Chiba vs Toyama Result & Analysis

Chiba host Toyama in the B League. Pythia makes Chiba the favourite at 61% and projects 90-87, about 177 points in all (over 179.5: 42%). On the market's main spread (Chiba -3) Pythia gives Chiba 52% to cover. Overtime chance: 5%. Chiba are 4-7 this season (91.5 scored, 98.0 allowed a game), form LWLLW; Toyama are 6-5 this season (82.3 scored, 85.7 allowed a game), form WLWWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chiba winLost

61.0%fair 1.64

Best odds1.65

Implied57.7%

Edge+3.3pp

Toyama winWon

39.0%fair 2.56

Best odds2.72

Implied42.3%

Edge-3.3pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 29 Oct 18:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chiba

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormChiba

Date

Competition

Tokyo Sunrockers

79-95

-16

67avg 80

A26/09

B League

Alvark

131-138 OT

131

138

-7

108avg 80

H02/10

B League

Alvark

71-96

-25

62avg 80

H04/10

B League

Kobe

#22

86-94

-8

76avg 80

A08/10

B League

Levanga Hokkaido

109-103

109

103

104avg 80

A10/10

B League

Yokohama

#15

106-108 OT

106

108

-2

96avg 80

A12/10

B League

Shimane

#17

97-78

+19

97avg 80

H17/10

B League

Tokyo Sunrockers

64-107

107

-43

51avg 80

H19/10

B League

Kyoto

#10

79-102

102

-23

68avg 80

H21/10

B League

Osaka

#26

87-65

+22

87avg 80

A25/10

B League

22-24

19-19

20-23

18-29

26-26

29-21

18-24

24-26

18-22

21-25

14-27

18-22

22-19

29-24

18-18

17-33

32-23

30-32

27-24

20-24

25-22

18-22

25-18

27-33

23-16

23-30

22-15

29-17

25-26

11-22

12-32

16-27

21-26

19-28

24-28

15-20

23-20

29-15

20-14

15-16

189.5Avg total

90.9Scored

98.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	91.5	98.0	189.5	-6.5	36%
Season at home (5)	88.4	104.2	192.6	-15.8	20%
Season away (6)	94.0	92.8	186.8	+1.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	90.9	98.6	189.5	-7.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	92.0	178.6	-5.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	89.4	99.5	188.9	-10.1	30%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	82.0	87.5	169.5	-5.5	33%
vs Weaker (14)	90.5	79.1	169.6	+11.4	79%

This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Toyama

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormToyama

Date

Competition

Shinshu

#19

81-99

-18

64avg 75

A27/09

B League

Utsunomiya Brex

#14

77-67

+10

67avg 75

H03/10

B League

Utsunomiya Brex

#14

77-99

-22

68avg 75

H04/10

B League

Kyoto

#10

77-81

-4

65avg 75

H07/10

B League

Tokyo Sunrockers

96-90 OT

80avg 75

A09/10

B League

Altiri Chiba

#20

94-74

+20

92avg 75

A11/10

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

56-99

-43

39avg 75

H18/10

B League

Levanga Hokkaido

105-87

105

+18

103avg 75

A21/10

B League

Shimane

#17

82-79

72avg 75

H24/10

B League

Ibaraki Robots

#12

61-83

-22

47avg 75

H26/10

B League

16-25

31-28

14-22

20-24

23-26

16-16

23-12

15-13

22-17

16-26

18-37

21-19

20-23

17-18

17-26

23-14

16-27

21-30

17-17

31-11

21-21

28-21

25-18

20-14

18-24

14-19

16-36

8-20

17-17

22-23

36-24

30-23

20-17

29-20

14-16

19-26

19-18

17-25

9-25

16-15

166.4Avg total

80.6Scored

85.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	82.3	85.7	168.0	-3.5	55%
Season at home (6)	71.7	84.7	156.3	-13.0	33%
Season away (5)	95.0	87.0	182.0	+8.0	80%
Last 10 (10)	80.6	85.8	166.4	-5.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	84.4	164.0	-4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	80.7	86.7	167.5	-6.0	42%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	84.1	85.6	169.7	-1.4	44%
vs Weaker (2)	88.0	74.5	162.5	+13.5	100%

This opponent (Chiba) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 174.5Actual: Over 174.5

