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Cholet vs BC Kalev/Cramo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-59
20-11 17-11 27-19 17-18
Position#6
Record12-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game74.0
Cholet 🏆
vs
Position#2
Record14-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game72.7
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Semi-finals
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cholet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Kalev/Cramo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CholetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
St. Chamond
#6
W
93-76
93
76
+17
no box
A28/02
French Cup
JL Bourg
#5
W
99-88
99
88
+11
99avg 81
H04/03
LNB
Budivelnyk
#11
L
72-73
72
73
-1
no box
A07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Limoges
#15
W
82-65
82
65
+17
85avg 81
A11/03
LNB
Budivelnyk
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
no box
H14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#8
L
79-85
79
85
-6
no box
A18/03
French Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
78-92
78
92
-14
66avg 81
A21/03
LNB
Paris
#10
L
63-79
63
79
-16
50avg 81
H25/03
LNB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A29/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Nanterre
#14
L
80-86
80
86
-6
72avg 81
H01/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
23-16
18-16
23-25
25-20
30-23
17-23
27-22
23-26
27-14
9-14
13-19
28-19
24-12
25-23
5-11
23-18
20-20
26-17
14-24
16-21
15-18
22-21
26-25
8-26
21-22
30-25
19-19
20-19
15-19
11-30
17-11
14-17
17-18
24-22
18-23
22-22
31-16
12-20
15-28
160.5Avg total
80.2Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.174.0156.1+8.171%
Season at home (7)88.374.0162.3+14.3100%
Season away (10)77.874.0151.8+3.850%
Last 10 (10)80.280.3160.5-0.140%
Last 5 (5)74.684.4159.0-9.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.596.0181.5-10.50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)82.782.0164.7+0.756%
vs Weaker (9)80.776.0156.7+4.767%
This opponent (BC Kalev/Cramo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC Kalev/CramoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalev/Cramo
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#10
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
H06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
73-67
73
67
+6
no box
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
83-56
83
56
+27
no box
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Bamberg
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
no box
A15/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#9
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
A18/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
102-84
102
84
+18
no box
A19/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
101-64
101
64
+37
no box
H21/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
no box
H24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Cholet
#6
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
H29/03
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Ogre
#7
W
83-66
83
66
+17
no box
A01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
22-23
20-10
19-20
21-21
17-12
20-20
15-14
19-16
25-12
18-16
21-12
27-24
24-19
17-10
17-14
19-16
29-14
17-27
18-21
24-20
18-17
34-23
26-24
25-13
23-13
21-15
32-23
19-16
18-21
24-10
15-23
17-14
18-17
22-24
23-18
17-15
24-26
18-13
24-12
154.8Avg total
84.6Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.772.7153.3+8.078%
Season at home (10)80.772.0152.7+8.790%
Season away (8)80.673.5154.1+7.162%
Last 10 (10)84.670.2154.8+14.4100%
Last 5 (5)88.471.4159.8+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.082.3158.3-6.30%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.377.4156.7+1.971%
vs Weaker (20)85.372.0157.3+13.490%
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
CholetBC Kalev/Cramo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Chamond
#6
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A28/02
French Cup
JL Bourg
#5
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H04/03
LNB
Budivelnyk
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A07/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Limoges
#15
W
52-31
52
31
+21
A11/03
LNB
Budivelnyk
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H14/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#8
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A18/03
French Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A21/03
LNB
Paris
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H25/03
LNB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A29/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Nanterre
#14
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H01/04
LNB
81.6Avg total
43.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.983.9+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.241.385.5+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)41.840.682.4+1.253%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.581.6+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.675.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)49.050.599.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)43.840.884.7+3.056%-
vs Weaker (9)41.138.179.2+3.078%-
