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Cimarrones del Choco vs Tigrillos de Antioqui Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 80-75
18-18 14-21 21-16 27-20
Position#7
Record5-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game74.1
vs
Position#8
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game60.3
Allowed / game71.0
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo El Jardin (Quibdo)
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cimarrones del Choco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tigrillos de Antioqui winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Sabios de Manizales
#10
L
83-91
83
91
-8
75avg 54
A30/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
106-89
106
89
+17
108avg 54
A31/05
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
73-99
73
99
-26
45avg 54
A07/06
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
67-69
67
69
-2
59avg 54
A09/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
68avg 54
H11/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
59-67
59
67
-8
37avg 54
A16/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
86-94
86
94
-8
67avg 54
A17/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
58avg 54
A27/09
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
46-80
46
80
-34
34avg 54
H29/09
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
75-97
75
97
-22
60avg 54
A30/09
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
15-20
28-20
18-26
18-14
32-20
24-21
32-34
15-35
27-25
14-23
17-16
16-18
16-16
16-22
19-13
15-11
14-28
16-14
36-21
14-18
8-19
15-15
22-15
15-29
25-26
25-14
21-25
25-13
21-23
14-23
12-21
7-21
12-28
14-17
13-14
19-30
21-20
22-23
13-24
158.8Avg total
74.8Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)67.074.1141.1-7.128%
Season at home (8)61.566.1127.6-4.650%
Season away (10)71.480.4151.8-9.010%
Last 10 (10)74.884.0158.8-9.220%
Last 5 (5)67.683.6151.2-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)62.174.7136.8-12.615%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (17)78.967.4146.4+11.571%
This opponent (Tigrillos de Antioqui) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tigrillos de AntioquiColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAntioqui
Date
Competition
Bucaros
#6
L
81-87
81
87
-6
no box
A13/10
LBP
Bucaros
#6
L
69-87
69
87
-18
no box
A15/10
LBP
Dep. San Jose
#3
L
62-124
62
124
-62
no box
H23/10
South American League
Sao Paulo
#9
L
65-107
65
107
-42
no box
A24/10
South American League
Unifacisa
#8
L
64-99
64
99
-35
no box
A24/10
South American League
Corsarios Cartagena
#7
L
50-77
50
77
-27
no box
H29/10
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#7
L
66-83
66
83
-17
no box
H30/10
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
52-74
52
74
-22
35avg 47
A25/09
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
51-88
51
88
-37
26avg 47
H26/09
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
78-51
78
51
+27
78avg 47
A28/09
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
10-23
30-13
19-26
17-23
24-22
12-29
16-13
18-22
6-32
19-37
19-33
26-29
11-30
10-21
18-27
11-27
11-27
14-24
28-21
8-24
17-15
14-19
11-19
18-17
16-31
16-23
16-12
14-24
16-10
11-19
11-21
15-18
13-25
15-22
8-23
22-12
9-9
24-14
23-16
151.5Avg total
63.8Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)60.371.0131.3-10.733%
Season at home (1)51.088.0139.0-37.00%
Season away (2)65.062.5127.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)63.887.7151.5-23.910%
Last 5 (5)59.474.6134.0-15.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)67.187.7154.8-20.610%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (1)78.051.0129.0+27.0100%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -9.1-9.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -4.2-4.2
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -9.1-9.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -4.2-4.2
Cimarrones del ChocoTigrillos de Antioqui
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sabios de Manizales
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A31/05
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A07/06
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A09/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H11/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A16/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A17/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A27/09
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
19-49
19
49
-30
H29/09
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A30/09
LBP
79.6Avg total
35.7Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.135.670.7-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.933.868.6+1.153%-
