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Fortitudo Bologna vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 73-63
18-20 20-16 19-7 16-20
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game62.5
Fortitudo Bologna 🏆
Italy
vs
Forli
Italy
Position#2
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game65.5
ItalySerie A2Round 3· PalaDozza
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fortitudo Bologna v Forli
21 Mar 2027
FBO v FORL
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
FBO81
FORL72
14 Dec 2024
FBO76
FORL71
11 Oct 2023
FBO73
FORL63
26 Mar 2023
FBO72
FORL70
23 Dec 2018
FBO97
FORL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fortitudo Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Cento
#9
L
73-91
73
91
-18
no box
A14/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
88-74
88
74
+14
no box
A19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
90-71
90
71
+19
no box
H21/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
69-68
69
68
+1
no box
H24/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
A28/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
no box
A30/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
no box
H02/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
49-69
49
69
-20
no box
H04/06
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
72-51
72
51
+21
62avg 68
H01/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
82-74
82
74
+8
74avg 68
A07/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
16-18
27-27
11-22
30-19
19-22
28-18
11-15
19-17
26-15
22-14
23-25
20-24
20-25
20-8
9-11
23-20
19-21
15-21
17-21
16-18
20-27
23-20
16-22
17-17
19-26
26-14
18-23
14-19
12-17
8-16
15-17
17-15
14-14
23-10
18-12
29-20
17-18
15-18
21-18
152.5Avg total
76.5Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.062.5139.5+14.5100%
Season at home (1)72.051.0123.0+21.0100%
Season away (1)82.074.0156.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.576.0152.5+0.560%
Last 5 (5)74.274.6148.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.880.2153.0-7.538%
vs Similar ◀ (19)77.677.4154.9+0.242%
vs Weaker (3)79.367.3146.7+12.067%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Chiusi
#23
W
73-60
73
60
+13
no box
A22/05
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
W
89-76
89
76
+13
no box
A24/05
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
H02/06
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
83-58
83
58
+25
no box
H04/06
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
83-65
83
65
+18
no box
A07/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
no box
H14/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
64-69
64
69
-5
no box
H16/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
74-89
74
89
-15
no box
A19/06
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
78-61
78
61
+17
73avg 88
A01/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
99-70
99
70
+29
103avg 88
H08/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-10
14-21
22-17
12-12
21-17
23-19
16-29
29-11
15-19
22-16
23-19
12-16
14-16
27-12
21-14
21-16
25-21
20-11
11-23
27-10
24-12
20-30
11-18
17-17
12-17
23-14
12-24
17-14
9-23
18-29
23-23
24-14
29-16
17-20
10-11
22-14
25-12
20-29
32-11
22-18
148.2Avg total
78.7Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.565.5154.0+23.0100%
Season at home (1)99.070.0169.0+29.0100%
Season away (1)78.061.0139.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.769.5148.2+9.270%
Last 5 (5)77.473.2150.6+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.970.6142.5+1.355%
vs Weaker (19)80.068.5148.5+11.595%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +6.1+6.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +6.1+6.1
Fortitudo BolognaForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A14/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H21/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H24/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A28/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A30/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H02/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H04/06
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H01/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A07/10
Serie A2
78.2Avg total
38.6Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.838.577.3+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.736.574.2+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)39.940.580.4-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.678.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.273.2-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.138.074.1-1.950%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.239.179.3+1.247%-
vs Weaker (3)37.036.373.3+0.767%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiusi
#23
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A22/05
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/05
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H02/06
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H04/06
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A07/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H14/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H16/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
27-52
27
52
-25
A19/06
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A01/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H08/10
Serie A2
76.7Avg total
40.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.536.474.9+2.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.735.674.3+3.173%-
Last 30 away (15)38.337.175.4+1.167%-
Last 10 (10)40.336.476.7+3.990%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.479.8-1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.536.772.2-1.364%-
vs Weaker (19)40.336.276.4+4.174%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.0
48.8%
50.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.0
35.7%
34.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.214.9
73.8%
74.2%14.9
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.0
50.0%
50.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.0
33.3%
34.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws13.011.0
84.6%
74.2%11.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fortitudo Bologna
WWLWLLWWWL
Forli
WWLLLWWWWW
#3
League position
#2
-0.1
Net rating
+22.1
108.4
Offensive rating
111.8
108.5
Defensive rating
89.7
50.7%
Effective FG%
50.0%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
15.6%
Turnover %
8.9%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.20
35.7%
3-point %
33.3%
58.9%
Assist %
57.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 111.8Defence108.5 · 89.7Shooting50.7% · 50.0%3-point %35.7% · 33.3%Ball care15.6% · 8.9%Off. rebounds27.7% · 24.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Fortitudo Bologna   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fortitudo Bologna wins
2
Forli wins
DateGameScore
26/03/23Fortitudo Bologna v Forli72-70
18/12/22Forli v Fortitudo Bologna88-66
07/04/19Forli v Fortitudo Bologna88-77
23/12/18Fortitudo Bologna v Forli97-95 OT
Fortitudo Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23ARimini82-74
01/10/23HChiusi72-51
04/06/23HCremona49-69
02/06/23HCremona93-92 OT
30/05/23ACremona75-87
28/05/23ACremona74-83
24/05/23HCento69-68
21/05/23HCento90-71
19/05/23ACento88-74
14/05/23ACento73-91
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23HNardo99-70
01/10/23ACento78-61
19/06/23ACremona74-89
16/06/23HCremona64-69
14/06/23HCremona72-77
07/06/23AUdine83-65
04/06/23HUdine83-58
02/06/23HUdine72-70
24/05/23AChiusi89-76
22/05/23AChiusi73-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game77.072.082.0
Allowed / game62.551.074.0
Point differential+14.5+21.0+8.0
Avg total139.5123.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.599.078.0
Allowed / game65.570.061.0
Point differential+23.0+29.0+17.0
Avg total154.0169.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Forli220100%88.565.5+23.0
2 Fortitudo Bologna220100%77.062.5+14.5
3 Trieste330100%84.074.0+10.0
4 Trapani330100%90.782.7+8.0
5 Cividale32167%73.766.0+7.7
6 JuVi Cremona32167%93.085.3+7.7
7 Basket Torino32167%82.777.3+5.3
8 Sebastiani Rieti32167%84.780.0+4.7
9 Cantu32167%86.782.3+4.3
10 Assigeco Piacenza32167%84.781.0+3.7
11 Verona32167%75.371.7+3.7
12 Udine32167%81.379.3+2.0
13 Treviglio32167%89.089.7-0.7
14 Luiss Roma32167%78.383.3-5.0
15 Orzinuovi31233%72.374.3-2.0
16 Agrigento31233%70.773.7-3.0
17 Urania Milano31233%80.784.7-4.0
18 Cento31233%71.780.3-8.7
19 Monferrato2020%81.585.0-3.5
20 Rimini3030%74.080.7-6.7
21 Vigevano2020%76.584.5-8.0
22 Latina3030%76.786.3-9.7
23 Nardo3030%77.093.0-16.0
24 Chiusi3030%58.076.7-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fortitudo Bologna1820191673
Forli201672063
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