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Chiba vs Toyama Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 88-73
27-19 21-14 19-15 21-25
Position#6
Record23-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game74.4
Chiba 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#24
Record9-20
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game90.9
JapanB League· Funabashi Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Chiba v Toyama
01 Nov 2026
CHIB78
TOYA83
31 Oct 2026
CHIB93
TOYA100
04 Jan 2026
CHIB88
TOYA73
03 Jan 2026
CHIB79
TOYA72
29 Dec 2021
CHIB105
TOYA64
20 Dec 2020
CHIB130
TOYA129
19 Dec 2020
CHIB98
TOYA82
28 Apr 2019
CHIB96
TOYA85
27 Apr 2019
CHIB102
TOYA73
18 Dec 2016
CHIB90
TOYA65
17 Dec 2016
CHIB91
TOYA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chiba winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
87-86
87
86
+1
87avg 78
H07/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
88-69
88
69
+19
88avg 78
H10/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
93-69
93
69
+24
97avg 78
A13/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
80-70
80
70
+10
82avg 78
A14/12
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
81-52
81
52
+29
88avg 78
H20/12
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
89-60
89
60
+29
96avg 78
H21/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
106-81
106
81
+25
108avg 78
A24/12
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
70avg 78
A27/12
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
77-93
77
93
-16
74avg 78
A28/12
B League
Toyama
#24
W
79-72
79
72
+7
71avg 78
H03/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
22-12
19-22
25-23
26-19
17-18
23-17
22-15
28-13
30-15
22-22
13-19
21-10
24-20
20-22
15-18
30-16
13-13
18-2
20-21
27-19
25-12
19-12
18-17
22-18
26-26
36-16
22-21
15-22
23-22
18-19
23-23
19-19
18-18
20-19
20-37
13-22
23-9
18-16
25-25
159.7Avg total
85.9Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.474.4157.9+9.079%
Season at home (14)85.270.6155.9+14.693%
Season away (15)81.878.0159.8+3.867%
Last 10 (10)85.973.8159.7+12.180%
Last 5 (5)86.078.4164.4+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.089.5167.5-11.50%
vs Similar (13)78.778.0156.7+0.762%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.569.9157.3+17.6100%
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
W
91-82
91
82
+9
93avg 80
H07/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
71-90
71
90
-19
57avg 80
A10/12
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
85-109
85
109
-24
81avg 80
A13/12
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
87-88
87
88
-1
75avg 80
A14/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
90-80
90
80
+10
89avg 80
H20/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
78-81
78
81
-3
67avg 80
H21/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
77-110
77
110
-33
70avg 80
H24/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
100-99 OT
100
99
+1
92avg 80
A27/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
79-71
79
71
+8
68avg 80
A28/12
B League
Chiba
#6
L
72-79
72
79
-7
64avg 80
A03/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
21-24
27-24
19-15
26-19
19-25
18-18
8-28
17-18
13-39
26-27
29-25
20-26
25-18
24-24
18-20
23-19
20-17
15-19
32-25
23-25
17-24
21-17
17-15
22-29
17-30
19-25
19-26
19-24
27-20
21-17
17-23
20-20
20-14
12-17
27-20
22-13
9-23
16-18
25-25
171.9Avg total
83.0Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.190.9174.0-7.831%
Season at home (14)79.191.1170.3-12.021%
Season away (15)86.790.7177.4-3.940%
Last 10 (10)83.088.9171.9-5.940%
Last 5 (5)81.288.0169.2-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)81.692.9174.4-11.317%
vs Similar (12)84.388.0172.3-3.750%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
ChibaToyama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H07/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H10/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
58-28
58
28
+30
A13/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A14/12
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H20/12
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H21/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A24/12
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A27/12
B League
Nagasaki
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A28/12
B League
Toyama
#24
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H03/01
B League
79.5Avg total
44.3Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.938.681.4+4.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.236.779.9+6.579%-
Last 30 away (16)42.640.282.8+2.438%-
Last 10 (10)44.335.279.5+9.180%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.479.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.540.578.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (13)40.241.281.5-1.038%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.936.081.9+9.980%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H07/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A10/12
