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Pau-Orthez vs Cholet Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 99-92
18-28 23-22 32-19 26-23
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game64.0
vs
Position#20
Record1-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game77.0
FranceFrench Cup
Other2021
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v Cholet
16 May 2023
POR85
CHO81
30 Apr 2022
POR76
CHO87
16 Nov 2021
POR99
CHO92
12 Jun 2021
POR73
CHO62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cholet winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
100-80
100
80
+20
99avg 77
A15/06
LNB
JL Bourg
#11
L
71-79
71
79
-8
78avg 77
H02/10
LNB
Cholet
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
92avg 77
A05/10
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#18
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
H09/10
LNB
Le Mans
#9
W
106-100 OT
106
100
+6
no box
A16/10
LNB
Tours
#25
W
80-64
80
64
+16
no box
A18/10
French Cup
Monaco
#2
L
66-74
66
74
-8
78avg 77
H24/10
LNB
Strasbourg
#7
L
76-82
76
82
-6
82avg 77
A30/10
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
76-74
76
74
+2
86avg 77
H06/11
LNB
Le Portel
#14
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
no box
A12/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
22-15
33-11
25-31
20-19
16-24
20-12
15-24
23-14
16-19
15-17
26-27
24-21
23-16
29-16
16-14
26-17
19-27
16-20
33-30
23-22
21-16
12-11
24-15
17-20
23-21
16-6
10-27
13-15
16-24
23-15
24-28
22-13
13-20
10-20
31-21
15-13
18-20
21-17
22-26
162.6Avg total
84.0Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.064.0144.0+16.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)80.064.0144.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.078.6162.6+5.470%
Last 5 (5)78.276.6154.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.682.7160.3-5.129%
vs Similar (14)80.683.4164.0-2.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.471.3156.8+14.1100%
This opponent (Cholet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#18
W
116-80
116
80
+36
120avg 82
H17/06
LNB
Strasbourg
#7
W
74-73
74
73
+1
86avg 82
A02/10
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#6
L
77-80
77
80
-3
92avg 82
H05/10
LNB
Orleans
#17
L
81-88
81
88
-7
93avg 82
A09/10
LNB
Paris
#15
L
83-85
83
85
-2
99avg 82
H16/10
LNB
Poitiers
#22
W
87-77
87
77
+10
no box
H19/10
French Cup
Limoges
#5
W
91-79
91
79
+12
103avg 82
A23/10
LNB
Roanne
#13
L
81-105
81
105
-24
95avg 82
A29/10
LNB
Le Mans
#9
W
94-88
94
88
+6
112avg 82
H06/11
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
59-102
59
102
-43
68avg 82
A14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
30-17
27-25
30-12
19-14
18-15
14-21
23-23
14-23
19-16
17-15
27-26
18-23
14-22
26-25
23-18
16-31
28-17
25-17
14-20
22-20
16-21
21-18
28-18
27-14
28-17
17-30
19-18
16-37
22-21
18-9
25-38
30-28
29-23
19-19
16-18
25-24
9-27
13-30
12-21
170.0Avg total
84.3Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.077.0164.0+10.0100%
Season at home (1)87.077.0164.0+10.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.385.7170.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)82.490.2172.6-7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.186.7161.9-11.643%
vs Similar (16)82.186.5168.6-4.419%
vs Weaker (7)92.180.4172.6+11.771%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
Pau-OrthezCholet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A15/06
LNB
JL Bourg
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H02/10
LNB
Cholet
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A05/10
LNB
Chalons-Reims
#18
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H09/10
LNB
Le Mans
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A16/10
LNB
Tours
#25
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A18/10
French Cup
Monaco
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H24/10
LNB
Strasbourg
#7
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A30/10
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H06/11
LNB
Le Portel
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A12/11
LNB
76.9Avg total
39.0Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.378.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.936.776.5+3.260%-
Last 30 away (15)39.539.979.4-0.553%-
Last 10 (10)39.037.976.9+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.236.873.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.639.479.0+0.129%-
vs Similar (14)39.539.579.0+0.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.035.675.6+4.478%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#18
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H17/06
LNB
Strasbourg
#7
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A02/10
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H05/10
LNB
Orleans
#17
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A09/10
LNB
Paris
#15
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H16/10
LNB
Poitiers
#22
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/10
French Cup
Limoges
#5
W
55-31
55