This opponent (BC Kalev/Cramo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC Kalev/CramoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Bamberg
#10
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A15/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#9
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A18/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A19/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H21/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Cholet
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H29/03
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Ogre
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
77.8Avg total
42.5Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.577.4+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.937.376.2+1.653%-
Last 30 away (13)41.337.879.1+3.554%-
Last 10 (10)42.535.377.8+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.634.475.0+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.343.776.0-11.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.640.177.7-2.643%-
vs Weaker (20)41.935.677.5+6.265%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.1
53.6%
52.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.3
36.2%
34.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.215.6
73.6%
73.2%15.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Kalev/Cramotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Kalev/Cramo: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.314.2
50.2%
52.5%28.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.0
33.3%
34.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.512.5
75.8%
73.2%12.5
They take 55.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cholet
LLLLLWWLWW
BC Kalev/Cramo
WWWWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#2
-2.5
Net rating
-14.9
113.2
Offensive rating
100.3
115.6
Defensive rating
115.3
53.9%
Effective FG%
50.1%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
17.1%
Turnover %
21.1%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.2%
3-point %
33.3%
62.6%
Assist %
58.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 100.3Defence115.6 · 115.3Shooting53.9% · 50.1%3-point %36.2% · 33.3%Ball care17.1% · 21.1%Off. rebounds32.0% · 28.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 100%
■ Cholet   ■ BC Kalev/Cramo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cholet wins
1
BC Kalev/Cramo wins
DateGameScore
29/03/23BC Kalev/Cramo v Cholet80-73
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/23HNanterre80-86
29/03/23ABC Kalev/Cramo73-80
25/03/23HParis63-79
21/03/23AGravelines-Dunkerque78-92
18/03/23ALyon-Villeurbanne79-85
14/03/23HBudivelnyk83-79
11/03/23ALimoges82-65
07/03/23ABudivelnyk72-73
04/03/23HJL Bourg99-88
28/02/23ASt. Chamond93-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/23ABK Ogre83-66
29/03/23HCholet80-73
24/03/23HBK Ogre76-70
21/03/23HTallinna Kalev101-64
19/03/23ATal Tech102-84
18/03/23AParnu83-78
15/03/23ABamberg85-67
11/03/23HKeila KK83-56
09/03/23ATartu Ulikool73-67
06/03/23HBamberg80-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cholet
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game82.188.377.8
Allowed / game74.074.074.0
Point differential+8.1+14.3+3.8
Avg total156.1162.3151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%71%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Kalev/Cramo
FIBA Europe Cup 2022
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayWLLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %78%90%62%
Points / game80.780.780.6
Allowed / game72.772.073.5
Point differential+8.0+8.7+7.1
Avg total153.3152.7154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo1814478%80.772.7+8.0
2 Karhu Basket1612475%81.674.6+7.0
3 Gaziantep1410471%83.676.4+7.1
4 Cholet1712571%82.174.0+8.1
5 Anwil Wloclawek1611569%85.774.9+10.8
6 CSM Oradea128467%84.676.6+8.0
7 Hapoel Haifa149564%72.170.7+1.4
8 Sporting CP85362%89.191.6-2.5
9 Chemnitz127558%86.976.2+10.7
10 Bamberg148657%82.479.7+2.7
11 Budivelnyk148657%75.075.7-0.7
12 Gottingen21150%79.573.0+6.5
13 Brindisi63350%80.274.7+5.5
14 Crailsheim Merlins126650%86.783.6+3.1
15 Czarni Slupsk21150%78.575.5+3.0
16 FC Porto147750%80.978.5+2.4
17 Mechelen63350%85.083.0+2.0
18 Fribourg Olympic63350%79.579.3+0.2
19 BC Wolves21150%79.581.5-2.0
20 Opava63350%77.279.2-2.0
21 Balkan63350%74.576.8-2.3
22 AEK Larnaca21150%68.572.0-3.5
23 Leiden21150%68.572.5-4.0
24 Galil Elyon63350%83.287.7-4.5
25 SCM Craiova157847%71.974.7-2.8
26 Den Bosch125742%77.276.8+0.5
27 Levice125742%76.980.6-3.7
28 Antwerp Giants83538%76.178.0-1.9
29 Swans Gmunden62433%77.080.0-3.0
30 Voluntari62433%68.873.8-5.0
31 Keravnos124833%75.081.1-6.1
32 Parnu62433%74.584.2-9.7
33 Norrkoping61517%71.583.5-12.0
34 Golden Eagle Ylli61517%70.387.2-16.8
35 Rilski Sportist81712%69.690.1-20.5
36 Jonava1010%59.065.0-6.0
37 Thorl1010%68.077.0-9.0
38 Jamtland1010%73.083.0-10.0
39 Aris1010%72.083.0-11.0
40 Kataja1010%64.075.0-11.0
41 Kormend6060%76.389.5-13.2
42 Trepca1010%62.076.0-14.0
43 Kapfenberg Bulls1010%55.071.0-16.0
44 Cedevita Junior1010%73.093.0-20.0
45 Donar Groningen6060%61.782.8-21.2
46 Besiktas1010%62.093.0-31.0
47 Sigal Prishtina1010%61.098.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 47 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cholet2017271781
BC Kalev/Cramo1111191859
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