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Chernomorets vs Balkan Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 06 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Postponed
Position-
Record-
FormLLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#2
Record3-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game79.2
BulgariaNBLRound 6· Boycho Branzov
Other2024-25
Meetings · Chernomorets v Balkan
06 Nov 2024
CHER v BAL
upcoming
10 May 2024
CHER70
BAL57
08 May 2024
CHER79
BAL84
19 Apr 2024
CHER89
BAL90
18 Nov 2023
CHER90
BAL81
01 Jun 2023
CHER75
BAL83
23 Jan 2023
CHER93
BAL83
31 Jan 2022
CHER83
BAL78
04 Jan 2021
CHER76
BAL92
29 Feb 2020
CHER77
BAL94
06 Dec 2019
CHER79
BAL88
25 Mar 2016
CHER62
BAL90
09 Jan 2016
CHER79
BAL115
21 Mar 2015
CHER60
BAL110
08 Nov 2014
CHER65
BAL83
19 Apr 2014
CHER70
BAL94
08 Feb 2014
CHER78
BAL95
26 Jan 2013
CHER95
BAL96
17 Mar 2012
CHER74
BAL89
03 Dec 2011
CHER71
BAL81
29 Jan 2011
CHER85
BAL97
23 Oct 2010
CHER93
BAL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chernomorets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Balkan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChernomoretsBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChernomorets
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
67avg 79
A23/04
NBL
Levski
#7
W
73-59
73
59
+14
69avg 79
H29/04
NBL
Levski
#7
W
88-74
88
74
+14
83avg 79
A01/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 79
H08/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
70-57
70
57
+13
72avg 79
H10/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
79-82
79
82
-3
75avg 79
A13/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
78-94
78
94
-16
69avg 79
A15/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
92-81
92
81
+11
91avg 79
H22/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
64-77
64
77
-13
no box
A24/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
87-72
87
72
+15
65avg 79
H27/05
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
24-14
17-20
20-24
21-16
23-13
10-18
19-12
25-17
26-23
24-19
13-15
22-25
16-14
21-22
20-23
18-14
18-12
19-18
15-13
17-19
23-25
17-12
22-26
23-26
11-21
26-27
18-20
24-20
26-16
25-21
17-24
17-20
17-14
17-16
13-27
18-17
25-21
17-15
27-19
154.7Avg total
78.6Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.676.1154.7+2.550%
Last 5 (5)80.081.2161.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)81.779.7161.4+2.057%
vs Weaker (22)83.976.1160.0+7.868%
BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
69-68
69
68
+1
59avg 69
H28/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
60avg 69
H30/05
NBL
Beroe
#6
L
91-92
91
92
-1
79avg 69
H06/10
NBL
Bilbao
#2
L
55-95
55
95
-40
46avg 69
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cherno More
#3
W
80-75
80
75
+5
65avg 69
A13/10
NBL
BC Prievidza
#10
L
70-89
70
89
-19
58avg 69
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kutaisi
#28
L
78-86
78
86
-8
68avg 69
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
104-83
104
83
+21
85avg 69
H27/10
NBL
Bilbao
#2
L
62-93
62
93
-31
53avg 69
H30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Shumen
#9
W
68-67
68
67
+1
52avg 69
A02/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
20-23
17-21
12-10
18-18
9-12
21-20
21-31
16-25
27-20
33-20
15-27
16-27
13-17
17-18
9-33
20-18
20-13
24-19
16-25
11-26
17-23
18-23
24-17
19-11
17-17
25-29
17-29
23-20
31-22
25-27
25-14
15-21
17-26
18-26
12-20
18-16
23-13
15-19
12-19
157.5Avg total
74.6Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.879.2165.0+6.575%
Season at home (2)97.587.5185.0+10.050%
Season away (2)74.071.0145.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.682.9157.5-8.340%
Last 5 (5)76.483.6160.0-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)74.284.2158.4-9.938%
vs Similar (8)81.573.6155.1+7.975%
vs Weaker (5)87.677.8165.4+9.880%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -6.2-6.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -6.2-6.2
ChernomoretsBalkan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A23/04
NBL
Levski
#7
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H29/04
NBL
Levski
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H08/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H10/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A13/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A15/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H22/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A24/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H27/05