31
+24
A23/10
LNB
Roanne
#13
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A29/10
LNB
Le Mans
#9
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H06/11
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A14/11
LNB
86.5Avg total
42.9Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.484.1-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.043.986.9-0.944%-
Last 30 away (14)40.240.680.8-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.686.5-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.846.491.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.440.479.9-1.043%-
vs Similar (16)40.144.985.1-4.831%-
vs Weaker (7)47.638.486.0+9.171%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
45%
31%
23%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.8
53.9%
53.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.7
37.0%
34.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.813.6
81.0%
77.5%13.6
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
45%
31%
23%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.622.5
52.8%
53.0%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.3
34.6%
34.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.713.3
75.1%
77.5%13.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
WWLLWWWWLW
Cholet
LWLWWLLLWW
#1
League position
#20
+8.2
Net rating
-4.3
110.6
Offensive rating
108.9
102.4
Defensive rating
113.3
54.7%
Effective FG%
52.5%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
19.3%
Turnover %
18.2%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.0%
3-point %
34.6%
68.1%
Assist %
61.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 108.9Defence102.4 · 113.3Shooting54.7% · 52.5%3-point %37.0% · 34.6%Ball care19.3% · 18.2%Off. rebounds29.8% · 32.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ Cholet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pau-Orthez wins
0
Cholet wins
DateGameScore
05/10/21Cholet v Pau-Orthez77-80
12/06/21Pau-Orthez v Cholet73-62
09/05/21Cholet v Pau-Orthez75-78
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/21ALe Portel93-89 OT
06/11/21HFos-sur-Mer76-74
30/10/21AStrasbourg76-82
24/10/21HMonaco66-74
18/10/21ATours80-64
16/10/21ALe Mans106-100 OT
09/10/21HChalons-Reims92-67
05/10/21ACholet80-77
02/10/21HJL Bourg71-79
15/06/21AGravelines-Dunkerque100-80
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/21AMonaco59-102
06/11/21HLe Mans94-88
29/10/21ARoanne81-105
23/10/21ALimoges91-79
19/10/21HPoitiers87-77
16/10/21HParis83-85
09/10/21AOrleans81-88
05/10/21HPau-Orthez77-80
02/10/21AStrasbourg74-73
17/06/21HBoulazac116-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
French Cup 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game80.0-80.0
Allowed / game64.0-64.0
Point differential+16.0-+16.0
Avg total144.0-144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Cholet
French Cup 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game87.087.0-
Allowed / game77.077.0-
Point differential+10.0+10.0-
Avg total164.0164.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gravelines-Dunkerque110100%98.064.0+34.0
2 Limoges110100%84.061.0+23.0
3 Paris220100%100.580.5+20.0
4 Nancy220100%77.061.0+16.0
5 Pau-Orthez110100%80.064.0+16.0
6 Evreux220100%76.060.5+15.5
7 Ada Blois220100%78.567.0+11.5
8 Boulazac220100%80.570.5+10.0
9 Chalons-Reims110100%81.071.0+10.0
10 Cholet110100%87.077.0+10.0
11 Chartres220100%72.062.5+9.5
12 Mulhouse220100%83.074.0+9.0
13 Fos-sur-Mer220100%80.572.0+8.5
14 Saint Quentin220100%88.580.0+8.5
15 Vichy220100%84.081.5+2.5
16 Roanne110100%91.090.0+1.0
17 Aix Maurienne21150%92.575.5+17.0
18 Quimper21150%69.560.5+9.0
19 Antibes21150%80.073.0+7.0
20 Orchies21150%64.063.0+1.0
21 Poitiers21150%80.579.5+1.0
22 Lille21150%78.578.5+0.0
23 Tours21150%71.071.5-0.5
24 ALS Basket Andrezieux-Boutheon21150%71.573.5-2.0
25 St. Chamond21150%76.078.0-2.0
26 Dax-Gamarde21150%72.575.0-2.5
27 Nantes21150%67.071.5-4.5
28 Rueil21150%65.069.5-4.5
29 Rouen21150%83.592.0-8.5
30 Denain-Voltaire21150%69.082.5-13.5
31 Le Portel1010%74.075.0-1.0
32 Chalon/Saone1010%80.082.0-2.0
33 Boulogne sur Mer1010%75.078.0-3.0
34 Centre Federal1010%64.068.0-4.0
35 Bordeaux1010%70.076.0-6.0
36 Saint Vallier1010%76.082.0-6.0
37 ASA1010%67.074.0-7.0
38 Besancon1010%68.075.0-7.0
39 Nanterre1010%77.085.0-8.0
40 CEP Lorient1010%77.086.0-9.0
41 Cergy1010%71.080.0-9.0
42 Vosges1010%83.092.0-9.0
43 Kaysersberg1010%76.086.0-10.0
44 Pont de Cheruy1010%68.079.0-11.0
45 Challans1010%72.084.0-12.0
46 Tarbes1010%65.077.0-12.0
47 Angers1010%80.094.0-14.0
48 Le Havre1010%65.079.0-14.0
49 Toulouse1010%59.073.0-14.0
50 La Rochelle1010%78.093.0-15.0
51 Les Sables1010%63.078.0-15.0
52 Lyonso1010%60.077.0-17.0
53 Rennes1010%51.069.0-18.0
54 Caen1010%53.076.0-23.0
55 Aurore1010%61.090.0-29.0
56 Avignon Le Pontet1010%60.095.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 56 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pau-Orthez1823322699
Cholet2822192392
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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