PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cherno More vs Polytechnica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 98-72
Projected total 169.6
Final 85-66
20-10 21-28 25-15 19-13
Position#7
Record3-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game72.8
Cherno More 🏆
Bulgaria
Vs
98%
■ CHER 98%■ POLY 2%
Pythia win probability
Polytechnica
Bulgaria
Position#14
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game96.6
BulgariaNBLRound 6· DKS - Varna
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Cherno More will host Polytechnica in the NBL on 14 November 2026, with the model clearly favouring the home side at 98% versus 2% for the visitors; the high probability reflects Cherno More's 3-2 record, 83.6 points scored and 72.8 allowed per game, while Polytechnica sits 0-5, 70.8 scored and 96.6 allowed. Cherno More's overall season shows a balanced 3-2 record and a modest 83.6 points per game, but their home form is 1-1 with 80.5 points and 70.5 allowed, and the last five games included a 95-62 win over CSKA Sofia and two defeats to Lok. Plovdiv and Spartak Pleven. Polytechnica's road record is 0-3, 72.7 points and 95.3 allowed, with the last five matches all losses, including a 65-95 defeat to Rilski Sportist. The projected score is 99-73, giving a projected total of 171.8 points; the model predicts Cherno More will cover the spread with a 98% probability of winning outright. The game is expected to finish in regulation, with an overtime probability of 0%.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cherno More winWon
98.4%fair 1.02
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Polytechnica winLost
1.6%fair 63.67
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cherno MoreBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMore
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
89-91
89
91
-2
74avg 85
A09/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
62avg 85
A11/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
59-77
59
77
-18
48avg 85
H14/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
99-108
99
108
-9
93avg 85
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
94-100
94
100
-6
84avg 85
H25/05
NBL
Levski
#12
W
93-76
93
76
+17
85avg 85
A12/10
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
87-61
87
61
+26
87avg 85
H18/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
95-62
95
62
+33
90avg 85
A24/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#8
L
74-80
74
80
-6
70avg 85
H31/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
69-85
69
85
-16
no box
A07/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
20-21
26-15
27-29
14-27
27-19
19-14
18-20
14-19
14-16
20-13
11-29
22-33
28-25
29-28
20-22
22-25
17-26
23-26
32-23
25-18
18-19
24-22
26-17
19-12
28-19
20-19
20-11
18-20
23-13
25-13
29-16
20-16
20-24
17-16
17-24
18-24
14-22
15-19
22-20
165.7Avg total
83.7Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.672.8156.4+10.860%
Season at home (2)80.570.5151.0+10.050%
Season away (3)85.774.3160.0+11.367%
Last 10 (10)83.782.0165.7+1.730%
Last 5 (5)83.672.8156.4+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.678.8158.4+0.820%
vs Similar (5)82.890.0172.8-7.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)92.879.5172.4+13.375%
This opponent (Polytechnica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolytechnicaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolytechnica
Date
Competition
CSKA Sofia
#10
L
95-100
95
100
-5
58avg 51
A10/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#8
L
71-102
71
102
-31
61avg 51
H17/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
65-87
65
87
-22
41avg 51
A24/10
NBL
Beroe
#11
L
58-99
58
99
-41
44avg 51
A31/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
65-95
65
95
-30
no box
H07/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
24-23
23-26
24-26
21-28
16-25
21-25
13-24
24-22
11-22
20-18
10-25
19-23
17-36
13-17
9-23
16-27
10-21
22-25
17-22
167.4Avg total
70.8Scored
96.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.896.6167.4-25.80%
Season at home (2)68.098.5166.5-30.50%
Season away (3)72.795.3168.0-22.70%
Last 10 (5)70.896.6167.4-25.80%
Last 5 (5)70.896.6167.4-25.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)70.896.6167.4-25.80%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cherno More) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 166Actual: Under 166
Over 166
59.1%
Under 166
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171Actual: Under 171
Over 171
46.4%
Under 171
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 176Actual: Under 176
Over 176
34.1%
Under 176
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Cherno More total 83.5Actual: Cherno More over 83.5
Over 83.5
92.8%
Under 83.5
7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cherno More total 87.5Actual: Cherno More under 87.5
Over 87.5
85.5%
Under 87.5
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cherno More total 91.5Actual: Cherno More under 91.5
Over 91.5
74.3%
Under 91.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polytechnica total 79.5Actual: Polytechnica under 79.5
Over 79.5
21.4%
Under 79.5
78.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polytechnica total 83.5Actual: Polytechnica under 83.5
Over 83.5
11.7%
Under 83.5
88.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polytechnica total 87.5Actual: Polytechnica under 87.5
Over 87.5
5.7%
Under 87.5
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Cherno More -3Actual: Cherno More -3
CHER -3
97.7%
POLY +3
2.3%
Best 5 market prices
CHER
No market prices yet.
