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China W vs Japan W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 74-72
26-16 19-24 12-11 17-21
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game103.4
Allowed / game51.0
China W 🏆
vs
Japan W
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game48.0
EuropeAsian Games WomenAsian Games Women - Final
Women2023
Meetings · China W v Japan W
05 Oct 2023
CHIN74
JAPA72
02 Jul 2023
CHIN73
JAPA71
28 Jul 2017
CHIN71
JAPA74
31 Oct 2013
CHIN55
JAPA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

China W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Japan W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

China WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lebanon W
#6
W
89-44
89
44
+45
90avg 77
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
80-46
80
46
+34
80avg 77
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#5
W
87-81 OT
87
81
+6
no box
H28/06
Asia Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
74-60
74
60
+14
64avg 77
H01/07
Asia Cup Women
Japan W
#2
W
73-71
73
71
+2
73avg 77
H02/07
Asia Cup Women
Mongolia W
#10
W
101-46
101
46
+55
no box
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
101-52
101
52
+49
no box
A29/09
Asian Games Women
India W
#6
W
111-53
111
53
+58
no box
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
104-60
104
60
+44
no box
H02/10
Asian Games Women
North Korea W
#4
W
100-44
100
44
+56
no box
A03/10
Asian Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
18-9
22-2
25-12
18-13
15-7
32-7
15-19
12-21
20-17
21-16
19-18
18-11
17-21
18-11
21-17
17-17
9-18
22-16
25-20
30-15
30-11
21-14
20-6
18-6
22-12
31-16
30-18
38-7
20-19
32-13
21-14
22-24
25-7
31-17
26-12
22-6
26-21
29-11
23-6
147.7Avg total
92.0Scored
55.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)103.451.0154.4+52.4100%
Season at home (3)105.353.0158.3+52.3100%
Season away (2)100.548.0148.5+52.5100%
Last 10 (10)92.055.7147.7+36.3100%
Last 5 (5)103.451.0154.4+52.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.777.0142.7-11.333%
vs Similar (1)74.060.0134.0+14.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)92.759.9152.5+32.892%
This opponent (Japan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Japan WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
94-53
94
53
+41
98avg 85
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
95-57
95
57
+38
99avg 85
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
91-66
91
66
+25
87avg 85
A28/06
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
88-52
88
52
+36
83avg 85
H01/07
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
L
71-73
71
73
-2
58avg 85
A02/07
Asia Cup Women
Hong Kong W
#7
W
118-46
118
46
+72
no box
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Kazakhstan W
#12
W
92-30
92
30
+62
no box
A29/09
Asian Games Women
Philippines W
#5
W
96-59
96
59
+37
no box
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
89-47
89
47
+42
no box
A02/10
Asian Games Women
South Korea W
#3
W
81-58
81
58
+23
no box
H03/10
Asian Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
19-17
26-12
28-10
28-14
21-17
17-17
29-9
15-21
29-11
26-19
21-15
24-11
23-14
19-13
22-14
17-17
18-9
16-22
20-25
32-12
39-16
29-8
18-10
25-12
26-9
25-3
16-6
35-14
15-12
16-13
30-20
25-15
20-12
22-9
22-11
20-15
20-18
16-11
25-14
145.6Avg total
91.5Scored
54.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)95.248.0143.2+47.2100%
Season at home (3)98.354.3152.7+44.0100%
Season away (2)90.538.5129.0+52.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.554.1145.6+37.490%
Last 5 (5)95.248.0143.2+47.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.377.9152.2-3.645%
vs Similar (2)58.568.0126.5-9.50%
vs Weaker (17)89.458.2147.6+31.288%
This opponent (China W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-17-8+0+8+17Q1Q1: +7.8+7.8Q1: +9.7+9.7Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: +9.5+9.5Q3Q3: +13.6+13.6Q3: +8.5+8.5Q4Q4: +8.3+8.3Q4: +9.7+9.7
-17-8+0+8+17Q1Q1: +7.8+7.8Q1: +9.7+9.7Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: +9.5+9.5Q3Q3: +13.6+13.6Q3: +8.5+8.5Q4Q4: +8.3+8.3Q4: +9.7+9.7
China WJapan W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
China WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lebanon W
#6
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
33-20
33
20
+13
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#5
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H28/06
Asia Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H01/07
Asia Cup Women
Japan W
#2
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H02/07
Asia Cup Women
Mongolia W
#10
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
40-18
40
18
+22
A29/09
Asian Games Women
India W
#6
W
58-26
58
26
+32
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H02/10
Asian Games Women
North Korea W
#4
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A03/10
Asian Games Women
70.4Avg total
42.1Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.231.375.5+12.880%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.332.877.1+11.574%-
Last 30 away (11)44.028.872.8+15.291%-
Last 10 (10)42.128.370.4+13.880%-
Last 5 (5)50.625.676.2+25.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.040.768.7-12.70%-
vs Similar (1)35.032.067.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)46.430.276.6+16.288%-
This opponent (Japan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Japan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A28/06
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H01/07
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A02/07
Asia Cup Women
Hong Kong W
#7
W
71-28
71
28
+43
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Kazakhstan W
#12
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A29/09
Asian Games Women
Philippines W
#5
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A02/10
Asian Games Women
South Korea W
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H03/10
Asian Games Women
75.2Avg total
47.2Scored
28.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.633.974.6+6.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.933.475.3+8.560%-
Last 30 away (15)39.334.573.8+4.953%-
Last 10 (10)47.228.075.2+19.2100%-
Last 5 (5)51.427.078.4+24.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.339.874.1-5.59%-
vs Similar (2)30.033.563.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker (17)46.030.276.2+15.894%-
This opponent (China W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
China Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

