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Cholet vs Fos-sur-Mer Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-83
21-24 16-13 17-21 25-25
Position#8
Record3-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Position#16
Record4-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game77.3
FranceLNBRound 12
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Cholet v Fos-sur-Mer
06 Dec 2022
CHO73
FSM70
18 Dec 2021
CHO79
FSM83
12 May 2019
CHO99
FSM83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cholet winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fos-sur-Mer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CholetFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Paris
#15
L
83-85
83
85
-2
99avg 82
H16/10
LNB
Poitiers
#22
W
87-77
87
77
+10
no box
H19/10
French Cup
Limoges
#5
W
91-79
91
79
+12
103avg 82
A23/10
LNB
Roanne
#13
L
81-105
81
105
-24
95avg 82
A29/10
LNB
Le Mans
#9
W
94-88
94
88
+6
112avg 82
H06/11
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
59-102
59
102
-43
68avg 82
A14/11
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#1
L
92-99
92
99
-7
no box
A16/11
French Cup
Nanterre
#10
L
71-86
71
86
-15
no box
H20/11
LNB
Levallois
#3
L
62-97
62
97
-35
72avg 82
A05/12
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#12
L
74-90
74
90
-16
65avg 82
H11/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-31
28-17
25-17
14-20
22-20
16-21
21-18
28-18
27-14
28-17
17-30
19-18
16-37
22-21
18-9
25-38
30-28
29-23
19-19
16-18
25-24
9-27
13-30
12-21
28-18
22-23
19-32
23-26
14-29
17-18
28-25
12-14
13-25
13-34
19-14
17-24
22-20
15-23
18-25
19-22
170.2Avg total
79.4Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.088.5165.5-11.527%
Season at home (5)79.885.8165.6-6.020%
Season away (6)74.790.7165.3-16.033%
Last 10 (10)79.490.8170.2-11.430%
Last 5 (5)71.694.8166.4-23.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.689.2164.8-13.733%
vs Similar (15)80.386.4166.7-6.120%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)92.383.0175.3+9.367%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
ALS Basket Andrezieux-Boutheon
#27
W
79-68
79
68
+11
no box
H19/10
French Cup
Nanterre
#10
W
85-74
85
74
+11
103avg 87
A23/10
LNB
Dijon
#4
L
72-84
72
84
-12
88avg 87
A26/10
LNB
Le Portel
#14
W
78-76
78
76
+2
99avg 87
H29/10
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#6
L
74-76
74
76
-2
86avg 87
A06/11
LNB
Paris
#15
W
65-60
65
60
+5
77avg 87
H12/11
LNB
Strasbourg
#7
L
69-80
69
80
-11
79avg 87
A18/11
LNB
Mulhouse
#12
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H01/12
French Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
67-88
67
88
-21
78avg 87
H04/12
LNB
Levallois
#3
L
73-98
73
98
-25
65avg 87
H10/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
14-28
27-19
17-9
24-17
21-22
22-11
18-24
7-25
28-16
22-26
15-17
17-21
24-18
16-17
21-20
13-22
20-13
20-10
21-31
19-17
14-16
9-11
23-16
19-14
6-20
26-23
18-23
25-24
22-17
28-11
15-27
15-18
14-30
22-20
16-20
22-19
16-22
13-23
22-34
153.5Avg total
75.2Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.477.3149.6-4.936%
Season at home (6)70.777.0147.7-6.350%
Season away (5)74.477.6152.0-3.220%
Last 10 (10)75.278.3153.5-3.150%
Last 5 (5)72.881.0153.8-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)73.383.3156.7-10.017%
vs Similar (9)76.974.7151.6+2.267%
vs Weaker (14)80.675.5156.1+5.171%
This opponent (Cholet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -3.5-3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -3.5-3.5
CholetFos-sur-Mer
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#15
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H16/10
LNB
Poitiers
#22
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/10
French Cup
Limoges
#5
W
55-31
55
31
+24
A23/10
LNB
Roanne
#13
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A29/10
LNB
Le Mans
#9
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H06/11
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A14/11
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#1
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A16/11
French Cup
Nanterre
#10
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H20/11
LNB
Levallois
#3
L
26-59
26
59
-33
A05/12
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#12
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H11/12
LNB
88.2Avg total
41.2Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.343.283.5-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.243.685.8-1.444%-
Last 30 away (14)38.142.780.8-4.636%-
