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Cholet vs La Rochelle Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 83-77
25-27 17-14 18-28 23-8
Position#4
Record16-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game79.9
Cholet 🏆
France
vs
La Rochelle
France
Position#16
Record3-18
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game84.2
FranceLNBRound 22· La Meilleraie
Domestic2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cholet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
La Rochelle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CholetFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#12
W
105-75
105
75
+30
132avg 90
H02/02
LNB
Sassari
#11
W
78-75
78
75
+3
74avg 90
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
73-70
73
70
+3
84avg 90
A07/02
LNB
Nanterre
#50
W
97-84
97
84
+13
99avg 90
A11/02
French Cup
Le Mans
#1
L
91-93
91
93
-2
103avg 90
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Le Mans
#2
L
82-101
82
101
-19
71avg 90
A26/02
French Cup
Monaco
#2
L
84-95
84
95
-11
98avg 90
H02/03
LNB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
83-83
83
83
+0
83avg 90
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#8
W
93-67
93
67
+26
104avg 90
A08/03
LNB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
90-71
90
71
+19
97avg 90
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-13
29-27
21-17
22-18
24-19
19-18
20-19
15-19
11-27
16-11
28-18
18-14
21-22
33-21
24-24
19-17
12-26
29-19
26-24
24-24
23-23
17-30
18-31
24-17
31-18
12-25
20-24
21-28
26-29
19-14
19-22
19-18
27-9
22-23
18-20
26-15
23-16
22-14
17-18
28-23
169.0Avg total
87.6Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.979.9166.8+7.076%
Season at home (11)89.081.0170.0+8.073%
Season away (10)84.578.7163.2+5.880%
Last 10 (10)87.681.4169.0+6.260%
Last 5 (5)86.483.4169.8+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.095.3176.3-14.30%
vs Similar (8)87.585.1172.6+2.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.975.5163.4+12.494%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#12
L
71-78
71
78
-7
87avg 83
H13/12
LNB
Le Mans
#5
L
71-81
71
81
-10
86avg 83
A21/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
75-79
75
79
-4
100avg 83
H05/01
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
L
62-65
62
65
-3
68avg 83
A11/01
LNB
Paris
#1
L
73-90
73
90
-17
84avg 83
H19/01
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
68-94
68
94
-26
76avg 83
A25/01
LNB
Dijon
#8
W
92-90
92
90
+2
108avg 83
H01/02
LNB
Le Portel
#15
W
96-73
96
73
+23
109avg 83
H08/02
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
75-105
75
105
-30
89avg 83
A02/03
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
L
77-86
77
86
-9
85avg 83
H09/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
16-26
17-11
18-24
23-13
9-29
15-16
24-23
18-18
17-10
14-31
26-20
15-13
11-18
20-19
16-15
16-38
20-13
14-28
23-11
27-18
18-28
11-17
12-31
19-24
25-23
23-15
25-28
26-16
21-19
23-18
26-20
14-27
18-31
23-27
20-20
22-28
23-10
18-31
14-17
160.1Avg total
76.0Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.684.2156.8-11.714%
Season at home (11)76.085.5161.5-9.518%
Season away (10)68.882.9151.7-14.110%
Last 10 (10)76.084.1160.1-8.120%
Last 5 (5)81.689.6171.2-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)72.585.0157.4-12.514%
vs Similar (2)79.078.0157.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (7)71.162.1133.3+9.086%
This opponent (Cholet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
CholetLa Rochelle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#12
W
62-40
62
40
+22
H02/02
LNB
Sassari
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A07/02
LNB
Nanterre
#50
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A11/02
French Cup
Le Mans
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Le Mans
#2
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A26/02
French Cup
Monaco
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H02/03
LNB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A08/03
LNB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
85.3Avg total
44.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.540.184.6+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.740.785.4+4.057%-
Last 30 away (16)44.239.683.9+4.675%-
Last 10 (10)44.940.485.3+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.284.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.745.388.0-2.733%-
vs Similar (8)43.942.186.0+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.737.882.5+6.982%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#12
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H13/12
LNB
Le Mans
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A21/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H05/01
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A11/01
LNB
Paris
#1
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H19/01
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A25/01
LNB
Dijon
#8
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H01/02
LNB
Le Portel
#15
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H08/02
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
32-58
32
58
-26
A02/03
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/03
LNB
79.7Avg total
37.8Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.240.377.4-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.739.577.3-1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)36.641.077.6-4.433%-
Last 10 (10)37.841.979.7-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.887.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.843.880.6-7.024%-
vs Similar (2)40.039.579.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (7)37.429.967.3+7.6100%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.9
59.9%
54.3%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.8
39.0%
35.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.815.2
69.7%
74.9%15.2
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.3
53.5%
54.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.1
35.4%
35.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.014.5
72.5%
74.9%14.5
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cholet
WWLLLLWWWW
La Rochelle
LLWWLLLLLL
#4
League position
#16
+7.3
Net rating
-10.4
112.9
Offensive rating
101.8
105.6
Defensive rating
112.2
59.3%
Effective FG%
53.3%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
19.7%
Turnover %
19.6%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
20.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.35
39.0%
3-point %
35.4%
73.9%
Assist %
81.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 101.8Defence105.6 · 112.2Shooting59.3% · 53.3%3-point %39.0% · 35.4%Ball care19.7% · 19.6%Off. rebounds26.7% · 20.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Cholet   ■ La Rochelle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cholet wins
0
La Rochelle wins
DateGameScore
27/09/24La Rochelle v Cholet64-78
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25HBasket Zaragoza90-71
08/03/25ADijon93-67
05/03/25ABasket Zaragoza83-83
02/03/25HMonaco84-95
26/02/25ALe Mans82-101
14/02/25HLe Mans91-93
11/02/25ANanterre97-84
07/02/25AGravelines-Dunkerque73-70
05/02/25ASassari78-75
02/02/25HStrasbourg105-75
La Rochellelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HChalon/Saone77-86
02/03/25ALyon-Villeurbanne75-105
08/02/25HLe Portel96-73
01/02/25HDijon92-90
25/01/25AGravelines-Dunkerque68-94
19/01/25HParis73-90
11/01/25AChalon/Saone62-65
05/01/25HLyon-Villeurbanne75-79
21/12/24ALe Mans71-81
13/12/24HStrasbourg71-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cholet
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW76%
HomeWLWWL73%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %76%73%80%
Points / game86.989.084.5
Allowed / game79.981.078.7
Point differential+7.0+8.0+5.8
Avg total166.8170.0163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%64%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
La Rochelle
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL14%
HomeLLWWL18%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %14%18%10%
Points / game72.676.068.8
Allowed / game84.285.582.9
Point differential-11.7-9.5-14.1
Avg total156.8161.5151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco2117481%88.877.3+11.5
2 Cholet2116576%86.979.9+7.0
3 Paris2216673%93.085.1+8.0
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne2115671%89.081.8+7.2
5 JL Bourg2215768%88.982.3+6.6
6 Le Mans22121055%85.782.7+3.0
7 Saint Quentin21111052%78.079.3-1.4
8 Nancy21101148%85.788.7-3.0
9 Dijon22101245%84.085.3-1.3
10 Chalon/Saone2191243%83.387.5-4.1
11 Nanterre2181338%84.886.3-1.6
12 Strasbourg2281436%80.584.9-4.4
13 Limoges2281436%79.785.0-5.3
14 Gravelines-Dunkerque2171433%77.181.7-4.5
15 Le Portel2161529%73.179.5-6.4
16 La Rochelle2131814%72.684.2-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cholet2517182383
La Rochelle271428877
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