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Cimarrones del Choco vs Toros del Valle Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 May 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 58-79
7-18 19-15 22-23 10-23
Position#6
Record7-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game65.5
Cimarrones del Choco
Colombia
vs
Toros del Valle 🏆
Colombia
Position#1
Record9-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game58.8
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo El Jardin
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cimarrones del Choco v Toros del Valle
05 May 2026
CIMA58
TORO79
04 May 2026
CIMA46
TORO36
23 Nov 2025
CIMA79
TORO68
22 Nov 2025
CIMA81
TORO79
15 Oct 2024
CIMA61
TORO74
14 Oct 2024
CIMA55
TORO65
20 May 2024
CIMA95
TORO81
19 May 2024
CIMA94
TORO81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cimarrones del Choco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toros del Valle winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
80-74
80
74
+6
80avg 62
H14/04
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#5
L
36-69
36
69
-33
22avg 62
A16/04
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#5
L
96-98
96
98
-2
78avg 62
A18/04
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
W
69-55
69
55
+14
62avg 62
H22/04
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
W
83-72
83
72
+11
82avg 62
H24/04
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
W
90-65
90
65
+25
91avg 62
H26/04
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
W
91-55
91
55
+36
93avg 62
H27/04
LBP
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
W
60-52
60
52
+8
50avg 62
A02/05
LBP
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
L
51-60
51
60
-9
46avg 62
A02/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#1
W
46-36
46
36
+10
44avg 62
H05/05
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
14-22
18-26
27-14
9-17
7-27
7-15
13-10
19-22
23-27
23-24
31-25
21-20
22-5
12-18
14-12
12-25
26-16
24-18
21-13
12-18
18-19
31-17
29-11
26-21
26-9
21-14
18-11
18-14
21-17
11-9
10-12
23-14
9-12
12-21
7-13
14-13
10-6
12-6
10-11
133.8Avg total
70.2Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.165.5136.5+5.664%
Season at home (7)77.063.0140.0+14.086%
Season away (4)60.869.8130.5-9.025%
Last 10 (10)70.263.6133.8+6.670%
Last 5 (5)67.653.6121.2+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)68.876.5145.3-7.845%
vs Similar (6)74.075.3149.3-1.350%
vs Weaker (4)73.058.0131.0+15.075%
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros del ValleColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValle
Date
Competition
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
W
58-46
58
46
+12
51avg 72
H11/04
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
W
94-37
94
37
+57
91avg 72
H14/04
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
W
73-47
73
47
+26
72avg 72
H16/04
LBP
Paisas
#2
W
84-76
84
76
+8
84avg 72
A19/04
LBP
Paisas
#2
W
92-67
92
67
+25
90avg 72
A19/04
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#5
L
68-73
68
73
-5
54avg 72
A25/04
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#5
W
85-63
85
63
+22
78avg 72
A25/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
98-74
98
74
+24
94avg 72
H29/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
86-56
86
56
+30
90avg 72
H30/04
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#6
L
36-46
36
46
-10
24avg 72
A05/05
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-11
15-12
13-11
17-12
34-7
15-12
19-10
26-8
29-15
13-11
22-9
9-12
21-17
22-21
24-18
17-20
24-16
24-12
24-21
20-18
21-19
23-14
16-23
8-17
17-19
20-19
24-10
24-15
25-14
19-16
29-28
25-16
19-20
31-7
23-9
13-20
13-14
6-10
6-12
11-10
135.9Avg total
77.4Scored
58.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.558.8136.3+18.682%
Season at home (6)81.253.7134.8+27.5100%
Season away (5)73.065.0138.0+8.060%
Last 10 (10)77.458.5135.9+18.980%
Last 5 (5)74.662.4137.0+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.579.0166.5+8.5100%
vs Similar (7)75.376.7152.0-1.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)77.563.9141.4+13.771%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
Cimarrones del ChocoToros del Valle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H14/04
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#5
L
16-44
16
44
-28
A16/04
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A18/04
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H22/04
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H24/04
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H26/04
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H27/04
LBP
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A02/05
LBP
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A02/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#1
W
24-19
24
19
+5
H05/05
LBP
68.7Avg total
35.1Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.938.173.0-3.243%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.336.172.4+0.247%-
Last 30 away (11)32.541.674.2-9.136%-
Last 10 (10)35.133.668.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)35.428.664.0+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)34.440.074.3-5.635%-
