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Chiba vs Shimane Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 81-85 (OT)
14-17 15-13 21-15 9-14 22-26
Position#5
Record17-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game75.6
vs
Shimane 🏆
Japan
Position#8
Record15-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game73.7
JapanB League· Funabashi Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Chiba v Shimane
17 Oct 2026
CHIB97
SHIM78
09 Nov 2025
CHIB96
SHIM82
08 Nov 2025
CHIB78
SHIM64
29 Dec 2024
CHIB78
SHIM86
28 Dec 2024
CHIB81
SHIM85
06 Dec 2020
CHIB92
SHIM70
05 Dec 2020
CHIB92
SHIM83
27 Oct 2019
CHIB101
SHIM63
26 Oct 2019
CHIB79
SHIM67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chiba winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shimane winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
W
77-65
77
65
+12
67avg 76
H30/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
93-80
93
80
+13
90avg 76
H01/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
67avg 76
A07/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
84-99
84
99
-15
79avg 76
A08/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 76
A11/12
B League
Gunma
#6
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 76
H14/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
53-71
53
71
-18
42avg 76
H15/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
60-68
60
68
-8
50avg 76
H18/12
B League
Osaka
#13
L
76-88
76
88
-12
62avg 76
A21/12
B League
Osaka
#13
W
89-81
89
81
+8
82avg 76
A22/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
16-19
27-13
11-19
20-24
22-21
22-16
29-19
17-22
22-25
19-20
21-20
15-33
27-28
20-18
22-20
21-23
21-26
23-17
19-16
34-17
14-24
22-17
12-17
21-16
5-18
14-12
13-25
18-14
14-20
13-18
15-16
11-28
27-19
15-19
23-22
34-12
24-23
16-23
15-23
157.3Avg total
77.7Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.275.6156.8+5.571%
Season at home (12)81.573.1154.6+8.483%
Season away (12)80.878.2159.0+2.758%
Last 10 (10)77.779.6157.3-1.950%
Last 5 (5)72.076.6148.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.283.2164.4-2.040%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.673.9155.6+7.779%
vs Weaker (11)78.874.5153.4+4.364%
This opponent (Shimane) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
85-79
85
79
+6
74avg 73
A30/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
78-113
78
113
-35
73avg 73
A01/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
74-84 OT
74
84
-10
59avg 73
H07/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
80-78
80
78
+2
75avg 73
H08/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
85-55
85
55
+30
89avg 73
H11/12
B League
Alvark
#4
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
64avg 73
A14/12
B League
Alvark
#4
W
74-63
74
63
+11
66avg 73
A15/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
73-77
73
77
-4
62avg 73
A18/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
54-71
54
71
-17
46avg 73
H21/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
84-87
84
87
-3
81avg 73
H22/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
31-24
20-19
19-16
21-34
22-33
16-23
19-23
13-17
25-18
16-16
18-21
19-20
18-23
20-22
23-13
18-12
15-22
26-12
26-9
13-13
22-17
15-16
15-19
17-20
15-19
21-15
21-9
23-18
15-10
17-23
18-26
11-18
13-14
15-11
15-28
17-14
27-24
22-29
18-20
154.6Avg total
76.1Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.173.7153.8+6.462%
Season at home (14)82.669.4152.0+13.179%
Season away (10)76.679.7156.3-3.140%
Last 10 (10)76.178.5154.6-2.440%
Last 5 (5)71.875.2147.0-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.481.6161.0-2.240%
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.878.1148.9-7.327%
vs Weaker (14)82.371.2153.5+11.171%
This opponent (Chiba) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
ChibaShimane
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H30/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H01/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A07/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
42-61
42
61
-19
A08/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A11/12
B League
Gunma
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H14/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H15/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H18/12
B League
Osaka
#13
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A21/12
B League
Osaka
#13
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A22/12
B League
83.2Avg total
40.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.281.0+2.743%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.437.879.2+3.642%-
Last 30 away (18)42.140.182.2+2.144%-
Last 10 (10)40.642.683.2-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.278.6+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.643.684.2-3.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.039.181.1+2.943%-
