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Cimarrones del Choco vs Toros del Valle Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 61-74
11-20 13-23 17-11 20-20
Position#7
Record8-25
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#5
Record19-24
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game85.7
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo El Jardin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cimarrones del Choco v Toros del Valle
05 May 2026
CIMA58
TORO79
04 May 2026
CIMA46
TORO36
23 Nov 2025
CIMA79
TORO68
22 Nov 2025
CIMA81
TORO79
15 Oct 2024
CIMA61
TORO74
14 Oct 2024
CIMA55
TORO65
20 May 2024
CIMA95
TORO81
19 May 2024
CIMA94
TORO81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cimarrones del Choco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toros del Valle winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
66-73
66
73
-7
51avg 64
H22/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
98-95
98
95
+3
93avg 64
H27/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
90-71
90
71
+19
84avg 64
H27/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
72-93
72
93
-21
58avg 64
H02/07
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
78-85
78
85
-7
70avg 64
H02/07
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
L
81-96
81
96
-15
71avg 64
A05/10
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
96-93
96
93
+3
90avg 64
A06/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
74-87
74
87
-13
56avg 64
A11/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
52-81
52
81
-29
39avg 64
A12/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
L
55-65
55
65
-10
54avg 64
H14/10
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
13-17
15-17
16-19
21-28
29-19
24-26
24-22
25-18
20-19
31-16
14-18
19-27
16-25
23-22
14-19
24-25
20-18
12-22
22-20
24-21
30-26
18-18
9-31
20-27
24-14
27-23
25-29
18-23
20-23
16-20
20-21
15-18
14-23
17-26
6-14
12-24
18-22
16-8
9-11
160.1Avg total
76.2Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)76.482.8159.2-6.424%
Season at home (15)79.380.6159.9-1.347%
Season away (18)73.984.6158.5-10.76%
Last 10 (10)76.283.9160.1-7.730%
Last 5 (5)71.684.4156.0-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.483.9159.3-8.512%
vs Similar (13)79.883.2163.0-3.546%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros del ValleColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValle
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
89-102
89
102
-13
78avg 73
A15/07
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
73-86
73
86
-13
66avg 73
A17/07
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
80-72
80
72
+8
80avg 73
A17/07
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
90-94
90
94
-4
79avg 73
H21/07
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
W
89-72
89
72
+17
82avg 73
H21/07
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
58avg 73
A24/07
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
76-77
76
77
-1
69avg 73
A24/07
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
72-84
72
84
-12
61avg 73
H05/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
68-82
68
82
-14
54avg 73
H07/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
65-55
65
55
+10
50avg 73
A14/10
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
20-17
27-24
22-32
13-21
20-23
22-27
18-15
26-23
18-22
17-11
19-16
25-23
20-22
26-27
19-22
20-26
26-18
23-12
20-16
16-20
19-16
19-24
21-22
19-17
15-19
22-17
20-24
20-18
21-19
16-23
15-24
29-23
17-24
8-19
14-16
24-12
22-18
8-16
11-9
158.3Avg total
77.7Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)83.885.7169.5-1.944%
Season at home (21)87.085.2172.2+1.962%
Season away (22)80.786.2166.9-5.527%
Last 10 (10)77.780.6158.3-2.930%
Last 5 (5)71.276.0147.2-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.285.8162.0-9.50%
vs Similar (19)83.886.4170.2-2.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)94.987.0181.9+7.986%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
Cimarrones del ChocoToros del Valle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H22/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H27/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H27/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H02/07
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H02/07
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A05/10
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A06/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A11/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A12/10
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H14/10
LBP
84.1Avg total
40.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.042.381.3-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.742.582.2-2.933%-
Last 30 away (15)38.342.180.4-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.784.1-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.044.283.2-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.941.579.4-3.629%-
vs Similar (13)40.543.483.8-2.938%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros del ValleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A15/07
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A17/07
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A17/07
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H21/07
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H21/07
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A24/07
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A24/07
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H05/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H07/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A14/10
LBP
82.0Avg total
41.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.645.088.6-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.144.488.6-0.357%-
Last 30 away (16)43.145.588.6-2.425%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.082.0+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.277.6+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.043.089.0+3.050%-
vs Similar (19)41.644.986.6-3.337%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)47.646.393.9+1.343%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.3
47.2%
50.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.3
34.6%
32.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.811.9
66.9%
68.5%11.9
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toros del Valletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros del Valle: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.7
49.5%
50.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.0
31.1%
32.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.515.3
68.0%
68.5%15.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cimarrones del Choco
LLLWLLLWWL
Toros del Valle
WLLLLWLWLL
#7
League position
#5
-9.8
Net rating
-4.3
98.6
Offensive rating
100.2
108.4
Defensive rating
104.5
48.9%
Effective FG%
48.3%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
19.2%
Turnover %
18.7%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.6%
3-point %
31.1%
51.8%
Assist %
51.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.6 · 100.2Defence108.4 · 104.5Shooting48.9% · 48.3%3-point %34.6% · 31.1%Ball care19.2% · 18.7%Off. rebounds27.1% · 27.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Cimarrones del Choco   ■ Toros del Valle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cimarrones del Choco wins
3
Toros del Valle wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/24HToros del Valle55-65
12/10/24ACaribbean Storm Islands52-81
11/10/24ACaribbean Storm Islands74-87
06/10/24APiratas de Bogota96-93
05/10/24APiratas de Bogota81-96
02/07/24HCaribbean Storm Islands78-85
02/07/24HCaribbean Storm Islands72-93
27/06/24HPiratas de Bogota90-71
27/06/24HPiratas de Bogota98-95
22/06/24HTitanes de Barranquilla66-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/24ACimarrones del Choco65-55
07/10/24HMotilones del Norte68-82
05/10/24HMotilones del Norte72-84
24/07/24ATitanes de Barranquilla76-77
24/07/24ATitanes de Barranquilla75-82
21/07/24HTitanes de Barranquilla89-72
21/07/24HTitanes de Barranquilla90-94
17/07/24ACaribbean Storm Islands80-72
17/07/24ACaribbean Storm Islands73-86
15/07/24ACaribbean Storm Islands89-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL24%
HomeWWLLL47%
AwayLLWLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331518
Win %24%47%6%
Points / game76.479.373.9
Allowed / game82.880.684.6
Point differential-6.4-1.3-10.7
Avg total159.2159.9158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Toros del Valle
LBP 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeWLWLL62%
AwayLWLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432122
Win %44%62%27%
Points / game83.887.080.7
Allowed / game85.785.286.2
Point differential-1.9+1.9-5.5
Avg total169.5172.2166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)60% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %2%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Motilones del Norte41291271%83.677.2+6.4
2 Caribbean Storm Islands37261170%84.676.8+7.8
3 Titanes de Barranquilla37261170%80.375.0+5.3
4 Bucaros31181358%82.882.4+0.4
5 Paisas42250%78.280.5-2.2
6 Toros del Valle43192444%83.885.7-1.9
7 Piratas de Bogota36112531%81.187.4-6.3
8 Corsarios Cartagena2872125%75.882.4-6.6
9 Cimarrones del Choco3382524%76.482.8-6.4
10 Sabios de Manizales2020%69.593.0-23.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cimarrones del Choco1113172061
Toros del Valle2023112074
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