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Cincinnati vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 65-49
27-17 38-32
Position#134
Record8-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game67.4
vs
Position#91
Record5-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cincinnati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
93-61
93
61
+32
H11/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H12/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H19/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
89-54
89
54
+35
H23/11
NCAA
Howard
#204
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
A29/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
99-62
99
62
+37
H03/12
NCAA
Xavier
#245
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A09/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
W
85-53
85
53
+32
H13/12
NCAA
Dayton
#30
L
68-82
68
82
-14
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-30
29-28
60-27
33-34
38-30
47-43
45-31
45-35
40-32
49-22
34-29
40-45
49-26
50-36
27-35
52-49
30-27
55-26
29-35
39-47
151.7Avg total
84.3Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.367.4151.7+16.980%
Season at home (8)84.863.6148.4+21.188%
Season away (2)82.582.5165.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)84.367.4151.7+16.980%
Last 5 (5)83.472.4155.8+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.772.0130.7-13.30%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.171.0145.1+3.150%
vs Weaker (18)83.667.4151.1+16.283%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Worcester State
#428
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H10/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A12/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
52-76
52
76
-24
A16/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
96-73
96
73
+23
A22/11
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A24/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
L
60-66 OT
60
66
-6
H25/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A30/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H03/12
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A06/12
NCAA
Felician Golden
#381
W
89-85
89
85
+4
H10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-30
53-42
28-29
43-36
29-35
23-41
44-31
52-42
30-33
41-46
21-20
35-36
27-34
40-35
32-28
42-40
31-30
26-47
43-35
46-50
146.0Avg total
73.0Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.472.5143.8-1.145%
Season at home (4)79.072.8151.8+6.275%
Season away (7)67.072.3139.3-5.329%
Last 10 (10)73.073.0146.0+0.050%
Last 5 (5)69.473.0142.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.771.3138.0-4.733%
vs Similar ◀ (15)62.960.9123.7+2.067%
vs Weaker (11)75.566.0141.5+9.582%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +9.0+9.01st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: +7.4+7.42nd half: -1.4-1.4
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +9.0+9.01st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: +7.4+7.42nd half: -1.4-1.4
CincinnatiMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H07/11
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
60-27
60
27
+33
H11/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H12/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H19/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H23/11
NCAA
Howard
#204
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A29/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H03/12
NCAA
Xavier
#245
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A09/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H13/12
NCAA
Dayton
#30
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H17/12
NCAA
69.4Avg total
39.2Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.631.468.0+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.030.268.2+7.872%-
Last 30 away (12)34.433.267.6+1.267%-
Last 10 (10)39.230.269.4+9.080%-
Last 5 (5)33.830.464.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.336.367.7-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)32.033.065.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (18)39.929.869.7+10.189%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Worcester State
#428
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H10/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A12/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A16/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A22/11
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A24/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
W
21-20
21
20
+1
H25/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A30/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H03/12
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A06/12
NCAA
Felician Golden
#381
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H10/12
NCAA
63.0Avg total
32.5Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.229.062.2+4.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.528.663.1+5.987%-
Last 30 away (15)31.929.561.3+2.453%-
Last 10 (10)32.530.563.0+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)30.829.460.2+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.332.359.7-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)31.528.860.3+2.773%-
vs Weaker (11)36.428.464.7+8.073%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cincinnati wins
0
Merrimack Warriors wins
No previous meetings.
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HDayton68-82
13/12/23HBryant University85-53
09/12/23AXavier79-84
03/12/23HFlorida Gulf Coast99-62
29/11/23AHoward86-81 OT
23/11/23HGeorgia Tech89-54
19/11/23HNorthern Kentucky90-66
12/11/23HEast. Washington85-73
11/11/23HDetroit93-61
07/11/23HIllinois (Chi.)69-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HFelician Golden89-85
06/12/23AFlorida57-77
03/12/23HUMass Lowell74-68
30/11/23AGeorgetown67-69
25/11/23HAlabama State60-66 OT
24/11/23ASamford71-79
22/11/23AN. Carolina A&T96-73
16/11/23AOhio State52-76
12/11/23AMaine Black Bears71-65
10/11/23HWorcester State93-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cincinnati
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL80%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %80%88%50%
Points / game84.384.882.5
Allowed / game67.463.682.5
Point differential+16.9+21.1+0.0
Avg total151.7148.4165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%88%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%50%
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW45%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %45%75%29%
Points / game71.479.067.0
Allowed / game72.572.872.3
Point differential-1.1+6.2-5.3
Avg total143.8151.8139.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston11110100%75.851.2+24.6
2 Brigham Young1110191%89.161.2+27.9
3 Kansas1110191%79.565.6+13.8
4 Baylor109190%88.469.6+18.8
5 Arizona98189%92.967.0+25.9
6 TCU98189%87.466.2+21.2
7 Iowa State119282%86.959.1+27.8
8 Cincinnati108280%84.367.4+16.9
9 Colorado108280%85.068.8+16.2
10 Texas Tech108280%75.665.5+10.1
11 Utah Utes108280%80.271.0+9.2
12 Kansas State118373%77.771.5+6.2
13 UCF Knights107370%77.666.0+11.6
14 Arizona State106460%69.070.0-1.0
15 Oklahoma State105550%74.666.5+8.1
16 West Virginia104640%65.767.9-2.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marist97278%68.460.4+8.0
2 Quinnipiac118373%78.671.6+7.0
3 Canisius116555%77.673.3+4.4
4 Fairfield115645%72.071.1+0.9
5 Merrimack Warriors115645%71.472.5-1.1
6 Mount St. Mary's94544%70.667.6+3.0
7 St. Peters94544%61.864.0-2.2
8 Manhattan94544%65.776.8-11.1
9 Iona114736%70.572.5-1.9
10 Sacred Heart124833%71.273.4-2.2
11 Niagara103730%73.575.6-2.1
12 Rider102820%70.074.9-4.9
13 Siena102820%56.775.7-19.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cincinnati273865
Merrimack Warriors173249
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