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Chernomorets vs Balkan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-81
23-26 21-20 24-20 22-15
Position#2
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game69.5
Chernomorets 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Balkan
Bulgaria
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game76.8
BulgariaNBLRound 7· Boycho Branzov
Other2023-24
Meetings · Chernomorets v Balkan
06 Nov 2024
CHER v BAL
upcoming
10 May 2024
CHER70
BAL57
08 May 2024
CHER79
BAL84
19 Apr 2024
CHER89
BAL90
18 Nov 2023
CHER90
BAL81
01 Jun 2023
CHER75
BAL83
23 Jan 2023
CHER93
BAL83
31 Jan 2022
CHER83
BAL78
04 Jan 2021
CHER76
BAL92
29 Feb 2020
CHER77
BAL94
06 Dec 2019
CHER79
BAL88
25 Mar 2016
CHER62
BAL90
09 Jan 2016
CHER79
BAL115
21 Mar 2015
CHER60
BAL110
08 Nov 2014
CHER65
BAL83
19 Apr 2014
CHER70
BAL94
08 Feb 2014
CHER78
BAL95
26 Jan 2013
CHER95
BAL96
17 Mar 2012
CHER74
BAL89
03 Dec 2011
CHER71
BAL81
29 Jan 2011
CHER85
BAL97
23 Oct 2010
CHER93
BAL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chernomorets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Balkan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChernomoretsBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChernomorets
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
A29/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
H01/06
NBL
Boras
#18
W
109-105 OT
109
105
+4
58avg 76
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kataja
#39
L
85-96
85
96
-11
80avg 76
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#12
W
86-74
86
74
+12
85avg 76
A09/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
74-65
74
65
+9
68avg 76
H16/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
78-75
78
75
+3
71avg 76
A22/10
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
101-66
101
66
+35
98avg 76
H26/10
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
86-62
86
62
+24
83avg 76
H04/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
78-75
78
75
+3
67avg 76
A11/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
10-16
18-16
22-30
22-23
21-21
18-15
14-24
23-21
19-23
21-17
24-26
17-29
27-24
18-22
23-21
17-4
24-22
29-26
16-22
10-17
23-10
24-19
17-19
23-22
22-25
25-11
8-17
25-16
23-18
29-17
24-15
32-12
24-9
13-24
17-17
22-11
13-21
13-10
30-33
162.4Avg total
83.6Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.869.5153.3+14.3100%
Season at home (3)87.064.3151.3+22.7100%
Season away (3)80.774.7155.3+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.678.8162.4+4.870%
Last 5 (5)83.468.6152.0+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)82.183.5165.5-1.445%
vs Similar (7)82.477.0159.4+5.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)93.773.3167.0+20.5100%
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Levski
#1
L
56-57
56
57
-1
36avg 76
H01/10
Super Cup
Shumen
#6
W
88-83
88
83
+5
81avg 76
H07/10
NBL
Levski
#7
L
64-69
64
69
-5
57avg 76
A15/10
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
86-80
86
80
+6
81avg 76
H21/10
NBL
Alba Fehervar
#36
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 76
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
81-70
81
70
+11
84avg 76
H28/10
NBL
Sporting CP
#29
W
81-70
81
70
+11
82avg 76
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
90avg 76
H04/11
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
86-74
86
74
+12
82avg 76
H11/11
NBL
Alba Fehervar
#36
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 76
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-12
17-14
20-9
11-22
18-16
22-23
27-26
21-18
18-22
15-13
14-8
17-26
26-19
14-28
17-19
29-14
28-20
20-26
19-12
21-20
25-7
27-19
10-25
19-19
20-22
31-11
12-21
18-16
24-21
20-16
19-23
26-25
25-17
22-20
15-13
24-24
18-19
19-24
21-15
27-21
154.9Avg total
80.4Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.376.8159.2+5.583%
Season at home (5)86.078.4164.4+7.6100%
Season away (1)64.069.0133.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)80.474.5154.9+5.980%
Last 5 (5)84.475.6160.0+8.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)83.874.2158.0+9.5100%
vs Similar (2)88.584.0172.5+4.5100%
vs Weaker (22)84.676.6161.2+8.077%
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
ChernomoretsBalkan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A29/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H01/06
NBL
Boras
#18
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kataja
#39
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#12
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A09/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H16/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A22/10
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H26/10
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
56-21
56
21
+35
H04/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A11/11