Over 174.5

54.3%

@ 1.63-3.9pp

Under 174.5

45.7%

@ 2.38+3.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.63

Bet365

1.62

Marathon Be

1.59

Betano

1.55

BetVictor

1.53

Under

BetVictor

2.38

Betano

2.27

Bet365

2.15

1xBet

1.98

Over/Under 179.5 · main lineActual: Over 179.5

Over 179.5

42.4%

@ 2.00-7.3pp

Under 179.5

57.6%

@ 1.90+7.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.00

Pinnacle

1.92

Betano

1.91

BetVictor

1.88

SBO

1.88

Under

Pinnacle

1.90

WilliamHill

1.85

BetVictor

1.83

Marathon Be

1.80

Betano

1.78

Over/Under 184.5Actual: Over 184.5

Over 184.5

31.2%

@ 2.45-6.7pp

Under 184.5

68.8%

@ 1.50+6.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.45

BetVictor

2.40

Under

BetVictor

1.50

Betano

1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Chiba total 87.5Actual: Chiba over 87.5

Over 87.5

59.1%

@ 1.44-4.5pp

Under 87.5

40.9%

@ 2.65+4.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.44

Bet365

1.43

1xBet

1.40

Under

Bet365

2.65

Betano

2.52

1xBet

2.31

Chiba total 91.5 · main lineActual: Chiba over 91.5

Over 91.5

43.7%

@ 1.91-6.0pp

Under 91.5

56.3%

@ 1.85+6.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.91

Marathon Be

1.84

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.82

1xBet

1.75

Under

Betano

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.82

BetVictor

1.78

1xBet

1.70

Chiba total 95.5Actual: Chiba under 95.5

Over 95.5

29.3%

@ 2.45-8.2pp

Under 95.5

70.7%

@ 1.54+8.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.45

1xBet

2.41

Bet365

2.35

Under

Bet365

1.54

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.38

Toyama total 83.5Actual: Toyama over 83.5

Over 83.5

61.9%

@ 1.47-0.9pp

Under 83.5

38.1%

@ 2.42+0.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.38

Under

Betano

2.42

1xBet

2.39

Toyama total 87.5 · main lineActual: Toyama over 87.5

Over 87.5

46.7%

@ 1.90-3.5pp

Under 87.5

53.3%

@ 1.91+3.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.90

Marathon Be

1.83

BetVictor

1.78

1xBet

1.71

Under

BetVictor

1.91

Marathon Be

1.83

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.73

Toyama total 91.5Actual: Toyama over 91.5

Over 91.5

32.1%

@ 2.60-4.3pp

Under 91.5

67.9%

@ 1.42+4.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.60

1xBet

2.33

Under

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.40

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Chiba -6Actual: Toyama +6

CHIB -6

40.5%

@ 2.27-1.1pp

TOYA +6

59.5%

@ 1.86+1.1pp

Best 5 market prices

CHIB

Pinnacle

2.27

Marathon Be

2.10

1xBet

1.96

Bet365

1.80

TOYA

Bet365

1.86

1xBet

1.71

Pinnacle

1.62

Marathon Be

1.59

Spread Chiba -3 · main lineActual: Toyama +3

CHIB -3

52.2%

@ 1.90+1.9pp

TOYA +3

47.8%

@ 2.40-1.9pp

Best 5 market prices

CHIB

Pinnacle

1.90

Marathon Be

1.71

Bet365

1.52

TOYA

Bet365

2.40

Marathon Be

1.92

Pinnacle

1.92

Spread Chiba 0Actual: Toyama 0

CHIB 0

61.0%

TOYA 0

39.0%

Best 5 market prices

CHIB

No market prices yet.

TOYA

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ChibaToyama

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.5
Last 30 (30)	23.6	21.4	45.1	+2.2	50%	47%
Last 30 at home (17)	23.5	19.9	43.5	+3.6	47%	35%
Last 30 away (13)	23.8	23.4	47.2	+0.4	54%	62%
Last 10 (10)	23.7	22.4	46.1	+1.3	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.0	45.4	+1.4	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	23.4	25.2	48.6	-1.8	20%	80%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.3	50%	17%
vs Weaker (14)	24.9	19.4	44.3	+5.4	71%	36%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.5
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.5	41.7	-1.3	40%	23%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	50%	25%
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	22.8	42.6	-3.0	29%	21%
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.5	40.7	-2.3	30%	10%
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	40%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	20.3	22.5	42.8	-2.2	37%	26%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	44%	11%
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	50%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43
Last 30 (30)	23.3	20.8	44.1	+2.5	63%	53%
Last 30 at home (17)	22.1	21.5	43.5	+0.6	53%	53%
Last 30 away (13)	24.8	19.9	44.8	+4.9	77%	54%
Last 10 (10)	22.8	23.8	46.6	-1.0	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	23.4	43.4	-3.4	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	23.0	23.7	46.7	-0.7	40%	70%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.8	25.3	46.2	-4.5	17%	50%
vs Weaker (14)	24.5	16.8	41.3	+7.7	100%	43%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.4	43.1	+0.3	43%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	20.3	39.6	-1.0	25%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	24.5	22.6	47.1	+1.9	64%	79%
Last 10 (10)	21.1	22.6	43.7	-1.5	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-0.9	37%	47%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	24.1	21.6	45.7	+2.6	56%	67%
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	20.0	42.5	+2.5	50%	50%

ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tokyo Sunrockers

41-43

-2

A26/09

B League

Alvark

55-47

H02/10

B League

Alvark

39-47

-8

H04/10

B League

Kobe

#22

51-43

A08/10

B League

Levanga Hokkaido

62-55

A10/10

B League

Yokohama

#15

43-44

-1

A12/10

B League

Shimane

#17

46-46

H17/10

B League

Tokyo Sunrockers

36-48

-12

H19/10

B League

Kyoto

#10

40-54

-14

H21/10

B League

Osaka

#26

52-35

+17

A25/10

B League

92.7Avg total

46.5Scored

46.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 91
Last 30 (30)	46.9	42.2	89.1	+4.7	60%	37%
Last 30 at home (17)	45.6	41.4	87.0	+4.2	59%	35%
Last 30 away (13)	48.6	43.3	91.9	+5.3	62%	38%
Last 10 (10)	46.5	46.2	92.7	+0.3	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	43.4	45.4	88.8	-2.0	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	46.4	48.9	95.3	-2.5	30%	60%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	42.0	45.2	87.2	-3.2	33%	17%
vs Weaker (14)	49.4	36.2	85.6	+13.1	93%	29%

This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Shinshu

#19

47-53

-6

A27/09

B League

Utsunomiya Brex

#14

39-42

-3

H03/10

B League

Utsunomiya Brex

#14

38-43

-5

H04/10

B League

Kyoto

#10

37-41

-4

H07/10

B League

Tokyo Sunrockers

37-57

-20

A09/10

B League

Altiri Chiba

#20

49-42

A11/10

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

32-43

-11

H18/10

B League

Levanga Hokkaido

39-40

-1

A21/10

B League

Shimane

#17

49-37

+12

H24/10

B League

Ibaraki Robots

#12

36-43

-7

H26/10

B League

84.4Avg total

40.3Scored

44.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 91
Last 30 (30)	42.0	42.9	84.9	-0.9	47%	33%
Last 30 at home (16)	39.9	40.7	80.6	-0.8	38%	12%
Last 30 away (14)	44.3	45.4	89.7	-1.1	57%	57%
Last 10 (10)	40.3	44.1	84.4	-3.8	20%	20%
Last 5 (5)	41.0	41.0	82.0	+0.0	40%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	40.8	43.9	84.8	-3.1	42%	42%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	44.3	41.3	85.7	+3.0	56%	11%
vs Weaker (2)	42.0	40.0	82.0	+2.0	50%	50%

This opponent (Chiba) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Toyama win

CHIB win

no forecast

@ 1.67

TOYA win

no forecast

@ 2.55

1st half Spread Chiba -1.5 · main lineActual: Toyama +1.5

CHIB -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.92

TOYA +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.00

1st half Over/Under 91 · main lineActual: Over 91

Over

no forecast

@ 1.92

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

Chiba 1st half total 46 · main lineActual: Chiba over 46

Over

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

Toyama 1st half total 44 · main lineActual: Toyama over 44

Over

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

1st half: CHIB + total 88.5

CHIB & over

no forecast

@ 2.85

CHIB & under

no forecast

@ 3.05

1st half: Draw + total 88.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: TOYA + total 88.5

TOYA & over

no forecast

@ 4.90

TOYA & under

no forecast

@ 5.25

1st half Over/Under 89.75Actual: Over 89.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.78

Under

no forecast

@ 1.84

1st half Over/Under 92.5Actual: Over 92.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.15

Under

no forecast

@ 1.65

1st half Spread Chiba -2.5Actual: Toyama +2.5

CHIB -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.07

TOYA +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Spread Chiba 0Actual: Toyama 0