vs Weaker (11)42.237.379.5+4.945%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A30/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
43-67
43
67
-24
A01/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H07/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H08/12
B League
Saga
#18
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H11/12
B League
Alvark
#4
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A14/12
B League
Alvark
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A15/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A18/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H21/12
B League
Gunma
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H22/12
B League
76.0Avg total
37.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.937.875.7+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.734.472.1+3.369%-
Last 30 away (14)38.141.879.9-3.643%-
Last 10 (10)37.039.076.0-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)34.633.468.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.445.085.4-4.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.437.773.1-2.445%-
vs Weaker (14)39.035.474.4+3.671%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.616.4
48.8%
51.2%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.2
34.9%
33.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.013.7
68.5%
72.7%13.7
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.3
52.6%
51.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.5
32.2%
33.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.911.0
69.2%
72.7%11.0
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chiba
WLLLWWLLWW
Shimane
LLLWLWWLLW
#5
League position
#8
-3.0
Net rating
-3.7
106.5
Offensive rating
105.5
109.5
Defensive rating
109.2
50.5%
Effective FG%
50.8%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
15.2%
Turnover %
18.4%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.9%
3-point %
32.2%
60.9%
Assist %
62.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 105.5Defence109.5 · 109.2Shooting50.5% · 50.8%3-point %34.9% · 32.2%Ball care15.2% · 18.4%Off. rebounds26.8% · 32.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Chiba   ■ Shimane
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Chiba wins
3
Shimane wins
DateGameScore
01/12/23Shimane v Chiba90-59
30/11/23Shimane v Chiba83-87
11/12/22Shimane v Chiba81-79
10/12/22Shimane v Chiba87-96
03/10/21Shimane v Chiba74-81
02/10/21Shimane v Chiba100-94
06/12/20Chiba v Shimane92-70
05/12/20Chiba v Shimane92-83
01/02/20Shimane v Chiba64-79
31/01/20Shimane v Chiba79-90
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24AOsaka89-81
21/12/24AOsaka76-88
18/12/24HSendai60-68
15/12/24HGunma53-71
14/12/24HGunma82-75
11/12/24AKoshigaya Alphas84-82
08/12/24ANeoPhoenix84-99
07/12/24ANeoPhoenix79-87
01/12/24HRyukyu93-80
30/11/24HRyukyu77-65
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HGunma84-87
21/12/24HGunma54-71
18/12/24ANagasaki73-77
15/12/24AAlvark74-63
14/12/24AAlvark74-78 OT
11/12/24HSaga85-55
08/12/24HKyoto80-78
07/12/24HKyoto74-84 OT
01/12/24ANeoPhoenix78-113
30/11/24ANeoPhoenix85-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chiba
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW71%
HomeWWWLL83%
AwayLLWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %71%83%58%
Points / game81.281.580.8
Allowed / game75.673.178.2
Point differential+5.5+8.4+2.7
Avg total156.8154.6159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Shimane
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL62%
HomeLWWLL79%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %62%79%40%
Points / game80.182.676.6
Allowed / game73.769.479.7
Point differential+6.4+13.1-3.1
Avg total153.8152.0156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %12%14%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix2420483%91.278.8+12.5
2 Alvark2420483%79.070.1+8.8
3 Utsunomiya Brex2419579%82.875.4+7.5
4 Gunma2417771%79.170.9+8.2
5 Ryukyu2417771%82.675.8+6.8
6 Chiba2417771%81.275.6+5.5
7 SeaHorses Mikawa2416867%80.574.6+5.9
8 Shimane2415962%80.173.7+6.4
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya2415962%76.971.5+5.4
10 Kyoto24131154%82.079.7+2.3
11 Osaka24131154%81.980.3+1.6
12 Diamond Dolphins24121250%82.883.2-0.4
13 Akita24121250%71.572.2-0.7
14 Nagasaki24121250%73.975.4-1.5
15 Hiroshima D.24101442%77.082.6-5.6
16 Saga2491538%75.076.3-1.2
17 Yokohama2491538%76.080.2-4.2
18 Hokkaido2491538%74.279.7-5.5
19 Nagoya Fighting Eagles2491538%74.180.7-6.6
20 Ibaraki Robots2471729%74.982.1-7.2
21 Koshigaya Alphas2461825%77.182.5-5.5
22 Sendai2451921%72.180.3-8.2
23 Brave Thunders2442017%75.187.0-11.9
24 Shiga242228%74.286.8-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Chiba14152192281
Shimane171315142685
← all games of the day
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