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Chiusi vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-82
19-23 21-23 16-15 19-21
Position#18
Record2-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game64.8
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#3
Record9-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game72.7
ItalySerie A2Round 12· Pala Pania
Other2023-24
Meetings · Chiusi v Fortitudo Bologna
03 Dec 2023
CHIU75
FBO82
15 Jan 2023
CHIU75
FBO59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chiusi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChiusiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiusi
Date
Competition
Trieste
#5
L
65-76
65
76
-11
51avg 53
H08/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
58-82
58
82
-24
45avg 53
A11/10
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
60-78
60
78
-18
49avg 53
A15/10
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
57-53
57
53
+4
49avg 53
H22/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
64-78
64
78
-14
54avg 53
A29/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
59-64
59
64
-5
51avg 53
H01/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
71-76
71
76
-5
62avg 53
A05/11
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
60avg 53
H12/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
no box
H19/11
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
69-71
69
71
-2
62avg 53
A26/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
22-14
9-24
13-20
16-18
13-18
15-23
14-23
12-14
17-20
18-23
13-21
9-10
16-15
13-17
19-11
19-21
11-15
12-16
22-26
12-13
14-17
25-18
8-16
13-22
19-19
18-19
21-16
13-21
11-11
19-22
19-17
18-24
26-19
20-17
18-22
13-14
20-13
14-23
22-21
140.3Avg total
66.2Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)64.873.9138.7-9.118%
Season at home (5)68.071.2139.2-3.240%
Season away (6)62.276.2138.3-14.00%
Last 10 (10)66.274.1140.3-7.920%
Last 5 (5)71.674.8146.4-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)64.473.1137.5-8.79%
vs Similar (17)72.974.1147.0-1.141%
vs Weaker (2)80.075.5155.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Rimini
#10
W
82-74
82
74
+8
74avg 75
A07/10
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
73-63
73
63
+10
72avg 75
H11/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
97-79
97
79
+18
99avg 75
A15/10
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
84-65
84
65
+19
84avg 75
A22/10
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
89-77
89
77
+12
88avg 75
H29/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
94-92
94
92
+2
95avg 75
H05/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
83avg 75
H12/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
56-87
56
87
-31
41avg 75
A15/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
69-65
69
65
+4
65avg 75
A18/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
68-75
68
75
-7
60avg 75
H26/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
17-18
15-18
21-18
18-20
20-16
19-7
16-20
18-20
26-15
23-18
30-26
21-8
27-15
19-21
17-21
21-19
26-21
31-19
11-18
23-24
29-26
22-20
20-22
24-17
23-23
23-11
14-21
10-25
20-18
14-24
12-20
15-10
17-13
19-19
18-23
12-22
19-16
20-11
17-26
154.5Avg total
79.6Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.972.7151.6+6.282%
Season at home (6)80.071.7151.7+8.383%
Season away (5)77.674.0151.6+3.680%
Last 10 (10)79.674.9154.5+4.780%
Last 5 (5)74.278.2152.4-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.581.2154.7-7.733%
vs Similar (17)75.576.9152.4-1.441%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.773.6156.3+9.186%
This opponent (Chiusi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -3.9-3.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -3.9-3.9
ChiusiFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChiusiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#5
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H08/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A11/10
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A15/10
Serie A2
Cento
#12
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H22/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A29/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H01/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A05/11
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H12/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H19/11
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A26/11
Serie A2
65.1Avg total
31.5Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.836.070.8-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.835.771.4+0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)33.836.470.1-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)31.533.665.1-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)31.834.666.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)32.534.466.9-1.827%-
vs Similar (17)36.137.273.3-1.235%-
vs Weaker (2)37.034.571.5+2.5100%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#10
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A07/10
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H11/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A15/10
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A22/10
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H29/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H05/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H12/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A15/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A18/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H26/11
Serie A2
78.1Avg total
41.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.877.8+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.539.577.9-1.053%-
Last 30 away (15)39.638.177.7+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)41.536.678.1+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.877.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.338.375.7-1.050%-
vs Similar (17)38.839.278.1-0.441%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.038.179.1+2.986%-
This opponent (Chiusi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chiusitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiusi: 59.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.116.0
44.3%
50.3%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.45.2
25.5%
34.1%15.7
🏀 Free throws15.712.0
76.6%
74.2%12.0
They take 56.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.7
51.0%
50.3%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.8
35.2%
34.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws15.010.5
70.0%
74.2%10.5
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chiusi
LWLLLLWLLL
Fortitudo Bologna
LWLWWWWWWW
#18
League position
#3
-17.4
Net rating
+7.7
85.9
Offensive rating
108.4
103.3
Defensive rating
100.7
42.1%
Effective FG%
51.7%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
21.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
25.5%
3-point %
35.2%
55.0%
Assist %
62.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence85.9 · 108.4Defence103.3 · 100.7Shooting42.1% · 51.7%3-point %25.5% · 35.2%Ball care21.6% · 15.9%Off. rebounds25.9% · 30.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Chiusi   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Chiusi wins
2
Fortitudo Bologna wins
DateGameScore
01/10/23Fortitudo Bologna v Chiusi72-51
15/01/23Chiusi v Fortitudo Bologna75-59
22/10/22Fortitudo Bologna v Chiusi71-67
Chiusilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23ANardo69-71
19/11/23HAssigeco Piacenza97-92 OT
12/11/23HForli62-71
05/11/23AOrzinuovi71-76
01/11/23HVerona59-64
29/10/23ARimini64-78
22/10/23HCento57-53
15/10/23AUdine60-78
11/10/23ACividale58-82
08/10/23HTrieste65-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23HVerona68-75
18/11/23ACividale69-65
15/11/23AUdine56-87
12/11/23HCento84-72
05/11/23HAssigeco Piacenza94-92
29/10/23HOrzinuovi89-77
22/10/23ATrieste84-65
15/10/23ANardo97-79
11/10/23HForli73-63
07/10/23ARimini82-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chiusi
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL18%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %18%40%0%
Points / game64.868.062.2
Allowed / game73.971.276.2
Point differential-9.1-3.2-14.0
Avg total138.7139.2138.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL82%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%83%80%
Points / game78.980.077.6
Allowed / game72.771.774.0
Point differential+6.2+8.3+3.6
Avg total151.6151.7151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1211192%93.479.2+14.2
2 Fortitudo Bologna119282%78.972.7+6.2
3 Udine129375%81.971.9+10.0
4 Forli129375%79.273.2+5.9
5 Cantu118373%89.782.2+7.5
6 Trieste118373%78.674.7+3.9
7 Basket Torino128467%85.080.6+4.4
8 Verona128467%76.472.0+4.4
9 Treviglio128467%85.483.5+1.9
10 Urania Milano127558%85.284.8+0.4
11 Nardo127558%77.683.1-5.5
12 JuVi Cremona116555%88.684.1+4.5
13 Sebastiani Rieti116555%82.479.7+2.6
14 Assigeco Piacenza115645%80.779.7+1.0
15 Cento125742%74.778.3-3.7
16 Agrigento114736%75.880.1-4.3
17 Vigevano124833%79.885.2-5.4
18 Cividale123925%74.277.3-3.2
19 Monferrato123925%81.085.5-4.5
20 Luiss Roma123925%75.687.7-12.1
21 Rimini112918%73.878.4-4.5
22 Orzinuovi112918%70.076.2-6.2
23 Chiusi112918%64.873.9-9.1
24 Latina1221017%78.987.5-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chiusi1921161975
Fortitudo Bologna2323152182
← all games of the day
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