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Nagasaki vs Chiba Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 93-77
19-19 18-18 19-20 37-20
Position#1
Record24-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game94.1
Allowed / game77.0
Nagasaki 🏆
Japan
vs
Chiba
Japan
Position#6
Record22-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game73.9
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nagasaki v Chiba
27 Jan 2027
NAGA v CHIB
upcoming
16 May 2026
NAGA102
CHIB93
15 May 2026
NAGA82
CHIB74
28 Dec 2025
NAGA93
CHIB77
27 Dec 2025
NAGA86
CHIB79
27 Oct 2024
NAGA75
CHIB79
26 Oct 2024
NAGA50
CHIB82
09 Oct 2023
NAGA89
CHIB86
08 Oct 2023
NAGA91
CHIB82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chiba winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Akita
#26
W
97-61
97
61
+36
102avg 79
H16/11
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
91-58
91
58
+33
93avg 79
H06/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
99-76
99
76
+23
98avg 79
H07/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
105-74
105
74
+31
109avg 79
A10/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
107-82
107
82
+25
105avg 79
A13/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
106-84
106
84
+22
104avg 79
A14/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
102-70
102
70
+32
98avg 79
H20/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
85-71
85
71
+14
77avg 79
H21/12
B League
Shimane
#14
L
93-101
93
101
-8
84avg 79
A24/12
B League
Chiba
#6
W
86-79
86
79
+7
77avg 79
H27/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
21-15
28-15
21-8
19-14
28-13
22-5
22-26
31-18
27-19
20-18
21-21
18-11
33-21
23-15
31-27
25-23
28-26
23-19
31-14
26-17
33-15
22-22
25-30
24-23
26-17
24-19
28-11
18-20
32-18
18-21
17-12
25-27
27-26
16-22
25-26
22-15
22-23
19-18
23-23
172.7Avg total
97.1Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)94.177.0171.0+17.189%
Season at home (14)92.675.6168.2+16.993%
Season away (13)95.778.4174.1+17.385%
Last 10 (10)97.175.6172.7+21.590%
Last 5 (5)94.481.0175.4+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.079.0145.0-13.00%
vs Similar (2)87.074.0161.0+13.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)94.177.0171.0+17.189%
This opponent (Chiba) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
56avg 79
A16/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
73-75
73
75
-2
65avg 79
H06/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
87-86
87
86
+1
87avg 79
H07/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
88-69
88
69
+19
88avg 79
H10/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
93-69
93
69
+24
97avg 79
A13/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
80-70
80
70
+10
82avg 79
A14/12
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
81-52
81
52
+29
88avg 79
H20/12
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
89-60
89
60
+29
96avg 79
H21/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
106-81
106
81
+25
108avg 79
A24/12
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
70avg 79
A27/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
17-23
9-23
17-17
24-17
15-28
16-18
18-12
21-29
22-12
19-22
25-23
26-19
17-18
23-17
22-15
28-13
30-15
22-22
13-19
21-10
24-20
20-22
15-18
30-16
13-13
18-2
20-21
27-19
25-12
19-12
18-17
22-18
26-26
36-16
22-21
15-22
23-22
18-19
23-23
158.2Avg total
84.5Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.973.9157.7+10.081%
Season at home (13)85.770.5156.2+15.292%
Season away (14)82.176.9159.1+5.271%
Last 10 (10)84.573.7158.2+10.870%
Last 5 (5)87.069.8156.8+17.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)79.086.0165.0-7.00%
vs Similar (15)77.676.9154.5+0.760%
vs Weaker (14)88.169.7157.8+18.4100%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +8.4+8.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +8.4+8.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
NagasakiChiba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#26
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H16/11
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H06/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H07/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
51-32
51
32
+19
A10/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A13/12
B League
Shiga
#18
W
59-32
59
32
+27
A14/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H20/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H21/12
B League
Shimane
#14
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A24/12
B League
Chiba
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H27/12
B League
89.6Avg total
51.2Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.340.187.4+7.373%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.839.385.1+6.580%-
Last 30 away (15)48.940.889.7+8.167%-
Last 10 (10)51.238.489.6+12.890%-