NBL
78.0Avg total
41.1Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.836.479.2+6.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.634.479.1+10.264%-
Last 30 away (16)41.238.179.3+3.256%-
Last 10 (10)41.136.978.0+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.432.275.6+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.239.178.3+0.136%-
vs Similar (7)42.038.680.6+3.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.932.079.9+15.991%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Levski
#1
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H01/10
Super Cup
Shumen
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H07/10
NBL
Levski
#7
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A15/10
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H21/10
NBL
Alba Fehervar
#36
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H28/10
NBL
Sporting CP
#29
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H04/11
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H11/11
NBL
Alba Fehervar
#36
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
78.6Avg total
41.7Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.738.581.2+4.373%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.637.979.5+3.763%-
Last 30 away (11)44.739.584.2+5.391%-
Last 10 (10)41.736.978.6+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.235.281.4+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)47.037.084.0+10.075%-
vs Similar (2)42.038.080.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker (22)42.339.782.0+2.673%-
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chernomoretstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chernomorets: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.5 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.123.2
61.0%
54.3%46.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.4
29.9%
31.3%25.1
🏀 Free throws20.414.8
72.4%
71.1%14.8
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.219.3
58.1%
54.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.2
32.4%
31.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.313.8
71.5%
71.1%13.8
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chernomorets
WWWWWWLWLL
Balkan
WWWWWWWLWL
#2
League position
#4
+13.2
Net rating
+8.9
112.8
Offensive rating
109.4
99.6
Defensive rating
100.5
54.2%
Effective FG%
53.7%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
18.1%
Turnover %
19.3%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.9%
3-point %
32.4%
55.7%
Assist %
70.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 109.4Defence99.6 · 100.5Shooting54.2% · 53.7%3-point %29.9% · 32.4%Ball care18.1% · 19.3%Off. rebounds33.0% · 32.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Chernomorets   ■ Balkan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Chernomorets wins
7
Balkan wins
DateGameScore
01/06/23Chernomorets v Balkan75-83
29/05/23Balkan v Chernomorets87-64
27/05/23Balkan v Chernomorets87-74
05/04/23Balkan v Chernomorets92-88
23/01/23Chernomorets v Balkan93-83
19/11/22Balkan v Chernomorets83-78
18/04/22Balkan v Chernomorets92-70
31/01/22Chernomorets v Balkan83-78
13/12/21Balkan v Chernomorets49-59
11/03/21Balkan v Chernomorets84-71
Chernomoretslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23ACherno More78-75
04/11/23HYambol86-62
26/10/23HMinyor101-66
22/10/23ASpartak Pleven78-75
16/10/23HRilski Sportist74-65
09/10/23ABeroe86-74
05/10/23HKataja85-96
04/10/23ABoras109-105 OT
01/06/23HBalkan75-83
29/05/23ABalkan64-87
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23HAlba Fehervar85-79
11/11/23HMinyor86-74
04/11/23HSpartak Pleven89-85
01/11/23HSporting CP81-70
28/10/23HRilski Sportist81-70
25/10/23AAlba Fehervar88-78
21/10/23HCherno More86-80
15/10/23ALevski64-69
07/10/23HShumen88-83
01/10/23HLevski56-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chernomorets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.887.080.7
Allowed / game69.564.374.7
Point differential+14.3+22.7+6.0
Avg total153.3151.3155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Balkan
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %83%100%0%
Points / game82.386.064.0
Allowed / game76.878.469.0
Point differential+5.5+7.6-5.0
Avg total159.2164.4133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets660100%83.869.5+14.3
2 Balkan65183%82.376.8+5.5
3 CSKA Sofia64267%84.572.0+12.5
4 Levski74357%78.377.9+0.4
5 Yambol74357%83.186.0-2.9
6 Spartak Pleven63350%86.376.8+9.5
7 Rilski Sportist63350%78.375.0+3.3
8 Beroe63350%84.883.8+1.0
9 Shumen73443%83.182.7+0.4
10 Academic Plovdiv61517%78.787.2-8.5
11 Minyor61517%69.590.7-21.2
12 Cherno More71614%75.187.3-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chernomorets2321242290
Balkan2620201581
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