CHIB 0

no forecast

@ 1.50

TOYA 0

no forecast

@ 2.50

1st half Over/Under 88.5Actual: Over 88.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under

no forecast

@ 2.06

1st half Spread Chiba -3.5Actual: Toyama +3.5

CHIB -3.5

no forecast

@ 2.19

TOYA +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Over/Under 87.25Actual: Over 87.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Toyama (regulation)

CHIB

no forecast

@ 1.65

Draw

no forecast

@ 18.00

TOYA

no forecast

@ 2.65

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.3	39.5	-1.1	43%	23%
Last 30 at home (17)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	41%	18%
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	46%	31%
Last 10 (10)	20.0	22.3	42.3	-2.3	40%	30%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.7	24.0	43.7	-4.3	30%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.0	17.5	36.5	+1.5	50%	0%
vs Weaker (14)	18.9	18.8	37.7	+0.1	50%	14%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.9	41.6	-2.2	40%	30%
Last 30 at home (16)	17.5	22.2	39.8	-4.8	44%	25%
Last 30 away (14)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	36%	36%
Last 10 (10)	18.9	23.3	42.2	-4.4	30%	30%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	23.8	43.8	-3.8	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	19.0	22.3	41.3	-3.3	37%	32%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.3	23.2	43.6	-2.9	33%	33%
vs Weaker (2)	23.5	13.0	36.5	+10.5	100%	0%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.25
Last 30 (30)	20.3	22.9	43.1	-2.6	30%	40%
Last 30 at home (17)	20.4	21.9	42.2	-1.5	35%	35%
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	24.2	44.3	-4.0	23%	46%
Last 10 (10)	19.9	24.7	44.6	-4.8	10%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.6	43.0	-2.2	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.9	22.5	42.4	-2.6	20%	40%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.2	22.7	41.8	-3.5	17%	33%
vs Weaker (14)	21.0	23.2	44.2	-2.2	43%	43%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.25
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	37%	27%
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	20.5	38.6	-2.4	38%	25%
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	20.6	43.3	+2.0	36%	29%
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.9	38.2	+2.4	70%	20%
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	20.3	20.3	40.6	+0.1	32%	26%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	44%	22%
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+1.0	50%	50%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 87.5
Last 30 (30)	39.5	43.1	82.6	-3.7	33%	30%
Last 30 at home (17)	38.9	41.9	80.8	-2.9	29%	18%
Last 30 away (13)	40.2	44.8	84.9	-4.6	38%	46%
Last 10 (10)	39.9	47.0	86.9	-7.1	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	41.0	44.0	85.0	-3.0	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	39.6	46.5	86.1	-6.9	30%	40%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	38.2	40.2	78.3	-2.0	33%	17%
vs Weaker (14)	39.9	42.0	81.9	-2.1	36%	29%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 87.5
Last 30 (30)	39.9	42.5	82.4	-2.6	40%	27%
Last 30 at home (16)	35.6	42.8	78.3	-7.2	31%	19%
Last 30 away (14)	44.9	42.2	87.1	+2.6	50%	36%
Last 10 (10)	39.2	41.2	80.4	-2.0	40%	20%
Last 5 (5)	38.6	43.4	82.0	-4.8	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	39.3	42.5	81.8	-3.2	37%	21%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	39.8	44.2	84.0	-4.4	33%	44%
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	34.5	80.5	+11.5	100%	0%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

