PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

La Rochelle vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 73-90
16-38 20-13 14-28 23-11
Position#16
Record1-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game82.1
La Rochelle
France
vs
Paris 🏆
France
Position#1
Record11-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game85.8
FranceLNBRound 16· Salle Gaston Neveur
Domestic2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

La Rochelle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#15
L
62-83
62
83
-21
71avg 83
A01/11
LNB
JL Bourg
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
90avg 83
H09/11
LNB
Nanterre
#13
L
77-98
77
98
-21
89avg 83
H15/11
LNB
Roanne
#5
L
75-93
75
93
-18
70avg 83
A26/11
French Cup
Limoges
#14
L
62-83
62
83
-21
72avg 83
A30/11
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
76-88
76
88
-12
90avg 83
H08/12
LNB
Strasbourg
#12
L
71-78
71
78
-7
87avg 83
H13/12
LNB
Le Mans
#5
L
71-81
71
81
-10
86avg 83
A21/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
75-79
75
79
-4
100avg 83
H05/01
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
L
62-65
62
65
-3
68avg 83
A11/01
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
17-21
16-17
13-22
20-22
20-30
17-19
21-15
17-22
25-19
20-29
15-28
17-22
26-18
22-24
10-29
16-25
19-19
18-18
9-21
16-31
24-19
13-18
23-20
20-17
16-26
17-11
18-24
23-13
9-29
15-16
24-23
18-18
17-10
14-31
26-20
15-13
11-18
20-19
16-15
154.3Avg total
70.9Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)69.582.1151.6-12.57%
Season at home (7)71.185.9157.0-14.70%
Season away (8)68.178.8146.9-10.612%
Last 10 (10)70.983.4154.3-12.50%
Last 5 (5)71.078.2149.2-7.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)71.182.4153.5-11.412%
vs Similar (2)74.578.5153.0-4.050%
vs Weaker (12)71.165.7136.8+5.467%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#8
L
85-96
85
96
-11
65avg 90
H17/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
92-98
92
98
-6
104avg 90
A22/12
LNB
Limoges
#14
W
96-88
96
88
+8
102avg 90
H23/12
LNB
Baskonia
#14
L
81-94
81
94
-13
69avg 90
A27/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
79-90
79
90
-11
63avg 90
H03/01
Euroleague
Pau-Orthez
#8
W
107-78
107
78
+29
no box
A07/01
French Cup
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
69-85
69
85
-16
50avg 90
A10/01
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#6
W
98-89
98
89
+9
110avg 90
H12/01
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
88-84
88
84
+4
75avg 90
H14/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
96-83
96
83
+13
93avg 90
H16/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
31-26
19-18
18-26
26-24
22-29
15-19
29-26
23-16
17-29
28-23
28-20
26-28
31-13
15-23
9-30
19-25
17-15
19-25
24-25
32-35
27-18
31-14
17-11
25-15
14-24
13-18
17-28
24-21
26-32
28-18
20-18
19-13
18-26
22-20
29-25
26-11
23-22
23-23
24-27
177.6Avg total
89.1Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)95.285.8181.0+9.473%
Season at home (7)101.787.6189.3+14.1100%
Season away (8)89.584.2173.8+5.250%
Last 10 (10)89.188.5177.6+0.650%
Last 5 (5)91.683.8175.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.090.0186.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (14)87.187.4174.5-0.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)94.683.5178.1+11.180%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
La RochelleParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#15
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A01/11
LNB
JL Bourg
#6
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H09/11
LNB
Nanterre
#13
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H15/11
LNB
Roanne
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A26/11
French Cup
Limoges
#14
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A30/11
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H08/12
LNB
Strasbourg
#12
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H13/12
LNB
Le Mans
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A21/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H05/01
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A11/01
LNB
77.7Avg total
36.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.637.974.5-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.037.875.8+0.264%-
Last 30 away (16)35.438.073.4-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)36.241.577.7-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)33.838.872.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.742.578.2-6.825%-
vs Similar (2)40.541.582.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (12)37.231.268.4+6.183%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#8
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H17/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A22/12
LNB
Limoges
#14
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H23/12
LNB
Baskonia
#14
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A27/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H03/01
Euroleague
Pau-Orthez
#8
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A07/01
French Cup
Crvena zvezda
#10
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A10/01
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#6
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H12/01
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H14/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H16/01
Euroleague
91.1Avg total
46.3Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.042.687.6+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.740.685.3+4.157%-
Last 30 away (16)45.244.389.6+0.944%-
Last 10 (10)46.344.891.1+1.530%-
Last 5 (5)46.843.490.2+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.044.093.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (14)43.043.186.1-0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)46.642.088.6+4.653%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.2
50.7%
54.3%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.6
31.0%
35.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.312.9
74.6%
74.9%12.9
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.1
51.5%
54.3%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.3
33.8%
35.3%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.216.2
80.2%
74.9%16.2
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
La Rochelle
LLLLLLLLLL
Paris
WWWLWLLWLL
#16
League position
#1
-17.0
Net rating
+1.3
95.3
Offensive rating
115.8
112.2
Defensive rating
114.5
49.0%
Effective FG%
51.1%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
19.8%
Turnover %
12.8%
20.2%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.0%
3-point %
33.8%
84.3%
Assist %
56.2%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 115.8Defence112.2 · 114.5Shooting49.0% · 51.1%3-point %31.0% · 33.8%Ball care19.8% · 12.8%Off. rebounds20.2% · 31.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)0% · 50%
■ La Rochelle   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
La Rochelle wins
1
Paris wins
DateGameScore
06/10/24Paris v La Rochelle84-75
La Rochellelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25AChalon/Saone62-65
05/01/25HLyon-Villeurbanne75-79
21/12/24ALe Mans71-81
13/12/24HStrasbourg71-78
08/12/24HGravelines-Dunkerque76-88
30/11/24ALimoges62-83
26/11/24ARoanne75-93
15/11/24HNanterre77-98
09/11/24HJL Bourg78-86
01/11/24ALe Portel62-83
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv96-83
14/01/25HAnadolu Efes88-84
12/01/25HJL Bourg98-89
10/01/25ACrvena zvezda69-85
07/01/25APau-Orthez107-78
03/01/25HBarcelona79-90
27/12/24ABaskonia81-94
23/12/24HLimoges96-88
22/12/24ALyon-Villeurbanne92-98
17/12/24HReal Madrid85-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

La Rochelle
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL7%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %7%0%12%
Points / game69.571.168.1
Allowed / game82.185.978.8
Point differential-12.5-14.7-10.6
Avg total151.6157.0146.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paris
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %73%100%50%
Points / game95.2101.789.5
Allowed / game85.887.684.2
Point differential+9.4+14.1+5.2
Avg total181.0189.3173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%43%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cholet1613381%87.080.1+6.9
2 Paris1511473%95.285.8+9.4
3 Monaco1511473%86.277.7+8.5
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne1511473%87.681.3+6.3
5 JL Bourg1610662%88.082.2+5.8
6 Le Mans1610662%85.181.9+3.2
7 Saint Quentin169756%79.279.7-0.5
8 Nancy157847%83.786.7-3.0
9 Dijon167944%84.686.3-1.7
10 Strasbourg167944%82.484.4-1.9
11 Chalon/Saone167944%82.786.0-3.3
12 Gravelines-Dunkerque156940%76.780.5-3.8
13 Nanterre1661038%85.886.8-1.0
14 Limoges1651131%79.283.8-4.6
15 Le Portel1641225%73.180.4-7.4
16 La Rochelle151147%69.582.1-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
La Rochelle1620142373
Paris3813281190
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.