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Florida vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-57
30-31 47-26
Position#73
Record4-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game75.7
Florida 🏆
USA
vs
Position#91
Record4-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Florida v Merrimack Warriors
13 Nov 2026
FLOR v MERR
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
FLOR80
MERR45
05 Dec 2023
FLOR77
MERR57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#264
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H04/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
68-69 OT
68
69
-1
H09/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#10
L
49-67
49
67
-18
H15/03
NIT
Loyola Maryland
#354
W
93-73
93
73
+20
H07/11
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A11/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#357
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H15/11
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H18/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
86-71
86
71
+15
A23/11
NCAA
Baylor
#58
L
91-95
91
95
-4
H24/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A30/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
29-33
0-0
50-34
0-0
26-36
0-0
31-21
0-0
26-35
0-0
23-32
0-0
42-30
0-0
51-43
0-0
35-39
0-0
35-34
0-0
38-28
0-0
51-40
0-0
52-22
0-0
37-46
0-0
39-34
0-0
47-37
0-0
41-41
0-0
50-54
0-0
36-32
0-0
35-50
151.8Avg total
78.5Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.175.7159.9+8.457%
Season at home (4)90.576.0166.5+14.575%
Season away (3)75.775.3151.0+0.333%
Last 10 (10)78.573.3151.8+5.250%
Last 5 (5)85.276.8162.0+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.075.5143.5-7.550%
vs Similar ◀ (18)68.771.2139.9-2.622%
vs Weaker (9)81.866.4148.2+15.3100%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A07/11
NCAA
Worcester State
#428
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H10/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A12/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
52-76
52
76
-24
A16/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
96-73
96
73
+23
A22/11
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A24/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
L
60-66 OT
60
66
-6
H25/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A30/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-28
41-38
20-36
35-31
40-30
53-42
28-29
43-36
29-35
23-41
44-31
52-42
30-33
41-46
21-20
35-36
27-34
40-35
32-28
42-40
140.7Avg total
70.6Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.070.6141.6+0.444%
Season at home (3)75.768.7144.3+7.067%
Season away (6)68.771.5140.2-2.833%
Last 10 (10)70.670.1140.7+0.550%
Last 5 (5)73.671.0144.6+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.771.3138.0-4.733%
vs Similar ◀ (16)62.860.5123.2+2.262%
vs Weaker (10)74.264.1138.3+10.180%
This opponent (Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +1.8+1.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +1.8+1.8
FloridaMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#264
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H04/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H09/03
NCAA
UCF Knights
#10
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H15/03
NIT
Loyola Maryland
#354
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H07/11
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A11/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#357
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H15/11
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
52-22
52
22
+30
H18/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A23/11
NCAA
Baylor
#58
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H24/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A30/11
NCAA
69.4Avg total
36.4Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.432.164.5+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.230.866.1+4.456%-
Last 30 away (14)29.133.662.7-4.443%-
Last 10 (10)36.433.069.4+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.231.472.6+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)25.036.561.5-11.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)30.832.963.7-2.139%-
vs Weaker (9)37.929.267.1+8.778%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H08/03
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A07/11
NCAA
Worcester State
#428
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H10/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A12/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A16/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#356
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A22/11
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A24/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
W
21-20
21
20
+1
H25/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A30/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H03/12
NCAA
60.1Avg total
29.7Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.728.761.4+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.928.162.0+5.786%-
Last 30 away (16)31.729.260.9+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)29.730.460.1-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)30.829.260.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.332.359.7-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.428.660.0+2.869%-
vs Weaker (10)35.727.763.4+8.070%-
This opponent (Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Florida wins
0
Merrimack Warriors wins
No previous meetings.
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23AWake Forest71-82
24/11/23HBaylor91-95
23/11/23APittsburgh86-71
18/11/23HFlorida State89-68
15/11/23HFlorida A&M89-68
11/11/23AVirginia70-73
07/11/23HLoyola Maryland93-73
15/03/23HUCF Knights49-67
09/03/23HMississippi St.68-69 OT
04/03/23HLSU79-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HUMass Lowell74-68
30/11/23AGeorgetown67-69
25/11/23HAlabama State60-66 OT
24/11/23ASamford71-79
22/11/23AN. Carolina A&T96-73
16/11/23AOhio State52-76
12/11/23AMaine Black Bears71-65
10/11/23HWorcester State93-72
07/11/23AVermont55-67
08/03/23HFairleigh Dickinson67-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game84.190.575.7
Allowed / game75.776.075.3
Point differential+8.4+14.5+0.3
Avg total159.9166.5151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW44%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %44%67%33%
Points / game71.075.768.7
Allowed / game70.668.771.5
Point differential+0.4+7.0-2.8
Avg total141.6144.3140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %11%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma770100%87.463.6+23.9
2 South Carolina770100%76.764.3+12.4
3 Ole Miss770100%73.366.3+7.0
4 Texas76186%81.365.9+15.4
5 Missouri97278%75.467.2+8.2
6 Alabama86275%94.174.9+19.2
7 Kentucky86275%91.873.2+18.5
8 Mississippi St.86275%71.660.2+11.4
9 Texas A&M86275%75.268.1+7.1
10 Auburn75271%78.665.4+13.1
11 Arkansas96367%82.476.1+6.3
12 Tennessee85362%77.666.9+10.8
13 LSU85362%74.568.6+5.9
14 Georgia85362%71.670.9+0.8
15 Florida74357%84.175.7+8.4
16 Vanderbilt84450%71.272.6-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quinnipiac86275%81.473.8+7.6
2 Marist75271%68.162.7+5.4
3 Canisius95456%77.371.6+5.8
4 Manhattan84450%65.076.9-11.9
5 Sacred Heart94544%75.972.3+3.6
6 Merrimack Warriors94544%71.070.6+0.4
7 St. Peters73443%61.664.0-2.4
8 Iona83538%75.074.8+0.2
9 Mount St. Mary's62433%69.767.0+2.7
10 Fairfield82625%73.475.4-2.0
11 Siena82625%57.575.1-17.6
12 Niagara61517%67.373.8-6.5
13 Rider81712%69.577.0-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida304777
Merrimack Warriors312657
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