POLY
No market prices yet.
Spread Cherno More 0Actual: Cherno More 0
CHER 0
98.4%
POLY 0
1.6%
Best 5 market prices
CHER
No market prices yet.
POLY
No market prices yet.
Spread Cherno More +3Actual: Cherno More +3
CHER +3
99.0%
POLY -3
1.0%
Best 5 market prices
CHER
No market prices yet.
POLY
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -9.8-9.8Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -9.4-9.4
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -9.8-9.8Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -9.4-9.4
Cherno MorePolytechnica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cherno MoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A09/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H14/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A23/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H25/05
NBL
Levski
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/10
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H18/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A24/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H31/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A07/11
NBL
82.1Avg total
39.7Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.884.0+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.239.885.1+5.462%-
Last 30 away (17)41.741.583.2+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.482.1-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.478.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.241.279.4-3.020%-
vs Similar (5)38.847.085.8-8.20%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.639.184.8+6.575%-
This opponent (Polytechnica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolytechnicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Sofia
#10
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A10/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#8
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H17/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A24/10
NBL
Beroe
#11
L
36-59
36
59
-23
A31/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H07/11
NBL
86.8Avg total
36.4Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)36.450.486.8-14.00%-
Last 30 at home (2)31.550.582.0-19.00%-
Last 30 away (3)39.750.390.0-10.70%-
Last 10 (5)36.450.486.8-14.00%-
Last 5 (5)36.450.486.8-14.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.450.486.8-14.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cherno More) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cherno Moretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cherno More: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.9
56.7%
55.5%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.0
31.2%
29.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.215.4
66.4%
71.2%15.4
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polytechnicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polytechnica: 61.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.512.2
40.2%
55.5%24.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.8
35.7%
29.8%26.2
🏀 Free throws21.211.0
51.8%
71.2%11.0
They take 55.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cherno More
LLWWWLLLLL
Polytechnica
LLLLL
#7
League position
#14
+6.3
Net rating
-24.8
100.0
Offensive rating
73.7
93.8
Defensive rating
98.5
52.5%
Effective FG%
46.1%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
13.4%
Turnover %
22.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.39
31.2%
3-point %
35.7%
56.0%
Assist %
78.6%
30%
Form (last 10/5)
0%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 73.7Defence93.8 · 98.5Shooting52.5% · 46.1%3-point %31.2% · 35.7%Ball care13.4% · 22.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.39Form (last 10/5)30% · 0%
■ Cherno More   ■ Polytechnica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cherno More wins
0
Polytechnica wins
No previous meetings.
Cherno Morelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ALok. Plovdiv69-85
31/10/26HSpartak Pleven74-80
24/10/26ACSKA Sofia95-62
18/10/26HYambol87-61
12/10/26ALevski93-76
25/05/26HRilski Sportist94-100
23/05/26ARilski Sportist99-108
14/05/26HBalkan59-77
11/05/26ABalkan78-80
09/05/26ABalkan89-91
Polytechnicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HRilski Sportist65-95
31/10/26ABeroe58-99
24/10/26ALok. Plovdiv65-87
17/10/26HSpartak Pleven71-102
10/10/26ACSKA Sofia95-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cherno More
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game83.680.585.7
Allowed / game72.870.574.3
Point differential+10.8+10.0+11.3
Avg total156.4151.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Polytechnica
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 5 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.868.072.7
Allowed / game96.698.595.3
Point differential-25.8-30.5-22.7
Avg total167.4166.5168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan550100%89.471.6+17.8
2 Minyor550100%107.092.4+14.6
3 Rilski Sportist65183%90.874.3+16.5
4 Lok. Plovdiv54180%88.278.0+10.2
5 Botev Academic54180%91.082.6+8.4
6 Shumen54180%94.090.2+3.8
7 Cherno More53260%83.672.8+10.8
8 Spartak Pleven53260%82.476.8+5.6
9 Botev 201251420%78.891.4-12.6
10 CSKA Sofia51420%78.498.6-20.2
11 Beroe61517%90.787.8+2.8
12 Levski5050%78.294.2-16.0
13 Yambol5050%72.292.0-19.8
14 Polytechnica5050%70.896.6-25.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cherno More2021251985
Polytechnica1028151366
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.