vs Similar (6)34.536.871.3-2.350%-
vs Weaker (4)38.231.069.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros del ValleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sabios Baloncesto
#7
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H11/04
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H14/04
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#9
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H16/04
LBP
Paisas
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A19/04
LBP
Paisas
#2
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A19/04
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#5
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A25/04
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A25/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H29/04
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#4
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H30/04
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#6
L
19-24
19
24
-5
A05/05
LBP
69.0Avg total
40.4Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.232.773.9+8.477%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.833.478.1+11.481%-
Last 30 away (14)37.132.069.1+5.171%-
Last 10 (10)40.428.669.0+11.880%-
Last 5 (5)38.830.469.2+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.543.588.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (7)41.336.177.4+5.171%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.830.671.4+10.281%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.5 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.2
49.5%
50.5%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.0
32.7%
30.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.09.8
54.4%
66.5%9.8
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toros del Valletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros del Valle: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.5 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.618.5
56.7%
50.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.8
32.1%
30.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.711.8
63.1%
66.5%11.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cimarrones del Choco
WLWWWWWLLW
Toros del Valle
LWWWLWWWWW
#6
League position
#1
+7.9
Net rating
+20.3
82.0
Offensive rating
90.8
74.1
Defensive rating
70.5
49.3%
Effective FG%
52.6%
43.7%
Opp. effective FG%
39.4%
19.8%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.7%
3-point %
32.1%
62.2%
Assist %
62.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence82.0 · 90.8Defence74.1 · 70.5Shooting49.3% · 52.6%3-point %32.7% · 32.1%Ball care19.8% · 17.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Cimarrones del Choco   ■ Toros del Valle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cimarrones del Choco wins
6
Toros del Valle wins
DateGameScore
05/05/26Cimarrones del Choco v Toros del Valle46-36
23/11/25Cimarrones del Choco v Toros del Valle79-68
22/11/25Cimarrones del Choco v Toros del Valle81-79
20/11/25Toros del Valle v Cimarrones del Choco76-54
19/11/25Toros del Valle v Cimarrones del Choco75-79
18/10/25Toros del Valle v Cimarrones del Choco118-85
18/10/25Toros del Valle v Cimarrones del Choco76-45
01/06/25Toros del Valle v Cimarrones del Choco124-82
31/05/25Toros del Valle v Cimarrones del Choco113-82
10/05/25Toros del Valle v Cimarrones del Choco80-71
Cimarrones del Chocolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/26HToros del Valle46-36
02/05/26ASabios Baloncesto51-60
02/05/26ASabios Baloncesto60-52
27/04/26HCaribbean Storm Islands91-55
26/04/26HCaribbean Storm Islands90-65
24/04/26HPiratas de Bogota83-72
22/04/26HPiratas de Bogota69-55
18/04/26ACaimanes del Llano96-98
16/04/26ACaimanes del Llano36-69
14/04/26HMotilones del Norte80-74
Toros del Vallelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/26ACimarrones del Choco36-46
30/04/26HMotilones del Norte86-56
29/04/26HMotilones del Norte98-74
25/04/26ACaimanes del Llano85-63
25/04/26ACaimanes del Llano68-73
19/04/26APaisas92-67
19/04/26APaisas84-76
16/04/26HCaribbean Storm Islands73-47
14/04/26HCaribbean Storm Islands94-37
11/04/26HSabios Baloncesto58-46

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %64%86%25%
Points / game71.177.060.8
Allowed / game65.563.069.8
Point differential+5.6+14.0-9.0
Avg total136.5140.0130.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%14%0%
Toros del Valle
LBP 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%100%60%
Points / game77.581.273.0
Allowed / game58.853.765.0
Point differential+18.6+27.5+8.0
Avg total136.3134.8138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%100%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toros del Valle119282%77.558.8+18.6
2 Piratas de Bogota118373%82.873.4+9.5
3 Cimarrones del Choco117464%71.165.5+5.6
4 Caimanes del Llano106460%82.280.2+2.0
5 Paisas116555%79.479.7-0.4
6 Sabios Baloncesto104640%71.073.9-2.9
7 Motilones del Norte102820%78.086.4-8.4
8 Caribbean Storm Islands100100%61.689.0-27.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cimarrones del Choco719221058
Toros del Valle1815232379
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