NBL
77.9Avg total
40.9Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.437.880.2+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.437.179.5+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)42.438.580.9+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)40.937.077.9+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.880.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)42.939.482.3+3.471%-
vs Weaker (22)42.637.680.2+5.068%-
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H30/05
NBL
Beroe
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H06/10
NBL
Bilbao
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cherno More
#3
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A13/10
NBL
BC Prievidza
#10
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kutaisi
#28
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Academic Plovdiv
#5
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H27/10
NBL
Bilbao
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Shumen
#9
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A02/11
NBL
75.2Avg total
37.0Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.679.3+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.638.077.6+1.661%-
Last 30 away (12)39.942.081.9-2.142%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.275.2-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.077.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.241.678.8-4.338%-
vs Similar (8)42.837.880.5+5.062%-
vs Weaker (5)43.037.680.6+5.480%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chernomoretstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chernomorets: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.1
54.5%
53.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.3
29.4%
32.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws16.911.3
66.9%
71.3%11.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.2
49.2%
53.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.5
29.2%
32.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.413.1
75.3%
71.3%13.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chernomorets
WLWLLWLWWL
Balkan
WLWLLWLLLW
+2.5
Net rating
-10.1
106.0
Offensive rating
99.2
103.5
Defensive rating
109.3
50.3%
Effective FG%
47.1%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.7%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.4%
3-point %
29.2%
63.1%
Assist %
61.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 99.2Defence103.5 · 109.3Shooting50.3% · 47.1%3-point %29.4% · 29.2%Ball care16.8% · 16.7%Off. rebounds31.4% · 27.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Chernomorets   ■ Balkan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Chernomorets wins
7
Balkan wins
DateGameScore
15/05/24Balkan v Chernomorets94-78
13/05/24Balkan v Chernomorets82-79
10/05/24Chernomorets v Balkan70-57
08/05/24Chernomorets v Balkan79-84
19/04/24Chernomorets v Balkan89-90
25/03/24Balkan v Chernomorets71-95
20/01/24Balkan v Chernomorets85-77
18/11/23Chernomorets v Balkan90-81
01/06/23Chernomorets v Balkan75-83
29/05/23Balkan v Chernomorets87-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/24HSpartak Pleven87-72
24/05/24ASpartak Pleven64-77
22/05/24HSpartak Pleven92-81
15/05/24ABalkan78-94
13/05/24ABalkan79-82
10/05/24HBalkan70-57
08/05/24HBalkan79-84
01/05/24ALevski88-74
29/04/24HLevski73-59
23/04/24ASpartak Pleven76-81
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/24AShumen68-67
30/10/24HBilbao62-93
27/10/24HAcademic Plovdiv104-83
23/10/24HKutaisi78-86
16/10/24HBC Prievidza70-89
13/10/24ACherno More80-75
09/10/24ABilbao55-95
06/10/24HBeroe91-92
30/05/24HRilski Sportist69-81
28/05/24HRilski Sportist69-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chernomorets
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Balkan
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game85.897.574.0
Allowed / game79.287.571.0
Point differential+6.5+10.0+3.0
Avg total165.0185.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist550100%92.070.0+22.0
2 Beroe54180%84.889.8-5.0
3 Balkan43175%85.879.2+6.5
4 Spartak Pleven42250%87.285.8+1.5
5 Minyor42250%80.282.5-2.2
6 Academic Plovdiv42250%76.884.0-7.2
7 Cherno More41325%73.079.2-6.2
8 Levski51420%80.885.2-4.4
9 Shumen5050%80.887.2-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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