China W: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.5 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.821.8
50.9%
-43.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.0
36.0%
-24.0
🏀 Free throws11.810.0
85.1%
-10.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Japan Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan W: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 10% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.2
52.3%
-36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.813.8
40.8%
-41.4
🏀 Free throws10.28.8
86.3%
-8.8
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/5 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
China W
WWWWWWWWWW
Japan W
WWWWWLWWWW
#1
League position
#2
+31.3
Net rating
+36.5
108.9
Offensive rating
120.8
77.6
Defensive rating
84.2
51.9%
Effective FG%
56.7%
37.5%
Opp. effective FG%
44.0%
15.5%
Turnover %
13.9%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.15
36.0%
3-point %
40.8%
72.3%
Assist %
69.4%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)100% · 90%
■ China W   ■ Japan W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
China W wins
6
Japan W wins
DateGameScore
02/07/23China W v Japan W73-71
03/10/21Japan W v China W78-73
29/09/19Japan W v China W71-68
30/08/18Japan W v China W74-86
17/08/18Japan W v China W73-105
28/07/17China W v Japan W71-74
05/09/15Japan W v China W85-50
01/09/15Japan W v China W57-56
31/10/13China W v Japan W55-62
China Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/23ANorth Korea W100-44
02/10/23HChinese Taipei W104-60
01/10/23HIndia W111-53
29/09/23AIndonesia W101-52
27/09/23HMongolia W101-46
02/07/23HJapan W73-71
01/07/23HAustralia W74-60
28/06/23HSouth Korea W87-81 OT
27/06/23ANew Zealand W80-46
26/06/23HLebanon W89-44
Japan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/23HSouth Korea W81-58
02/10/23AIndonesia W89-47
01/10/23HPhilippines W96-59
29/09/23AKazakhstan W92-30
27/09/23HHong Kong W118-46
02/07/23AChina W71-73
01/07/23HNew Zealand W88-52
28/06/23AAustralia W91-66
27/06/23APhilippines W95-57
26/06/23HChinese Taipei W94-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

China W
Asian Games Women 2023
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game103.4105.3100.5
Allowed / game51.053.048.0
Point differential+52.4+52.3+52.5
Avg total154.4158.3148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Japan W
Asian Games Women 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.298.390.5
Allowed / game48.054.338.5
Point differential+47.2+44.0+52.0
Avg total143.2152.7129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 China W550100%103.451.0+52.4
2 Japan W550100%95.248.0+47.2
3 South Korea W65183%83.765.3+18.3
4 North Korea W63350%76.876.2+0.7
5 Philippines W42250%78.077.8+0.2
6 India W42250%61.078.8-17.8
7 Hong Kong W31233%59.791.0-31.3
8 Chinese Taipei W41325%63.584.0-20.5
9 Indonesia W41325%53.580.0-26.5
10 Mongolia W3030%57.379.3-22.0
11 Thailand W3030%53.084.3-31.3
12 Kazakhstan W3030%48.381.7-33.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
China W2619121774
Japan W1624112172
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