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Cimarrones del Choco vs Toros del Valle Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 May 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 46-36
14-13 10-6 12-6 10-11
Position#6
Record6-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game68.4
vs
Position#1
Record9-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game60.1
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo El Jardin
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cimarrones del Choco v Toros del Valle
05 May 2026
CIMA58
TORO79
04 May 2026
CIMA46
TORO36
23 Nov 2025
CIMA79
TORO68
22 Nov 2025
CIMA81
TORO79
15 Oct 2024
CIMA61
TORO74
14 Oct 2024
CIMA55
TORO65
20 May 2024
CIMA95
TORO81
19 May 2024
CIMA94
TORO81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cimarrones del Choco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toros del Valle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Motilones del Norte
#4
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
78avg 63
H12/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
80-74
80
74
+6
80avg 63
H14/04
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#5
L
36-69
36
69
-33
22avg 63
A16/04
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#5
L
96-98
96
98
-2
78avg 63
A18/04
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
W
69-55
69
55
+14
62avg 63
H22/04
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
W
83-72
83
72
+11
82avg 63
H24/04
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
W
90-65
90
65
+25
91avg 63
H26/04
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
W
91-55
91
55
+36
93avg 63
H27/04
LBP
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
W
60-52
60
52
+8
50avg 63
A02/05
LBP
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
L
51-60
51
60
-9
46avg 63
A02/05
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
15-13
22-15
10-22
21-12
14-22
18-26
27-14
9-17
7-27
7-15
13-10
19-22
23-27
23-24
31-25
21-20
22-5
12-18
14-12
12-25
26-16
24-18
21-13
12-18
18-19
31-17
29-11
26-21
26-9
21-14
18-11
18-14
21-17
11-9
10-12
23-14
9-12
12-21
7-13
142.0Avg total
73.6Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)73.668.4142.0+5.260%
Season at home (6)82.267.5149.7+14.783%
Season away (4)60.869.8130.5-9.025%
Last 10 (10)73.668.4142.0+5.260%
Last 5 (5)75.060.8135.8+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)71.280.0151.2-8.840%
vs Similar (6)74.075.3149.3-1.350%
vs Weaker (4)73.058.0131.0+15.075%
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros del ValleColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValle
Date
Competition
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
W
78-62
78
62
+16
69avg 73
H11/04
LBP
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
W
58-46
58
46
+12
51avg 73
H11/04
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
W
94-37
94
37
+57
91avg 73
H14/04
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
W
73-47
73
47
+26
72avg 73
H16/04
LBP
Paisas
#2
W
84-76
84
76
+8
84avg 73
A19/04
LBP
Paisas
#2
W
92-67
92
67
+25
90avg 73
A19/04
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#5
L
68-73
68
73
-5
54avg 73
A25/04
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#5
W
85-63
85
63
+22
78avg 73
A25/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
98-74
98
74
+24
94avg 73
H29/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
86-56
86
56
+30
90avg 73
H30/04
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
19-10
12-17
16-21
13-11
15-12
13-11
17-12
34-7
15-12
19-10
26-8
29-15
13-11
22-9
9-12
21-17
22-21
24-18
17-20
24-16
24-12
24-21
20-18
21-19
23-14
16-23
8-17
17-19
20-19
24-10
24-15
25-14
19-16
29-28
25-16
19-20
31-7
23-9
13-20
141.7Avg total
81.6Scored
60.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.660.1141.7+21.590%
Season at home (6)81.253.7134.8+27.5100%
Season away (4)82.269.8152.0+12.575%
Last 10 (10)81.660.1141.7+21.590%
Last 5 (5)85.866.6152.4+19.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.579.0166.5+8.5100%
vs Similar (8)75.578.9154.4-3.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)79.664.8144.3+14.875%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +8.2+8.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +6.7+6.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +8.2+8.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +6.7+6.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
Cimarrones del ChocoToros del Valle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H12/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H14/04
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#5
L
16-44
16
44
-28
A16/04
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A18/04
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H22/04
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H24/04
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H26/04
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H27/04
LBP
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A02/05
LBP
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A02/05
LBP
70.5Avg total
36.0Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.339.274.5-3.940%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.937.174.0-0.144%-
Last 30 away (12)32.842.475.2-9.733%-
Last 10 (10)36.034.570.5+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.233.071.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)34.941.576.4-6.630%-
vs Similar (6)34.536.871.3-2.350%-
vs Weaker (4)38.231.069.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros del ValleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H11/04
LBP
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H11/04
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H14/04
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H16/04
LBP
Paisas
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A19/04
LBP
Paisas
#2
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A19/04
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#5
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A25/04
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A25/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H29/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H30/04
LBP
72.1Avg total
43.5Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.933.375.2+8.677%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.833.478.1+11.481%-
Last 30 away (14)38.633.271.8+5.471%-
Last 10 (10)43.528.672.1+14.990%-
Last 5 (5)44.631.275.8+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.543.588.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (8)41.136.877.9+4.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)41.930.972.8+11.085%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.5 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.4
50.4%
50.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.3
35.3%
30.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.59.9
53.5%
66.5%9.9
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toros del Valletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros del Valle: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.5 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.7
58.3%
50.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.5
34.8%
30.0%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.611.3
64.2%
66.5%11.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cimarrones del Choco
LWWWWWLLWL
Toros del Valle
WWWLWWWWWW
#6
League position
#1
+6.1
Net rating
+24.3
83.7
Offensive rating
96.6
77.5
Defensive rating
72.2
51.4%
Effective FG%
55.4%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
40.5%
20.7%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.3%
3-point %
34.8%
60.6%
Assist %
62.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence83.7 · 96.6Defence77.5 · 72.2Shooting51.4% · 55.4%3-point %35.3% · 34.8%Ball care20.7% · 17.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Cimarrones del Choco   ■ Toros del Valle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/26ASabios Baloncesto51-60
02/05/26ASabios Baloncesto60-52
27/04/26HCaribbean Storm Islands91-55
26/04/26HCaribbean Storm Islands90-65
24/04/26HPiratas de Bogota83-72
22/04/26HPiratas de Bogota69-55
18/04/26ACaimanes del Llano96-98
16/04/26ACaimanes del Llano36-69
14/04/26HMotilones del Norte80-74
12/04/26HMotilones del Norte80-84 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/26HMotilones del Norte86-56
29/04/26HMotilones del Norte98-74
25/04/26ACaimanes del Llano85-63
25/04/26ACaimanes del Llano68-73
19/04/26APaisas92-67
19/04/26APaisas84-76
16/04/26HCaribbean Storm Islands73-47
14/04/26HCaribbean Storm Islands94-37
11/04/26HSabios Baloncesto58-46
11/04/26HSabios Baloncesto78-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%83%25%
Points / game73.682.260.8
Allowed / game68.467.569.8
Point differential+5.2+14.7-9.0
Avg total142.0149.7130.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%17%0%
Toros del Valle
LBP 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %90%100%75%
Points / game81.681.282.2
Allowed / game60.153.769.8
Point differential+21.5+27.5+12.5
Avg total141.7134.8152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toros del Valle109190%81.660.1+21.5
2 Piratas de Bogota118373%82.873.4+9.5
3 Cimarrones del Choco106460%73.668.4+5.2
4 Caimanes del Llano106460%82.280.2+2.0
5 Paisas116555%79.479.7-0.4
6 Sabios Baloncesto104640%71.073.9-2.9
7 Motilones del Norte102820%78.086.4-8.4
8 Caribbean Storm Islands100100%61.689.0-27.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cimarrones del Choco1410121046
Toros del Valle13661136
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