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
30-57
30
57
-27
A13/12
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A14/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H20/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H21/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H24/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A27/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A28/12
B League
Chiba
#6
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A03/01
B League
85.0Avg total
40.4Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.946.488.3-4.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.046.389.3-3.329%-
Last 30 away (16)41.046.587.5-5.550%-
Last 10 (10)40.444.685.0-4.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.244.483.6-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)41.248.089.2-6.822%-
vs Similar (12)43.044.087.0-1.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chiba) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.2
54.7%
53.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.3
37.9%
33.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.613.6
77.3%
73.1%13.6
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.022.3
50.7%
53.1%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.8
27.8%
33.7%20.4
🏀 Free throws23.717.0
71.7%
73.1%17.0
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chiba
WLLWWWWWWW
Toyama
LWWLLWLLLW
#6
League position
#24
+15.9
Net rating
-7.8
114.7
Offensive rating
105.0
98.8
Defensive rating
112.9
55.6%
Effective FG%
47.4%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.0%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.9%
3-point %
27.8%
72.5%
Assist %
65.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 105.0Defence98.8 · 112.9Shooting55.6% · 47.4%3-point %37.9% · 27.8%Ball care15.5% · 17.0%Off. rebounds27.6% · 34.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Chiba   ■ Toyama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Chiba wins
1
Toyama wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Chiba v Toyama79-72
28/01/24Toyama v Chiba73-91
27/01/24Toyama v Chiba92-93
27/11/22Toyama v Chiba61-87
26/11/22Toyama v Chiba55-82
29/12/21Chiba v Toyama105-64
07/03/21Toyama v Chiba88-90
06/03/21Toyama v Chiba96-80
20/12/20Chiba v Toyama130-129 OT
19/12/20Chiba v Toyama98-82
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HToyama79-72
28/12/25ANagasaki77-93
27/12/25ANagasaki79-86
24/12/25AYokohama106-81
21/12/25HKyoto89-60
20/12/25HKyoto81-52
14/12/25ASun Rockers Shibuya80-70
13/12/25ASun Rockers Shibuya93-69
10/12/25HBrave Thunders88-69
07/12/25HDiamond Dolphins87-86
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AChiba72-79
28/12/25AShiga79-71
27/12/25AShiga100-99 OT
24/12/25HNeoPhoenix77-110
21/12/25HRyukyu78-81
20/12/25HRyukyu90-80
14/12/25AHokkaido87-88
13/12/25AHokkaido85-109
10/12/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles71-90
07/12/25HGunma91-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chiba
B League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW79%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %79%93%67%
Points / game83.485.281.8
Allowed / game74.470.678.0
Point differential+9.0+14.6+3.8
Avg total157.9155.9159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%71%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)67% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toyama
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL31%
HomeLWWLL21%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %31%21%40%
Points / game83.179.186.7
Allowed / game90.991.190.7
Point differential-7.8-12.0-3.9
Avg total174.0170.3177.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%14%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)0% (3)57% (7)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki2926390%94.277.2+17.0
2 Chiba2923679%83.474.4+9.0
3 Utsunomiya Brex2923679%85.177.6+7.5
4 Hokkaido2923679%88.082.7+5.3
5 Diamond Dolphins2922776%83.472.4+11.0
6 SeaHorses Mikawa30201067%84.178.7+5.5
7 Gunma29181162%82.975.3+7.6
8 Alvark29181162%78.877.7+1.1
9 Ryukyu30181260%82.276.8+5.4
10 Hiroshima D.29171259%85.782.3+3.4
11 Shimane29171259%83.581.2+2.3
12 Sendai29171259%79.877.8+2.0
13 Saga29151452%81.882.3-0.6
14 NeoPhoenix29121741%82.483.0-0.6
15 Osaka29121741%80.381.2-1.0
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles29121741%80.982.9-2.0
17 Yokohama29111838%78.482.3-3.9
18 Shiga29111838%81.586.7-5.2
19 Sun Rockers Shibuya29101934%75.982.4-6.4
20 Koshigaya Alphas29101934%72.079.3-7.3
21 Toyama2992031%83.190.9-7.8
22 Ibaraki Robots2982128%75.380.2-4.9
23 Altiri Chiba2982128%79.485.2-5.7
24 Kyoto2972224%70.680.9-10.3
25 Brave Thunders2962321%75.484.1-8.7
26 Akita2952417%71.184.1-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chiba2721192188
Toyama1914152573
← all games of the day
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