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Cafeteros vs Cimarrones del Choco Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 69-67
18-16 16-16 22-16 13-19
Position#3
Record9-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game65.5
Cafeteros 🏆
Colombia
vs
Cimarrones del Choco
Colombia
Position#7
Record4-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game70.2
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo Ruben Dario Quintero (Rionegro)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cafeteros v Cimarrones del Choco
09 Oct 2023
CAFE81
CIMA71
08 Jun 2023
CAFE69
CIMA67
07 Jun 2023
CAFE99
CIMA73
20 Nov 2021
CAFE75
CIMA80
17 Nov 2021
CAFE57
CIMA71
03 Nov 2021
CAFE69
CIMA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cafeteros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cimarrones del Choco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CafeterosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCafeteros
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
87-66
87
66
+21
77avg 79
A07/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
90-59
90
59
+31
no box
H13/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
101-54
101
54
+47
103avg 79
H14/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
65-50
65
50
+15
59avg 79
A17/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
55-63
55
63
-8
46avg 79
A18/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
88-51
88
51
+37
82avg 79
H27/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 79
H27/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
106-64
106
64
+42
112avg 79
A03/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 79
A04/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
99-73
99
73
+26
90avg 79
H07/06
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
19-16
26-14
19-18
24-13
24-21
25-10
17-15
20-18
29-15
31-7
21-14
16-21
14-7
16-15
19-7
16-19
14-10
13-17
12-17
25-12
19-18
19-9
25-12
19-20
24-18
20-14
27-29
31-16
27-11
29-13
19-24
15-15
28-22
22-24
25-20
35-15
25-27
23-14
16-17
151.3Avg total
87.1Scored
64.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.365.5149.8+18.782%
Season at home (5)93.663.6157.2+30.0100%
Season away (6)76.567.2143.7+9.367%
Last 10 (10)87.164.2151.3+22.990%
Last 5 (5)94.670.0164.6+24.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.683.6161.2-6.00%
vs Similar (5)79.271.4150.6+7.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.074.2163.2+14.885%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
51-60
51
60
-9
39avg 53
A03/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
62-47
62
47
+15
56avg 53
H09/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
76-55
76
55
+21
75avg 53
H10/05
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
50-65
50
65
-15
38avg 53
H17/05
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
63-55
63
55
+8
46avg 53
H18/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
62-78
62
78
-16
44avg 53
H23/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
52-75
52
75
-23
25avg 53
H24/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
L
83-91
83
91
-8
75avg 53
A30/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
106-89
106
89
+17
108avg 53
A31/05
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
73-99
73
99
-26
45avg 53
A07/06
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
7-14
18-15
7-17
21-2
13-14
19-10
9-21
19-18
22-10
24-20
11-7
21-16
7-14
15-16
7-19
19-16
10-14
17-13
17-12
15-29
11-10
20-21
16-18
9-25
17-20
17-17
9-13
22-25
15-20
28-20
18-26
18-14
32-20
24-21
32-34
15-35
27-25
14-23
17-16
139.2Avg total
67.8Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)65.570.2135.6-4.736%
Season at home (6)60.862.5123.3-1.750%
Season away (5)71.079.4150.4-8.420%
Last 10 (10)67.871.4139.2-3.640%
Last 5 (5)75.286.4161.6-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)60.473.8134.1-13.412%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (22)81.568.9150.4+12.777%
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +8.7+8.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -4.0-4.0
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +8.7+8.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -4.0-4.0
CafeterosCimarrones del Choco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CafeterosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A07/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H13/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H14/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A17/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A18/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H27/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H27/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
58-27
58
27
+31
A03/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A04/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
60-42
60
42
+18
H07/06
LBP
77.9Avg total