Last 10 (10)41.247.088.2-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.648.283.8-12.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.142.681.7-3.444%-
vs Similar (15)38.944.883.7-5.927%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)45.340.285.5+5.267%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ALS Basket Andrezieux-Boutheon
#27
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H19/10
French Cup
Nanterre
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A23/10
LNB
Dijon
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A26/10
LNB
Le Portel
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H29/10
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A06/11
LNB
Paris
#15
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H12/11
LNB
Strasbourg
#7
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A18/11
LNB
Mulhouse
#12
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H01/12
French Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H04/12
LNB
Levallois
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H10/12
LNB
75.2Avg total
36.1Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.677.5+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.738.777.4-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.138.577.6+0.760%-
Last 10 (10)36.139.175.2-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)34.439.473.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.239.773.8-5.517%-
vs Similar (9)39.237.977.1+1.367%-
vs Weaker (14)40.538.178.6+2.464%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.420.4
48.1%
53.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.5
34.7%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws13.910.4
74.8%
74.1%10.4
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.7
52.4%
53.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.45.9
28.9%
35.7%17.7
🏀 Free throws19.213.9
72.4%
74.1%13.9
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cholet
LLLLLWLWWL
Fos-sur-Mer
LLWLWLWLWW
#8
League position
#16
-16.0
Net rating
-3.0
100.0
Offensive rating
98.8
116.0
Defensive rating
101.8
49.6%
Effective FG%
49.3%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
20.8%
Turnover %
19.3%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.7%
3-point %
28.9%
64.0%
Assist %
71.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 98.8Defence116.0 · 101.8Shooting49.6% · 49.3%3-point %34.7% · 28.9%Ball care20.8% · 19.3%Off. rebounds32.7% · 25.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Cholet   ■ Fos-sur-Mer
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cholet wins
0
Fos-sur-Mer wins
DateGameScore
12/05/19Cholet v Fos-sur-Mer99-83
12/10/18Fos-sur-Mer v Cholet70-77
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/21HGravelines-Dunkerque74-90
05/12/21ALevallois62-97
20/11/21HNanterre71-86
16/11/21APau-Orthez92-99
14/11/21AMonaco59-102
06/11/21HLe Mans94-88
29/10/21ARoanne81-105
23/10/21ALimoges91-79
19/10/21HPoitiers87-77
16/10/21HParis83-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/21HLevallois73-98
04/12/21HLyon-Villeurbanne67-88
01/12/21HMulhouse90-79
18/11/21AStrasbourg69-80
12/11/21HParis65-60
06/11/21APau-Orthez74-76
29/10/21HLe Portel78-76
26/10/21ADijon72-84
23/10/21ANanterre85-74
19/10/21HALS Basket Andrezieux-Boutheon79-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cholet
LNB 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL27%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%20%33%
Points / game77.079.874.7
Allowed / game88.585.890.7
Point differential-11.5-6.0-16.0
Avg total165.5165.6165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fos-sur-Mer
LNB 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game72.470.774.4
Allowed / game77.377.077.6
Point differential-4.9-6.3-3.2
Avg total149.6147.7152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Levallois1211192%89.871.8+18.1
2 Monaco118373%85.379.8+5.5
3 Strasbourg107370%83.178.2+4.9
4 Le Mans128467%85.880.8+5.0
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne127558%83.376.6+6.8
6 Pau-Orthez127558%80.079.8+0.2
7 Gravelines-Dunkerque116555%80.178.2+1.9
8 Roanne126650%85.688.8-3.2
9 Orleans126650%79.784.4-4.8
10 Limoges115645%80.471.4+9.0
11 JL Bourg115645%74.272.5+1.6
12 Nanterre115645%80.584.8-4.3
13 Dijon115645%76.080.5-4.5
14 Fos-sur-Mer114736%72.477.3-4.9
15 Le Portel113827%76.583.1-6.6
16 Paris113827%78.386.9-8.6
17 Cholet113827%77.088.5-11.5
18 Chalons-Reims123925%81.987.4-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cholet2116172579
Fos-sur-Mer2413212583
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