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Chiusi vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 62-71
13-21 11-11 19-22 19-17
Position#18
Record1-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game60.6
Allowed / game72.4
vs
Forli 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record6-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game74.0
ItalySerie A2Round 9· Pala Pania
Other2023-24
Meetings · Chiusi v Forli
12 Nov 2023
CHIU62
FORL71
24 May 2023
CHIU76
FORL89
22 May 2023
CHIU60
FORL73
05 Mar 2023
CHIU70
FORL73
05 Dec 2021
CHIU90
FORL65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chiusi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChiusiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiusi
Date
Competition
Forli
#2
L
60-73
60
73
-13
no box
H22/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
76-89
76
89
-13
no box
H24/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
51-72
51
72
-21
46avg 51
A01/10
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
65-76
65
76
-11
51avg 51
H08/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
58-82
58
82
-24
45avg 51
A11/10
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
60-78
60
78
-18
49avg 51
A15/10
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
57-53
57
53
+4
49avg 51
H22/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
64-78
64
78
-14
54avg 51
A29/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
59-64
59
64
-5
51avg 51
H01/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
71-76
71
76
-5
62avg 51
A05/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-25
21-14
17-22
12-12
17-21
19-23
29-16
11-29
15-17
14-14
10-23
12-18
21-18
22-14
9-24
13-20
16-18
13-18
15-23
14-23
12-14
17-20
18-23
13-21
9-10
16-15
13-17
19-11
19-21
11-15
12-16
22-26
12-13
14-17
25-18
8-16
13-22
19-19
18-19
21-16
136.2Avg total
62.1Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)60.672.4133.0-11.812%
Season at home (3)60.364.3124.7-4.033%
Season away (5)60.877.2138.0-16.40%
Last 10 (10)62.174.1136.2-12.010%
Last 5 (5)62.269.8132.0-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)64.673.4138.0-8.79%
vs Similar (17)71.473.4144.7-2.041%
vs Weaker (2)80.075.5155.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Cremona
#3
L
64-69
64
69
-5
no box
H16/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
74-89
74
89
-15
no box
A19/06
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
78-61
78
61
+17
73avg 75
A01/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
99-70
99
70
+29
103avg 75
H08/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
63-73
63
73
-10
51avg 75
A11/10
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
86-69
86
69
+17
87avg 75
H15/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
76-68 OT
76
68
+8
no box
H22/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 75
A29/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
no box
H01/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
82-96
82
96
-14
68avg 75
A04/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
23-14
12-24
17-14
9-23
18-29
23-23
24-14
29-16
17-20
10-11
22-14
25-12
20-29
32-11
22-18
20-18
16-20
7-19
20-16
23-12
24-13
19-21
20-23
11-17
18-20
16-15
18-11
23-27
22-13
17-15
18-22
23-20
19-18
12-17
18-17
18-30
24-18
15-23
25-25
153.6Avg total
78.6Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.074.0155.0+7.075%
Season at home (4)86.271.2157.5+15.0100%
Season away (4)75.876.8152.5-1.050%
Last 10 (10)78.675.0153.6+3.660%
Last 5 (5)81.677.6159.2+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)73.672.6146.2+0.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)80.468.9149.3+11.494%
This opponent (Chiusi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +3.0+3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +3.0+3.0
ChiusiForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChiusiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H22/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A01/10
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H08/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A11/10
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A15/10
Serie A2
Cento
#12
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H22/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A29/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H01/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A05/11
Serie A2
65.8Avg total
31.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.336.872.0-1.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.436.773.1-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)34.136.971.0-2.727%-
Last 10 (10)31.034.865.8-3.810%-
