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Cafeteros vs Cimarrones del Choco Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 99-73
35-15 25-27 23-14 16-17
Position#3
Record8-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game64.8
vs
Position#7
Record4-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game64.7
Allowed / game67.3
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo Ruben Dario Quintero (Rionegro)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cafeteros v Cimarrones del Choco
09 Oct 2023
CAFE81
CIMA71
08 Jun 2023
CAFE69
CIMA67
07 Jun 2023
CAFE99
CIMA73
20 Nov 2021
CAFE75
CIMA80
17 Nov 2021
CAFE57
CIMA71
03 Nov 2021
CAFE69
CIMA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cafeteros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cimarrones del Choco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CafeterosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCafeteros
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
56-79
56
79
-23
48avg 78
A06/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
87-66
87
66
+21
77avg 78
A07/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
90-59
90
59
+31
no box
H13/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
101-54
101
54
+47
103avg 78
H14/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
65-50
65
50
+15
59avg 78
A17/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
55-63
55
63
-8
46avg 78
A18/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
88-51
88
51
+37
82avg 78
H27/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 78
H27/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
106-64
106
64
+42
112avg 78
A03/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 78
A04/06
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-21
12-18
17-15
16-25
23-18
19-16
26-14
19-18
24-13
24-21
25-10
17-15
20-18
29-15
31-7
21-14
16-21
14-7
16-15
19-7
16-19
14-10
13-17
12-17
25-12
19-18
19-9
25-12
19-20
24-18
20-14
27-29
31-16
27-11
29-13
19-24
15-15
28-22
22-24
25-20
147.6Avg total
82.8Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.864.8147.6+18.080%
Season at home (4)92.261.2153.5+31.0100%
Season away (6)76.567.2143.7+9.367%
Last 10 (10)82.864.8147.6+18.080%
Last 5 (5)85.868.0153.8+17.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.683.6161.2-6.00%
vs Similar (6)78.270.8149.0+7.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.474.3162.7+14.284%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
42-58
42
58
-16
30avg 54
A02/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
51-60
51
60
-9
39avg 54
A03/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
62-47
62
47
+15
56avg 54
H09/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
76-55
76
55
+21
75avg 54
H10/05
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
50-65
50
65
-15
38avg 54
H17/05
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
63-55
63
55
+8
46avg 54
H18/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
62-78
62
78
-16
44avg 54
H23/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
52-75
52
75
-23
25avg 54
H24/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
L
83-91
83
91
-8
75avg 54
A30/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
106-89
106
89
+17
108avg 54
A31/05
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
4-18
7-11
19-13
12-16
19-14
7-14
18-15
7-17
21-2
13-14
19-10
9-21
19-18
22-10
24-20
11-7
21-16
7-14
15-16
7-19
19-16
10-14
17-13
17-12
15-29
11-10
20-21
16-18
9-25
17-20
17-17
9-13
22-25
15-20
28-20
18-26
18-14
32-20
24-21
32-34
132.0Avg total
64.7Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)64.767.3132.0-2.640%
Season at home (6)60.862.5123.3-1.750%
Season away (4)70.574.5145.0-4.025%
Last 10 (10)64.767.3132.0-2.640%
Last 5 (5)73.277.6150.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)60.571.1131.6-10.612%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (22)81.568.9150.4+12.777%
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +8.0+8.0Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -4.5-4.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +8.0+8.0Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -4.5-4.5
CafeterosCimarrones del Choco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CafeterosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A06/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A07/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H13/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H14/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A17/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A18/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H27/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H27/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
58-27
58
27
+31
A03/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A04/06
LBP
73.9Avg total
41.0Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.336.578.8+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.637.181.8+7.571%-
Last 30 away (16)40.236.076.2+4.262%-
Last 10 (10)41.032.973.9+8.190%-
Last 5 (5)43.632.275.8+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.842.683.4-1.840%-
vs Similar (6)38.232.871.0+5.383%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.036.180.1+7.968%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
11-29
11
29
-18
A02/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A03/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
34-16
34
16
+18
H09/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H10/05
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H17/05
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H18/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H23/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H24/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A31/05
LBP
63.2Avg total
30.8Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.033.670.6+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.432.468.8+4.162%-
Last 30 away (14)37.734.972.6+2.850%-
Last 10 (10)30.832.463.2-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)33.638.672.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)27.435.963.2-8.512%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (22)40.532.773.3+7.873%-
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cafeterostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cafeteros: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.522.7
54.7%
48.8%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.6
30.4%
31.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.314.2
70.0%
66.7%14.2
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 64.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.2 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.719.0
45.6%
48.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.5
29.8%
31.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws10.67.2
67.9%
66.7%7.2
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jun 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cafeteros
WWWWLWWWWL
Cimarrones del Choco
WLLLWLWWLL
#3
League position
#7
+22.5
Net rating
-2.2
105.6
Offensive rating
83.1
83.0
Defensive rating
85.3
51.3%
Effective FG%
45.3%
40.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
20.3%
Turnover %
23.1%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
19.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.17
30.4%
3-point %
29.8%
55.8%
Assist %
58.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 83.1Defence83.0 · 85.3Shooting51.3% · 45.3%3-point %30.4% · 29.8%Ball care20.3% · 23.1%Off. rebounds34.4% · 19.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Cafeteros   ■ Cimarrones del Choco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cafeteros wins
3
Cimarrones del Choco wins
Cafeteroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/06/23ASabios de Manizales90-81
03/06/23ASabios de Manizales106-64
27/05/23HCaribbean Storm Islands90-81
27/05/23HCaribbean Storm Islands88-51
18/05/23ACimarrones del Choco55-63
17/05/23ACimarrones del Choco65-50
14/05/23HSabios de Manizales101-54
13/05/23HSabios de Manizales90-59
07/05/23ACaribbean Storm Islands87-66
06/05/23ACaribbean Storm Islands56-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/05/23ASabios de Manizales106-89
30/05/23ASabios de Manizales83-91
24/05/23HCaribbean Storm Islands52-75
23/05/23HCaribbean Storm Islands62-78
18/05/23HCafeteros63-55
17/05/23HCafeteros50-65
10/05/23HSabios de Manizales76-55
09/05/23HSabios de Manizales62-47
03/05/23ACaribbean Storm Islands51-60
02/05/23ACaribbean Storm Islands42-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cafeteros
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game82.892.276.5
Allowed / game64.861.267.2
Point differential+18.0+31.0+9.3
Avg total147.6153.5143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%50%25%
Points / game64.760.870.5
Allowed / game67.362.574.5
Point differential-2.6-1.7-4.0
Avg total132.0123.3145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Titanes de Barranquilla1613381%83.568.1+15.4
2 Cafeteros108280%82.864.8+18.0
3 Caribbean Storm Islands107370%71.366.0+5.3
4 Piratas de Bogota1611569%79.671.5+8.1
5 Bucaros1610662%75.969.4+6.4
6 Cimarrones del Choco104640%64.767.3-2.6
7 Motilones del Norte1661038%74.873.8+1.1
8 Sabios de Manizales101910%67.287.9-20.7
9 Corsarios Cartagena160160%53.084.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cafeteros3525231699
Cimarrones del Choco1527141773
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