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Cimarrones del Choco vs Caimanes del Llano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 74-72
20-19 13-22 21-16 20-15
Position#7
Record4-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game90.7
vs
Position#2
Record21-12
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game73.7
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo El Jardin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cimarrones del Choco v Caimanes del Llano
24 Oct 2025
CIMA74
CAIM72
23 Oct 2025
CIMA46
CAIM79
09 Jun 2025
CIMA44
CAIM97
08 Jun 2025
CIMA62
CAIM77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cimarrones del Choco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caimanes del Llano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
62-76
62
76
-14
51avg 67
A18/06
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
30-75
30
75
-45
25avg 67
A21/06
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
89-99
89
99
-10
77avg 67
A22/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
52-71
52
71
-19
35avg 67
A14/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
95-105
95
105
-10
79avg 67
A15/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
45-76
45
76
-31
30avg 67
A18/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
85-118
85
118
-33
67avg 67
A18/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
57-71
57
71
-14
41avg 67
H20/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
67-80
67
80
-13
57avg 67
H21/10
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
46-79
46
79
-33
26avg 67
H24/10
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
15-25
11-14
15-11
2-14
13-19
6-19
9-23
24-24
19-24
17-21
29-30
20-18
19-20
6-19
7-14
18-19
17-32
33-32
27-22
6-13
16-22
15-19
8-22
23-29
18-33
13-35
31-21
20-24
10-16
6-16
21-15
17-17
12-18
23-13
15-32
11-22
11-18
17-16
7-23
147.8Avg total
62.8Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)73.090.7163.8-17.715%
Season at home (11)72.685.2157.8-12.527%
Season away (16)73.394.6167.9-21.26%
Last 10 (10)62.885.0147.8-22.20%
Last 5 (5)60.084.8144.8-24.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)72.789.7162.3-17.013%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caimanes del Llano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caimanes del LlanoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlano
Date
Competition
Toros del Valle
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
58avg 70
A06/07
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
89-65
89
65
+24
85avg 70
H10/07
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
95-104
95
104
-9
75avg 70
A13/07
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
80-85 OT
80
85
-5
66avg 70
A13/07
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
71-91
71
91
-20
55avg 70
H17/07
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
80-85
80
85
-5
70avg 70
A11/10
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
86-93
86
93
-7
68avg 70
A11/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
73-70
73
70
+3
71avg 70
H16/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
78-65
78
65
+13
74avg 70
H16/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
79-46
79
46
+33
82avg 70
A24/10
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
15-20
17-14
28-21
24-22
16-15
19-18
30-10
21-26
20-25
21-27
33-26
18-19
18-8
10-18
21-22
9-28
28-13
17-21
17-29
9-20
25-23
20-19
26-23
26-20
30-21
11-24
19-28
21-16
17-20
14-17
21-17
10-15
23-13
20-20
25-17
22-11
18-11
16-17
23-7
160.1Avg total
81.1Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.573.7153.3+5.864%
Season at home (16)78.570.4148.9+8.175%
Season away (17)80.576.9157.4+3.653%
Last 10 (10)81.179.0160.1+2.140%
Last 5 (5)79.271.8151.0+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.491.6174.0-9.20%
vs Similar (11)77.674.8152.5+2.855%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)79.866.0145.8+13.886%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -7.7-7.7Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +4.3+4.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -7.7-7.7Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +4.3+4.3
Cimarrones del ChocoCaimanes del Llano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A18/06
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
15-33
15
33
-18
A21/06
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A22/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A14/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A15/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A18/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A18/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H20/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H21/10
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H24/10
LBP
74.5Avg total
31.2Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.845.382.1-8.427%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.543.779.3-8.218%-
Last 30 away (19)37.646.283.7-8.632%-
Last 10 (10)31.243.374.5-12.110%-
Last 5 (5)28.842.471.2-13.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)36.845.382.1-8.427%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caimanes del Llano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caimanes del LlanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toros del Valle
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A06/07
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H10/07
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A13/07
LBP
Paisas
#1
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A13/07
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H17/07
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A11/10
LBP
Paisas
#1
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A11/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H16/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H16/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A24/10
LBP
76.7Avg total
39.0Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.635.273.8+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.533.168.6+2.573%-
Last 30 away (15)41.637.479.0+4.260%-
Last 10 (10)39.037.776.7+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.234.074.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.840.681.4+0.240%-
vs Similar (11)35.637.673.3-2.045%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.131.471.5+8.693%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 61.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.116.0
42.0%
49.3%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.56.3
22.9%
30.7%18.9
🏀 Free throws16.710.7
64.1%
67.7%10.7
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caimanes del Llanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caimanes del Llano: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.3
49.6%
49.3%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.5
29.2%
30.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.814.4
72.7%
67.7%14.4
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cimarrones del Choco
LLLLLLLLLL
Caimanes del Llano
WWWLLLLLWL
#7
League position
#2
-29.5
Net rating
+2.7
79.0
Offensive rating
103.1
108.4
Defensive rating
100.5
38.8%
Effective FG%
47.2%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
44.7%
22.3%
Turnover %
16.9%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
22.9%
3-point %
29.2%
43.5%
Assist %
52.1%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence79.0 · 103.1Defence108.4 · 100.5Shooting38.8% · 47.2%3-point %22.9% · 29.2%Ball care22.3% · 16.9%Off. rebounds26.9% · 32.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)0% · 40%
■ Cimarrones del Choco   ■ Caimanes del Llano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cimarrones del Choco wins
5
Caimanes del Llano wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/25HCaimanes del Llano46-79
21/10/25HSabios de Manizales67-80
20/10/25HSabios de Manizales57-71
18/10/25AToros del Valle85-118
18/10/25AToros del Valle45-76
15/10/25ACaribbean Storm Islands95-105
14/10/25ACaribbean Storm Islands52-71
22/06/25ACaimanes del Llano89-99
21/06/25ACaimanes del Llano30-75
18/06/25ACaribbean Storm Islands62-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/25ACimarrones del Choco79-46
16/10/25HMotilones del Norte78-65
16/10/25HMotilones del Norte73-70
11/10/25APaisas86-93
11/10/25APaisas80-85
17/07/25HPaisas71-91
13/07/25APaisas80-85 OT
13/07/25APaisas95-104
10/07/25HToros del Valle89-65
06/07/25AToros del Valle80-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayLLLLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271116
Win %15%27%6%
Points / game73.072.673.3
Allowed / game90.785.294.6
Point differential-17.7-12.5-21.2
Avg total163.8157.8167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Caimanes del Llano
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLLLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %64%75%53%
Points / game79.578.580.5
Allowed / game73.770.476.9
Point differential+5.8+8.1+3.6
Avg total153.3148.9157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)50% (2)71% (7)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paisas3124777%87.578.5+8.9
2 Caimanes del Llano33211264%79.573.7+5.8
3 Toros del Valle33201361%80.275.7+4.5
4 Caribbean Storm Islands33181555%82.079.0+3.0
5 Motilones del Norte27131448%75.276.4-1.2
6 Sabios de Manizales28121643%76.678.5-1.9
7 Piratas de Bogota2041620%74.682.1-7.5
8 Cimarrones del Choco2742315%73.090.7-17.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cimarrones del Choco2013212074
Caimanes del Llano1922161572
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