Last 5 (5)28.433.261.6-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.735.068.7-1.327%-
vs Similar (17)36.138.274.2-2.129%-
vs Weaker (2)37.034.571.5+2.5100%-
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#3
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H16/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
27-52
27
52
-25
A19/06
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A01/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H08/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A11/10
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H15/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H22/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A29/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H01/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A04/11
Serie A2
78.0Avg total
39.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.536.675.0+1.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.735.474.1+3.373%-
Last 30 away (15)38.337.776.0+0.560%-
Last 10 (10)39.438.678.0+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.678.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)36.437.673.9-1.257%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.335.776.0+4.675%-
This opponent (Chiusi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chiusitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiusi: 59.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.915.9
43.1%
50.3%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.45.2
25.8%
34.1%15.8
🏀 Free throws15.511.9
76.6%
74.2%11.9
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.2
53.2%
50.3%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.6
32.2%
34.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.413.0
74.7%
74.2%13.0
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/5 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chiusi
LLLWLLLLLL
Forli
LWWWWLWWLL
#18
League position
#2
-18.3
Net rating
+2.1
85.2
Offensive rating
111.9
103.5
Defensive rating
109.8
41.5%
Effective FG%
51.3%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
21.0%
Turnover %
13.9%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
25.8%
3-point %
32.2%
53.3%
Assist %
45.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence85.2 · 111.9Defence103.5 · 109.8Shooting41.5% · 51.3%3-point %25.8% · 32.2%Ball care21.0% · 13.9%Off. rebounds25.8% · 30.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Chiusi   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Chiusi wins
6
Forli wins
DateGameScore
24/05/23Chiusi v Forli76-89
22/05/23Chiusi v Forli60-73
14/05/23Forli v Chiusi68-62
05/03/23Chiusi v Forli70-73
07/12/22Forli v Chiusi86-76
20/03/22Forli v Chiusi76-75
05/12/21Chiusi v Forli90-65
Chiusilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23AOrzinuovi71-76
01/11/23HVerona59-64
29/10/23ARimini64-78
22/10/23HCento57-53
15/10/23AUdine60-78
11/10/23ACividale58-82
08/10/23HTrieste65-76
01/10/23AFortitudo Bologna51-72
24/05/23HForli76-89
22/05/23HForli60-73
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23AVerona82-96
01/11/23HCividale84-78 OT
29/10/23AAssigeco Piacenza80-77
22/10/23HRimini76-68 OT
15/10/23HOrzinuovi86-69
11/10/23AFortitudo Bologna63-73
08/10/23HNardo99-70
01/10/23ACento78-61
19/06/23ACremona74-89
16/06/23HCremona64-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chiusi
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL12%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %12%33%0%
Points / game60.660.360.8
Allowed / game72.464.377.2
Point differential-11.8-4.0-16.4
Avg total133.0124.7138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game81.086.275.8
Allowed / game74.071.276.8
Point differential+7.0+15.0-1.0
Avg total155.0157.5152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fortitudo Bologna770100%84.471.6+12.9
2 Trapani98189%91.980.9+11.0
3 Cantu86275%91.883.1+8.6
4 Udine86275%80.172.0+8.1
5 Forli86275%81.074.0+7.0
6 Verona86275%76.471.2+5.1
7 Basket Torino96367%86.282.0+4.2
8 Sebastiani Rieti85362%86.178.8+7.4
9 JuVi Cremona85362%87.280.9+6.4
10 Treviglio85362%83.483.2+0.1
11 Trieste85362%77.477.4+0.0
12 Urania Milano95456%87.686.2+1.3
13 Nardo84450%81.487.8-6.4
14 Assigeco Piacenza83538%83.081.8+1.2
15 Cividale83538%76.076.9-0.9
16 Agrigento83538%74.177.2-3.1
17 Cento83538%77.181.4-4.2
18 Rimini82625%74.477.1-2.8
19 Monferrato82625%82.086.0-4.0
20 Vigevano82625%79.587.1-7.6
21 Orzinuovi92722%73.379.3-6.0
22 Luiss Roma92722%75.087.2-12.2
23 Chiusi81712%60.672.4-11.8
24 Latina81712%76.989.5-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chiusi1311191962
Forli2111221771
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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