Last 5 (5)51.040.291.2+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.035.065.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (2)41.543.585.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)48.440.088.4+8.481%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A16/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H06/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H07/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H10/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
58-28
58
28
+30
A13/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A14/12
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H20/12
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H21/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A24/12
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A27/12
B League
83.0Avg total
45.2Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.638.481.0+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.837.280.9+6.677%-
Last 30 away (17)41.839.481.1+2.441%-
Last 10 (10)45.237.883.0+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)45.235.680.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)38.044.082.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (15)39.339.979.2-0.740%-
vs Weaker (14)46.636.482.9+10.279%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 96.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.8
53.7%
53.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.013.6
40.0%
33.7%40.8
🏀 Free throws19.416.1
83.0%
73.1%16.1
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.9
52.6%
53.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.7
40.1%
33.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.011.6
72.5%
73.1%11.6
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WLWWWWWWWW
Chiba
LWWWWWWWLL
#1
League position
#6
+27.8
Net rating
+14.3
121.5
Offensive rating
114.0
93.6
Defensive rating
99.7
56.7%
Effective FG%
55.7%
45.1%
Opp. effective FG%
44.6%
14.6%
Turnover %
16.9%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
40.0%
3-point %
40.1%
74.9%
Assist %
69.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence121.5 · 114.0Defence93.6 · 99.7Shooting56.7% · 55.7%3-point %40.0% · 40.1%Ball care14.6% · 16.9%Off. rebounds29.1% · 30.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Chiba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nagasaki wins
2
Chiba wins
DateGameScore
27/12/25Nagasaki v Chiba86-79
27/10/24Nagasaki v Chiba75-79
26/10/24Nagasaki v Chiba50-82
09/10/23Nagasaki v Chiba89-86
08/10/23Nagasaki v Chiba91-82
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25HChiba86-79
24/12/25AShimane93-101
21/12/25HSun Rockers Shibuya85-71
20/12/25HSun Rockers Shibuya102-70
14/12/25AShiga106-84
13/12/25AShiga107-82
10/12/25AHiroshima D.105-74
07/12/25HKoshigaya Alphas99-76
06/12/25HKoshigaya Alphas91-58
16/11/25HAkita97-61
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25ANagasaki79-86
24/12/25AYokohama106-81
21/12/25HKyoto89-60
20/12/25HKyoto81-52
14/12/25ASun Rockers Shibuya80-70
13/12/25ASun Rockers Shibuya93-69
10/12/25HBrave Thunders88-69
07/12/25HDiamond Dolphins87-86
06/12/25HDiamond Dolphins73-75
16/11/25AUtsunomiya Brex69-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW89%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWL85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %89%93%85%
Points / game94.192.695.7
Allowed / game77.075.678.4
Point differential+17.1+16.9+17.3
Avg total171.0168.2174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%64%69%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chiba
B League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL81%
HomeLWWWW92%
AwayLWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %81%92%71%
Points / game83.985.782.1
Allowed / game73.970.576.9
Point differential+10.0+15.2+5.2
Avg total157.7156.2159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%77%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)67% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki2724389%94.177.0+17.1
2 Chiba2722581%83.973.9+10.0
3 Utsunomiya Brex2722581%85.777.5+8.2
4 Diamond Dolphins2721678%83.371.7+11.6
5 Hokkaido2721678%87.882.5+5.3
6 SeaHorses Mikawa2719870%85.478.8+6.6
7 Gunma27171063%82.875.2+7.6
8 Alvark27171063%78.677.3+1.4
9 Ryukyu28171161%82.677.2+5.4
10 Sendai28161257%79.377.9+1.5
11 Hiroshima D.27151256%85.282.2+3.0
12 Shimane27151256%83.181.6+1.5
13 Saga28141450%81.782.5-0.8
14 NeoPhoenix27111641%82.783.1-0.4
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles27111641%80.182.5-2.4
16 Shiga27111641%82.386.9-4.6
17 Osaka27101737%80.183.3-3.1
18 Yokohama27101737%77.982.4-4.6
19 Koshigaya Alphas27101737%72.879.1-6.3
20 Sun Rockers Shibuya2791833%76.482.7-6.3
21 Altiri Chiba2781930%80.785.3-4.6
22 Toyama2781930%83.692.1-8.4
23 Ibaraki Robots2772026%74.379.9-5.6
24 Kyoto2772026%69.880.1-10.3
25 Brave Thunders2862221%75.384.1-8.8
26 Akita2752219%70.683.3-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki1918193793
Chiba1918202077
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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