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Neptunas vs JL Bourg Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 93-89
32-14 19-29 17-24 25-22
Position#26
Record0-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#24
Record0-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game86.5
EuropeEurocupRound 3· Svyturio Arena
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
JL Bourg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
L
68-80
68
80
-12
60avg 82
A08/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
66-63
66
63
+3
56avg 82
H11/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
91-82
91
82
+9
93avg 82
A13/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-93
69
93
-24
56avg 82
H20/09
LKL
Juventus
#8
W
99-84
99
84
+15
97avg 82
H23/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 82
A26/09
LKL
Trento
#27
L
73-76
73
76
-3
66avg 82
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
89-62
89
62
+27
92avg 82
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#13
L
84-93
84
93
-9
76avg 82
A07/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 82
A10/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
13-13
13-25
14-24
15-24
25-13
10-15
16-11
28-26
22-16
20-22
21-18
18-20
16-20
17-21
18-32
18-16
31-20
28-20
22-28
24-18
20-16
27-24
7-29
15-21
21-15
15-23
22-17
34-10
21-12
14-19
20-21
15-31
24-26
27-18
18-18
22-18
18-22
21-27
16-19
160.0Avg total
79.4Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.584.5163.0-6.00%
Season at home (1)73.076.0149.0-3.00%
Season away (1)84.093.0177.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)79.480.6160.0-1.240%
Last 5 (5)80.280.8161.0-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.093.0174.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.381.7164.0+0.545%
vs Weaker (16)89.685.9175.5+3.650%
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JL BourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBourg
Date
Competition
Dijon
#11
L
83-101
83
101
-18
76avg 78
A09/05
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
95-78
95
78
+17
92avg 78
H16/05
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
91-71
91
71
+20
86avg 78
H20/05
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
62avg 78
A25/05
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
103-114
103
114
-11
87avg 78
H27/05
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
L
103-106 OT
103
106
-3
95avg 78
A26/09
LNB
Basket Napoli
#2
L
76-84
76
84
-8
64avg 78
A30/09
Eurocup
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
90-77
90
77
+13
80avg 78
H03/10
LNB
Tofas
#6
L
82-89
82
89
-7
69avg 78
H06/10
Eurocup
Boulazac
#10
L
73-84
73
84
-11
58avg 78
A10/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
21-33
19-25
21-20
23-19
24-19
24-22
24-18
29-19
23-24
21-12
18-16
13-22
19-15
17-19
26-25
22-32
27-33
27-21
27-28
26-21
28-26
23-17
17-30
17-19
20-28
13-18
26-19
30-11
27-22
17-22
16-22
21-18
19-31
24-18
18-22
14-19
28-15
15-28
16-22
175.6Avg total
87.1Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.086.5165.5-7.50%
Season at home (1)82.089.0171.0-7.00%
Season away (1)76.084.0160.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)87.188.5175.6-1.430%
Last 5 (5)84.888.0172.8-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.483.0166.4+0.462%
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.590.2176.8-3.731%
vs Weaker (9)86.775.6162.2+11.178%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
NeptunasJL Bourg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A08/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H11/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A13/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H20/09
LKL
Juventus
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H23/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A26/09
LKL
Trento
#27
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
55-22
55
22
+33
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#13
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A07/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/10
LKL
80.3Avg total
42.8Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.441.787.1+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.142.289.4+4.959%-
Last 30 away (13)43.141.084.1+2.154%-
Last 10 (10)42.837.580.3+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.880.6+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.050.391.3-9.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.537.881.3+5.664%-
vs Weaker (16)47.542.890.2+4.862%-
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JL BourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dijon
#11
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A09/05
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H16/05
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H20/05
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A25/05
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
49-65
49
65
-16
H27/05
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A26/09
LNB
Basket Napoli
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A30/09
Eurocup
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H03/10
LNB
Tofas
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H06/10
Eurocup
Boulazac
#10
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A10/10
LNB
90.2Avg total
45.3Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.483.7+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.241.786.9+3.569%-
Last 30 away (14)39.141.080.1-1.943%-
Last 10 (10)45.344.990.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)46.042.088.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.643.082.6-3.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.545.388.8-1.846%-
vs Weaker (9)43.034.277.2+8.889%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.7
51.0%
54.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.2
33.2%
34.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.216.7
75.2%
75.6%16.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
JL Bourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

JL Bourg: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.7
52.0%
54.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.9
33.0%
34.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws28.820.9
72.6%
75.6%20.9
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLWLLWLWWL
JL Bourg
LLWLLLLWWL
#26
League position
#24
-1.9
Net rating
-1.7
93.4
Offensive rating
95.7
95.3
Defensive rating
97.4
50.5%
Effective FG%
50.9%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.44
33.2%
3-point %
33.0%
63.6%
Assist %
52.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence93.4 · 95.7Defence95.3 · 97.4Shooting50.5% · 50.9%3-point %33.2% · 33.0%Ball care15.5% · 15.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Neptunas   ■ JL Bourg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
0
JL Bourg wins
No previous meetings.