CHIB win + total 179.5

🔒 Pro

TOYA win + total 179.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: CHIB leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: TOYA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (CHIB:TOYA): CHIB wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Toyama +15.5	85.9%	1.32	Betano 1.32	-	-	-	-	+16.5pp	Won
Toyama +14.5	84.0%	1.30	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	-	+13.2pp	Won
Toyama +9	70.1%	1.60	Bet365 1.60	-	-	-	-	+12.2pp	Won
Toyama +10	73.3%	1.52	Bet365 1.52	-	-	-	-	+12.1pp	Won
Toyama +11.5	76.9%	1.40	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.37	-	-	-	+10.9pp	Won
Under 188.5	76.5%	1.39	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Lost
Chiba under 97.5	77.0%	1.37	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.28	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
Toyama over 79.5	75.6%	1.42	Betano 1.42	-	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Won
Toyama +10.5	74.1%	1.46	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.42	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Won
Toyama +12.5	79.4%	1.33	Betano 1.33	-	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Toyama +16.5	87.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Toyama +13.5	81.8%	1.27	Betano 1.27	-	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
Chiba under 98.5	79.8%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Won
Chiba under 96.5	74.0%	1.41	Betano 1.50	Bet365 1.41	1xBet 1.32	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
Chiba under 95.5	70.7%	1.46	Bet365 1.54	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.38	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Toyama +21.5	94.0%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Under 187.5	74.7%	1.38	Betano 1.44	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Lost
Toyama over 74.5	88.1%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Under 186.5	72.8%	1.41	Betano 1.50	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Lost
Toyama over 78.5	78.5%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Under 185.5	70.8%	1.42	Betano 1.42	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Lost
Toyama over 76.5	83.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Toyama over 70.5	94.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Toyama over 69.5	95.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Toyama under 93.5	74.3%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Lost
Toyama under 92.5	71.2%	1.35	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.34	Bet365 1.30	-	-	+5.6pp	Lost
Toyama over 73.5	90.0%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Toyama over 75.5	86.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Toyama over 72.5	91.6%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Toyama over 71.5	93.0%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Toyama +9.5	71.1%	1.42	Bet365 1.57	Betano 1.47	BetVictor 1.34	1xBet 1.28	-	+5.4pp	Won
Toyama over 80.5	72.4%	1.36	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.27	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Chiba over 71.5	96.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Chiba over 70.5	97.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Chiba over 72.5	95.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Under 192.5	83.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Lost
Under 197.5	89.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Chiba over 73.5	94.4%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Over 151.5	93.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Chiba over 74.5	93.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Chiba +18.5	96.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Over 152.5	92.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.8%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	-
Chiba over 75.5	91.9%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Chiba over 76.5	90.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Under 191.5	81.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Lost
Over 156.5	88.7%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Under 196.5	88.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Chiba +13.5	92.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Over 161.5	81.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Toyama under 96.5	82.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Lost
Toyama under 98.5	86.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Lost
Chiba over 78.5	86.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Chiba over 77.5	88.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Chiba over 80.5	81.9%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Toyama under 94.5	77.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Lost
Over 166.5	72.4%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Over 157.5	87.5%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Chiba over 79.5	84.4%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
Over 162.5	80.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Toyama under 95.5	79.9%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Lost
Chiba over 82.5	76.4%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
Chiba over 81.5	79.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Won
Over 167.5	70.4%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	-1.5pp	Won
Chiba over 83.5	73.3%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Won
Chiba +3.5	70.5%	1.27	Betano 1.33	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Lost
Chiba +8.5	84.0%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-2.1pp	Won

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 90.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.0	22.9	52.0%	53.6%	45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.2	9.8	30.4%	32.9%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	20.5	15.5	75.6%	73.8%	15.5

They take 76.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 80.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	20.1	48.2%	53.6%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	7.6	28.9%	32.9%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	23.7	17.6	74.3%	73.8%	17.6

They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.3	25.8	53.4%	53.6%	51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.8	10.8	32.0%	32.9%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	20.2	14.6	72.3%	73.8%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	18.0	51.1%	53.6%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.1	10.2	32.8%	32.9%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	26.2	19.1	72.9%	73.8%	19.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.9	54.3%	53.6%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	10.3	34.0%	32.9%	30.8
🏀 Free throws	18.4	14.2	77.4%	73.8%	14.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.9	21.9	52.3%	53.6%	43.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	7.5	30.3%	32.9%	22.6
🏀 Free throws	21.9	15.7	71.6%	73.8%	15.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.0	21.5	52.5%	53.6%	43.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.6	10.5	32.2%	32.9%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	17.2	12.5	72.7%	73.8%	12.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.6	17.8	54.6%	53.6%	35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.8	10.8	33.0%	32.9%	32.5
🏀 Free throws	24.7	17.5	70.8%	73.8%	17.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Chiba

WLLWLWLLLL

Toyama

LWWLWWLLWL

#16

League position

#11

-7.9

Net rating

-5.6

90.4

Offensive rating

87.9

98.3

Defensive rating

93.4

49.3%

Effective FG%

46.3%

51.2%

Opp. effective FG%

50.2%

13.1%

Turnover %

13.5%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.35

30.4%

3-point %

28.9%

64.5%

Assist %

61.4%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Chiba ■ Toyama

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Chiba wins

Toyama wins

Date	Game	Score
04/01/26	Chiba v Toyama	88-73
03/01/26	Chiba v Toyama	79-72
28/01/24	Toyama v Chiba	73-91
27/01/24	Toyama v Chiba	92-93
27/11/22	Toyama v Chiba	61-87
26/11/22	Toyama v Chiba	55-82
29/12/21	Chiba v Toyama	105-64
07/03/21	Toyama v Chiba	88-90
06/03/21	Toyama v Chiba	96-80
20/12/20	Chiba v Toyama	130-129 OT

Chibalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/10/26	A	Osaka	87-65
21/10/26	H	Kyoto	79-102
19/10/26	H	Tokyo Sunrockers	64-107
17/10/26	H	Shimane	97-78
12/10/26	A	Yokohama	106-108 OT
10/10/26	A	Levanga Hokkaido	109-103
08/10/26	A	Kobe	86-94
04/10/26	H	Alvark	71-96
02/10/26	H	Alvark	131-138 OT
26/09/26	A	Tokyo Sunrockers	79-95

Toyamalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/10/26	H	Ibaraki Robots	61-83
24/10/26	H	Shimane	82-79
21/10/26	A	Levanga Hokkaido	105-87
18/10/26	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	56-99
11/10/26	A	Altiri Chiba	94-74
09/10/26	A	Tokyo Sunrockers	96-90 OT
07/10/26	H	Kyoto	77-81
04/10/26	H	Utsunomiya Brex	77-99
03/10/26	H	Utsunomiya Brex	77-67
27/09/26	A	Shinshu	81-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chiba

B League 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	36%
Home	LLWLL	20%
Away	LLWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	36%	20%	50%
Points / game	91.5	88.4	94.0
Allowed / game	98.0	104.2	92.8
Point differential	-6.5	-15.8	+1.2
Avg total	189.5	192.6	186.8
Over 179.5	55%	40%	67%
Win by 10+	18%	20%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	18%	20%	17%

Toyama

B League 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	55%
Home	LLLWL	33%
Away	WLWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	55%	33%	80%
Points / game	82.3	71.7	95.0
Allowed / game	85.7	84.7	87.0
Point differential	-3.5	-13.0	+8.0
Avg total	168.0	156.3	182.0
Over 179.5	36%	0%	80%
Win by 10+	36%	17%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	9%	0%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Diamond Dolphins	9	9	0	100%	93.1	74.7	+18.4
2	Hiroshima D.	12	11	1	92%	92.6	80.2	+12.4
3	NeoPhoenix	7	6	1	86%	87.1	79.1	+8.0
4	SeaHorses Mikawa	8	6	2	75%	90.1	77.6	+12.5
5	Alvark	12	9	3	75%	94.1	83.5	+10.6
6	Sendai	12	9	3	75%	86.6	80.1	+6.5
7	Kyoto	11	8	3	73%	86.4	77.7	+8.6
8	Tokyo Sunrockers	12	8	4	67%	91.0	79.2	+11.8
9	Gunma	11	7	4	64%	78.9	75.2	+3.7
10	Levanga Hokkaido	10	6	4	60%	97.8	93.9	+3.9
11	Ryukyu	11	6	5	55%	84.9	81.2	+3.7
12	Toyama	11	6	5	55%	82.3	85.7	-3.5
13	Utsunomiya Brex	11	5	6	45%	81.4	82.0	-0.6
14	Shiga	11	5	6	45%	87.5	89.5	-2.1
15	Ibaraki Robots	12	5	7	42%	81.8	79.2	+2.7
16	Nagasaki	12	5	7	42%	75.8	80.2	-4.4
17	Yokohama	12	5	7	42%	79.6	86.1	-6.5
18	Shimane	11	4	7	36%	81.9	83.5	-1.6
19	Brave Thunders	11	4	7	36%	81.8	85.6	-3.8
20	Chiba	11	4	7	36%	91.5	98.0	-6.5
21	Akita	12	4	8	33%	78.6	85.4	-6.8
22	Shinshu	13	4	9	31%	84.5	87.5	-3.1
23	Altiri Chiba	13	4	9	31%	78.4	86.5	-8.1
24	Kobe	11	2	9	18%	78.6	86.5	-7.8
25	Saga	11	1	10	9%	75.5	94.4	-18.8
26	Osaka	11	1	10	9%	69.3	88.8	-19.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Chiba	34	19	11	29	93
Toyama	27	30	24	19	100

← all games of the day

Chiba vs Toyama Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

A Pro feature