44.7Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.837.079.8+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.737.583.1+8.273%-
Last 30 away (15)39.936.576.5+3.460%-
Last 10 (10)44.733.277.9+11.5100%-
Last 5 (5)49.634.884.4+14.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.842.683.4-1.840%-
vs Similar (5)36.833.870.6+3.080%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.836.481.2+8.470%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A03/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
34-16
34
16
+18
H09/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H10/05
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H17/05
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H18/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H23/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H24/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A31/05
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A07/06
LBP
69.4Avg total
33.9Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.234.571.7+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.332.468.7+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)38.036.674.6+1.447%-
Last 10 (10)33.935.569.4-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.244.680.8-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)27.939.467.2-11.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (22)40.532.773.3+7.873%-
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cafeterostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cafeteros: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.423.4
55.2%
48.8%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.2
31.7%
31.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.115.5
70.1%
66.7%15.5
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 67.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.220.0
46.3%
48.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.6
29.7%
31.7%19.8
🏀 Free throws11.88.0
67.8%
66.7%8.0
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jun 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cafeteros
WWWWWLWWWW
Cimarrones del Choco
LWLLLWLWWL
#3
League position
#7
+28.9
Net rating
-3.4
109.5
Offensive rating
85.7
80.7
Defensive rating
89.1
52.3%
Effective FG%
45.7%
39.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
18.9%
Turnover %
22.2%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.18
31.7%
3-point %
29.7%
52.8%
Assist %
54.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 85.7Defence80.7 · 89.1Shooting52.3% · 45.7%3-point %31.7% · 29.7%Ball care18.9% · 22.2%Off. rebounds34.8% · 21.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Cafeteros   ■ Cimarrones del Choco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cafeteros wins
3
Cimarrones del Choco wins
DateGameScore
07/06/23Cafeteros v Cimarrones del Choco99-73
18/05/23Cimarrones del Choco v Cafeteros63-55
17/05/23Cimarrones del Choco v Cafeteros50-65
20/11/21Cafeteros v Cimarrones del Choco75-80
19/11/21Cimarrones del Choco v Cafeteros68-73
17/11/21Cafeteros v Cimarrones del Choco57-71
03/11/21Cafeteros v Cimarrones del Choco69-66
Cafeteroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/06/23HCimarrones del Choco99-73
04/06/23ASabios de Manizales90-81
03/06/23ASabios de Manizales106-64
27/05/23HCaribbean Storm Islands90-81
27/05/23HCaribbean Storm Islands88-51
18/05/23ACimarrones del Choco55-63
17/05/23ACimarrones del Choco65-50
14/05/23HSabios de Manizales101-54
13/05/23HSabios de Manizales90-59
07/05/23ACaribbean Storm Islands87-66
Cimarrones del Chocolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/06/23ACafeteros73-99
31/05/23ASabios de Manizales106-89
30/05/23ASabios de Manizales83-91
24/05/23HCaribbean Storm Islands52-75
23/05/23HCaribbean Storm Islands62-78
18/05/23HCafeteros63-55
17/05/23HCafeteros50-65
10/05/23HSabios de Manizales76-55
09/05/23HSabios de Manizales62-47
03/05/23ACaribbean Storm Islands51-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cafeteros
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game84.393.676.5
Allowed / game65.563.667.2
Point differential+18.7+30.0+9.3
Avg total149.8157.2143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL36%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game65.560.871.0
Allowed / game70.262.579.4
Point differential-4.7-1.7-8.4
Avg total135.6123.3150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cafeteros119282%84.365.5+18.7
2 Titanes de Barranquilla1613381%83.568.1+15.4
3 Caribbean Storm Islands129375%72.363.9+8.4
4 Piratas de Bogota1611569%79.671.5+8.1
5 Bucaros1610662%75.969.4+6.4
6 Motilones del Norte1661038%74.873.8+1.1
7 Cimarrones del Choco114736%65.570.2-4.7
8 Sabios de Manizales121118%64.986.2-21.2
9 Corsarios Cartagena160160%53.084.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cafeteros1816221369
Cimarrones del Choco1616161967
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