.1	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	42.7	85.1	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	39.1	77.0	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	47.4	89.7	-5.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	49.6	95.8	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	39.9	41.5	81.3	-1.6	48%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.9	39.3	79.1	+0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.5	40.5	85.0	+4.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Chemnitz wins

Paderborn wins

Date	Game	Score
16/11/18	Paderborn v Chemnitz	84-99
20/01/18	Chemnitz v Paderborn	79-53
21/10/17	Paderborn v Chemnitz	78-84
04/03/17	Paderborn v Chemnitz	77-69
08/10/16	Chemnitz v Paderborn	81-67
11/03/16	Chemnitz v Paderborn	80-58
12/12/15	Paderborn v Chemnitz	73-90
13/03/15	Paderborn v Chemnitz	0-20
05/10/14	Chemnitz v Paderborn	90-96 OT
04/01/14	Chemnitz v Paderborn	65-78

Chemnitzlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/03/19	A	Schalke	76-63
03/03/19	H	Ehingen	84-73
01/03/19	H	Nurnberger	95-97
23/02/19	A	Tubingen	98-80
16/02/19	A	PS Karlsruhe	100-82
09/02/19	H	Phoenix Hagen	69-84
02/02/19	A	Artland	96-103
26/01/19	H	Kirchheim	88-71
19/01/19	A	Baunach	76-73
15/01/19	A	Nurnberger	71-66

Paderbornlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/03/19	H	Heidelberg	101-107
03/03/19	A	Tubingen	84-97
01/03/19	H	Phoenix Hagen	71-83
23/02/19	H	Rostock	81-92
17/02/19	A	Ehingen	85-96
09/02/19	H	Trier	93-90
02/02/19	A	PS Karlsruhe	49-67
26/01/19	A	Hanau	83-78
19/01/19	H	Hamburg	89-98
11/01/19	A	Artland	65-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz

Pro A 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	78%
Home	WWLLW	69%
Away	WLWWW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	78%	69%	86%
Points / game	83.5	83.8	83.2
Allowed / game	77.0	78.1	75.9
Point differential	+6.5	+5.7	+7.3
Avg total	160.4	161.8	159.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	48%	46%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	67% (3)	100% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Paderborn

Pro A 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	33%
Home	LWLLL	36%
Away	LWLLL	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	33%	36%	31%
Points / game	79.9	83.5	75.9
Allowed / game	84.9	88.6	80.8
Point differential	-5.0	-5.1	-4.9
Avg total	164.7	172.1	156.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	14%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	67% (3)	33% (6)
Overtime %	7%	7%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Chemnitz	27	21	6	78%	83.5	77.0	+6.5
2	Hamburg	27	18	9	67%	82.6	75.6	+7.0
3	Heidelberg	27	18	9	67%	78.7	73.2	+5.4
4	Rostock	27	17	10	63%	79.7	77.2	+2.6
5	Nurnberger	27	16	11	59%	78.0	75.6	+2.4
6	Ehingen	27	15	12	56%	85.2	81.6	+3.6
7	Trier	27	15	12	56%	78.6	81.0	-2.4
8	Phoenix Hagen	27	14	13	52%	83.3	80.7	+2.7
9	PS Karlsruhe	27	14	13	52%	79.6	77.8	+1.8
10	Kirchheim	27	13	14	48%	75.3	74.8	+0.4
11	Tubingen	27	13	14	48%	84.7	85.3	-0.6
12	Artland	27	12	15	44%	79.3	81.1	-1.9
13	Schalke	27	9	18	33%	74.0	78.5	-4.5
14	Paderborn	27	9	18	33%	79.9	84.9	-5.0
15	Hanau	27	7	20	26%	75.6	81.6	-6.0
16	Baunach	27	5	22	19%	71.9	84.1	-12.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Chemnitz	18	17	27	17	79
Paderborn	15	15	20	17	67

← all games of the day

Chemnitz vs Paderborn Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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