Last 30 away (13)35.338.173.4-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)35.743.979.6-8.220%-
Last 5 (5)33.445.478.8-12.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)28.540.468.8-11.90%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (17)40.132.072.1+8.176%-
This opponent (Tigrillos de Antioqui) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tigrillos de AntioquiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bucaros
#6
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A13/10
LBP
Bucaros
#6
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A15/10
LBP
Dep. San Jose
#3
L
24-54
24
54
-30
H23/10
South American League
Sao Paulo
#9
L
37-59
37
59
-22
A24/10
South American League
Unifacisa
#8
L
22-54
22
54
-32
A24/10
South American League
Corsarios Cartagena
#7
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H29/10
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#7
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H30/10
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A25/09
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H26/09
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
31-21
31
21
+10
A28/09
LBP
74.9Avg total
30.4Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.243.075.2-10.817%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.242.977.2-8.717%-
Last 30 away (18)30.843.173.8-12.317%-
Last 10 (10)30.444.574.9-14.110%-
Last 5 (5)29.637.066.6-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)32.243.876.0-11.614%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (1)31.021.052.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.520.6
44.3%
48.8%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.1
33.2%
31.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws16.111.1
68.9%
66.7%11.1
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tigrillos de Antioquitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tigrillos de Antioqui: 59.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.7 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.718.3
37.7%
48.8%36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.35.0
27.3%
31.7%15.0
🏀 Free throws13.07.3
56.4%
66.7%7.3
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cimarrones del Choco
LLLLLWLLWL
Tigrillos de Antioqui
WLLLLLLLLL
#7
League position
#8
-12.5
Net rating
-15.0
91.9
Offensive rating
77.9
104.4
Defensive rating
92.8
46.0%
Effective FG%
38.6%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
19.6%
Turnover %
20.2%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.19
33.2%
3-point %
27.3%
44.8%
Assist %
41.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence91.9 · 77.9Defence104.4 · 92.8Shooting46.0% · 38.6%3-point %33.2% · 27.3%Ball care19.6% · 20.2%Off. rebounds24.8% · 26.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Cimarrones del Choco   ■ Tigrillos de Antioqui
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cimarrones del Choco wins
0
Tigrillos de Antioqui wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/23ACaribbean Storm Islands75-97
29/09/23HCafeteros46-80
27/09/23ASabios de Manizales72-80
17/06/23APiratas de Bogota86-94
16/06/23APiratas de Bogota59-67
11/06/23HPiratas de Bogota81-74
09/06/23ACafeteros67-69
07/06/23ACafeteros73-99
31/05/23ASabios de Manizales106-89
30/05/23ASabios de Manizales83-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/23ASabios de Manizales78-51
26/09/23HCaribbean Storm Islands51-88
25/09/23ACafeteros52-74
30/10/22HCorsarios Cartagena66-83
29/10/22HCorsarios Cartagena50-77
24/10/22AUnifacisa64-99
24/10/22ASao Paulo65-107
23/10/22HDep. San Jose62-124
15/10/22ABucaros69-87
13/10/22ABucaros81-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL28%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %28%50%10%
Points / game67.061.571.4
Allowed / game74.166.180.4
Point differential-7.1-4.6-9.0
Avg total141.1127.6151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tigrillos de Antioqui
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game60.351.065.0
Allowed / game71.088.062.5
Point differential-10.7-37.0+2.5
Avg total131.3139.0127.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Caribbean Storm Islands2319483%77.464.3+13.1
2 Titanes de Barranquilla2217577%84.570.3+14.2
3 Cafeteros2518772%79.468.9+10.5
4 Piratas de Bogota2617965%80.973.2+7.7
5 Bucaros22111150%75.573.6+1.9
6 Motilones del Norte2391439%75.675.6+0.0
7 Tigrillos de Antioqui31233%60.371.0-10.7
8 Cimarrones del Choco1851328%67.074.1-7.1
9 Sabios de Manizales1621412%65.685.9-20.3
10 Corsarios Cartagena2021810%58.285.0-26.7
11 Condores de Cundinamarca4040%80.0105.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cimarrones del Choco1814212780
Tigrillos de Antioqui1821162075
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