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26ARytas77-86
07/10/26AChemnitz84-93
03/10/26HNevezis89-62
29/09/26HTrento73-76
26/09/26AGargzdai78-87
23/09/26HJuventus99-84
20/09/26HZalgiris Kaunas69-93
13/06/26ALietkabelis91-82
11/06/26HLietkabelis66-63
08/06/26ALietkabelis68-80
JL Bourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26ABoulazac73-84
06/10/26HTofas82-89
03/10/26HChalon/Saone90-77
30/09/26ABasket Napoli76-84
26/09/26ASaint Quentin103-106 OT
27/05/26HMonaco103-114
25/05/26AMonaco75-81
20/05/26HStrasbourg91-71
16/05/26HGravelines-Dunkerque95-78
09/05/26ADijon83-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.573.084.0
Allowed / game84.576.093.0
Point differential-6.0-3.0-9.0
Avg total163.0149.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
JL Bourg
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game79.082.076.0
Allowed / game86.589.084.0
Point differential-7.5-7.0-8.0
Avg total165.5171.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.220100%96.069.0+27.0
2 Hapoel Jerusalem220100%84.568.5+16.0
3 Aris220100%90.077.0+13.0
4 Basket Napoli220100%88.575.5+13.0
5 Tofas220100%85.575.5+10.0
6 PAOK220100%84.075.0+9.0
7 Venezia21150%98.085.0+13.0
8 Maxima Roma21150%83.073.5+9.5
9 London Lions21150%80.075.5+4.5
10 Turk Telekom21150%83.579.5+4.0
11 Buducnost21150%87.084.0+3.0
12 Tortona21150%86.584.5+2.0
13 Ulm21150%93.592.5+1.0
14 Rigas Zelli21150%86.085.5+0.5
15 Lietkabelis21150%81.082.0-1.0
16 Manresa21150%89.591.0-1.5
17 Chemnitz21150%81.083.0-2.0
18 Siauliai21150%72.575.0-2.5
19 Tenerife21150%79.582.0-2.5
20 BC Roma21150%85.089.0-4.0
21 San Pablo Burgos21150%82.587.0-4.5
22 Trento21150%78.583.5-5.0
23 Slask Wroclaw21150%84.590.0-5.5
24 Rostock21150%80.090.0-10.0
25 Frankfurt21150%75.587.5-12.0
26 Cluj-Napoca21150%76.590.5-14.0
27 KK Bosna2020%72.075.0-3.0
28 Neptunas2020%78.584.5-6.0
29 Cedevita Olimpija2020%72.580.0-7.5
30 JL Bourg2020%79.086.5-7.5
31 Le Mans2020%78.588.0-9.5
32 Balkan2020%72.099.5-27.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas3219172593
JL Bourg1429242289
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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